How did Syracuse, NY vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Syracuse, NY voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+6.9. Kamala D Harris received 168,267 votes and Donald Trump received 146,489 out of 316,358 total votes cast, a 3.5-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Syracuse, NY's political history?

Syracuse, NY has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992. The largest single-election swing was 45.4 points in 1964.

What are the demographics of Syracuse, NY?

Syracuse, NY has a population of 2,612,518 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 83.5% non-Hispanic white, 3.4% Hispanic, 7.7% Black. About 30% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $55,229.

Which places are most similar to Syracuse, NY?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Syracuse, NY are Rochester, NY, Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY, Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Syracuse, NY

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 45060

Population2.6M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

38.4y▼ 0.5

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

29.6%▼ 5.4

White83.5%
Black7.7%
Hispanic3.4%
Two or more3.3%
Asian2.4%
Other1.0%
Native0.6%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Syracuse, NYBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Rochester, NY, Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY, and Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY.

8 visible matches

Rochester, NY

Educated rural competitive 2

D+8.5

Similarity score97%

Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY

Educated rural competitive 2

D+9.9

Similarity score96%

Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY

Educated rural competitive 2

D+5.1

Similarity score94%

Lansing-East Lansing, MI

Educated rural competitive 2

D+14.3

Similarity score94%

Burlington-South Burlington, VT

Educated rural democratic

D+41.5

Similarity score93%

Madison, WI

Educated rural democratic

D+43.0

Similarity score93%

Charlottesville, VA

Educated rural democratic

D+26.6

Similarity score93%

Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD

Educated rural competitive 2

D+23.3

Similarity score93%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Syracuse, NY

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Onondaga	471K	D+17.2	133,155	93,916	228,381	18.0%
Onondaga	468K	D+17.2	133,155	93,916	228,381	18.0%
Onondaga	458K	D+17.2	133,155	93,916	228,381	18.0%
Onondaga	454K	D+17.2	133,155	93,916	228,381	18.0%
Oswego	122K	R+24.1	20,483	33,548	54,163	4.3%
Oswego	122K	R+24.1	20,483	33,548	54,163	4.3%
Oswego	121K	R+24.1	20,483	33,548	54,163	4.3%
Oswego	118K	R+24.1	20,483	33,548	54,163	4.3%
Madison	72K	R+13.0	14,629	19,025	33,814	2.7%
Madison	70K	R+13.0	14,629	19,025	33,814	2.7%
Madison	69K	R+13.0	14,629	19,025	33,814	2.7%
Madison	67K	R+13.0	14,629	19,025	33,814	2.7%

12 countiesTotal votes: 1,265,432

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Syracuse, NY's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Syracuse, NY metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Syracuse, NYCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 83.5%Black 7.7%Hispanic 3.4%Asian 2.4%Multiracial 2.4%Native American 0.6%

Group	Syracuse, NY	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	83.5%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(15)	7.7%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	3.4%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	2.4%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	2.4%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)	1.2%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.6%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

48.8%(320.5K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +42.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	30.3%	62.1%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	7.3%	15.0%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	6.0%	12.2%	—	—
Other	3.6%	7.4%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.2%	2.4%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.5%	1.1%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.4%	0.8%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	51.2%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Syracuse, NY metro area? 2,612,518 residents across 12 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Syracuse, NY vs National2.6M residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.6M

local

2.6MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.78%

local

0.78%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.4%

local

37.4%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$55,229

local

$55,229National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.7%

local

13.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

29.6%

local

29.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

67.9%

local

67.9%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.4 yrs

local

38.4 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.9%

local

12.9%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.9%

local

11.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.4%

local

5.4%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.2%

local

8.2%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

91.8%

local

91.8%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Syracuse, NY

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

62.5%

vs Previous

-1.4pp

Eligible Non-Voters

190K · 37.5%

Citizen VAP

506,030

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Syracuse, NY split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (28/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+6.9	D+10.8	3.9pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 13.3pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Syracuse, NY sits inside these higher-level geographies.

New York(State)

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