How did New York vote in the 2024 presidential election?

New York voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+13.9. Kamala D Harris received 5,098,042 votes and Donald Trump received 3,839,898 out of 9,062,185 total votes cast, a 12.6-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is New York's political history?

New York has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992. The largest single-election swing was 34.4 points in 1920.

What are the demographics of New York?

New York has a population of 84,253,524 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 50.5% non-Hispanic white, 21.9% Hispanic, 16.5% Black. About 37% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $73,908.

Which places are most similar to New York?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to New York are Chicago, Washington, DC (Hagerstown), Los Angeles. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

New York

Largest U.S. media market, yet competitive only in outer suburbs

The New York DMA's sheer ad cost makes it an expensive target for statewide campaigns, while genuine competitiveness is concentrated in Long Island and the Hudson Valley exurbs rather than the five boroughs.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 501

Population84.3M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

37.9y▼ 1.0

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

36.8%▲ 1.8

White50.5%
Hispanic21.9%
Black16.5%
Other10.4%
Asian9.3%
Two or more5.2%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

New YorkBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Chicago, Washington, DC (Hagerstown), and Los Angeles.

8 visible matches

Chicago

Educated rural democratic

D+23.1

Similarity score93%

Washington, DC (Hagerstown)

Educated rural democratic

D+32.2

Similarity score92%

Los Angeles

Educated rural democratic

D+17.9

Similarity score91%

San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose

Educated rural democratic

D+47.6

Similarity score90%

Boston (Manchester)

Educated rural democratic

D+22.8

Similarity score90%

Providence-New Bedford

Educated rural competitive

D+9.3

Similarity score88%

Philadelphia

Educated rural competitive

D+20.2

Similarity score88%

Sacramnto-Stkton-Modesto

Educated rural democratic

D+5.7

Similarity score88%

Constituent Geography

Counties in New York

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Kings	2.6M	D+43.3	601,265	233,964	847,934	2.3%
Kings	2.6M	D+43.3	601,265	233,964	847,934	2.3%
Kings	2.5M	D+43.3	601,265	233,964	847,934	2.3%
Kings	2.5M	D+43.3	601,265	233,964	847,934	2.3%
Queens	2.3M	D+24.2	437,282	264,628	712,191	2.0%
Queens	2.3M	D+24.2	437,282	264,628	712,191	2.0%
Queens	2.3M	D+24.2	437,282	264,628	712,191	2.0%
Queens	2.2M	D+24.2	437,282	264,628	712,191	2.0%
New York	1.6M	D+64.2	533,782	113,921	654,372	1.8%
New York	1.6M	D+64.2	533,782	113,921	654,372	1.8%
New York	1.6M	D+64.2	533,782	113,921	654,372	1.8%
New York	1.5M	D+64.2	533,782	113,921	654,372	1.8%
Suffolk	1.5M	R+9.9	341,812	417,549	762,849	2.1%
Suffolk	1.5M	R+9.9	341,812	417,549	762,849	2.1%
Suffolk	1.5M	R+9.9	341,812	417,549	762,849	2.1%
Bronx	1.4M	D+45.0	261,670	98,174	362,890	1.0%
Suffolk	1.4M	R+9.9	341,812	417,549	762,849	2.1%
Bronx	1.4M	D+45.0	261,670	98,174	362,890	1.0%
Nassau	1.4M	R+4.2	338,424	368,117	712,299	2.0%
Bronx	1.4M	D+45.0	261,670	98,174	362,890	1.0%
Nassau	1.4M	R+4.2	338,424	368,117	712,299	2.0%
Nassau	1.4M	R+4.2	338,424	368,117	712,299	2.0%
Nassau	1.3M	R+4.2	338,424	368,117	712,299	2.0%
Bronx	1.3M	D+45.0	261,670	98,174	362,890	1.0%
Westchester	1000K	D+26.1	287,434	167,795	457,838	1.3%
Westchester	969K	D+26.1	287,434	167,795	457,838	1.3%
Bergen	962K	D+3.4	232,660	217,096	459,077	1.3%
Fairfield	957K	D+19.6	267,019	178,263	452,303	1.2%
Westchester	949K	D+26.1	287,434	167,795	457,838	1.3%
Fairfield	942K	D+19.6	267,019	178,263	452,303	1.2%
Bergen	930K	D+3.4	232,660	217,096	459,077	1.3%
Westchester	923K	D+26.1	287,434	167,795	457,838	1.3%
Fairfield	893K	D+19.6	267,019	178,263	452,303	1.2%
Bergen	889K	D+3.4	232,660	217,096	459,077	1.3%
Bergen	884K	D+3.4	232,660	217,096	459,077	1.3%
Fairfield	883K	D+19.6	267,019	178,263	452,303	1.2%
Middlesex	871K	D+8.0	191,802	162,459	365,187	1.0%
Essex	863K	D+44.9	224,596	83,908	313,283	0.9%
Middlesex	832K	D+8.0	191,802	162,459	365,187	1.0%
Essex	794K	D+44.9	224,596	83,908	313,283	0.9%
Essex	793K	D+44.9	224,596	83,908	313,283	0.9%
Middlesex	782K	D+8.0	191,802	162,459	365,187	1.0%
Essex	771K	D+44.9	224,596	83,908	313,283	0.9%
Middlesex	750K	D+8.0	191,802	162,459	365,187	1.0%
Hudson	718K	D+28.1	144,765	79,913	231,181	0.6%
Hudson	669K	D+28.1	144,765	79,913	231,181	0.6%
Ocean	654K	R+36.0	105,789	227,232	337,135	0.9%
Monmouth	645K	R+11.4	156,382	197,409	360,143	1.0%
Monmouth	642K	R+11.4	156,382	197,409	360,143	1.0%
Monmouth	628K	R+11.4	156,382	197,409	360,143	1.0%
Monmouth	615K	R+11.4	156,382	197,409	360,143	1.0%
Hudson	609K	D+28.1	144,765	79,913	231,181	0.6%
Hudson	594K	D+28.1	144,765	79,913	231,181	0.6%
Ocean	586K	R+36.0	105,789	227,232	337,135	0.9%
Union	579K	D+24.2	147,327	89,063	240,632	0.7%
Ocean	565K	R+36.0	105,789	227,232	337,135	0.9%
Union	550K	D+24.2	147,327	89,063	240,632	0.7%
Union	523K	D+24.2	147,327	89,063	240,632	0.7%
Union	522K	D+24.2	147,327	89,063	240,632	0.7%
Passaic	521K	R+2.9	95,156	100,954	202,767	0.6%
Morris	515K	R+2.7	135,672	143,439	284,666	0.8%
Ocean	511K	R+36.0	105,789	227,232	337,135	0.9%
Passaic	507K	R+2.9	95,156	100,954	202,767	0.6%
Morris	498K	R+2.7	135,672	143,439	284,666	0.8%
Richmond	495K	R+29.5	69,345	128,151	199,620	0.6%
Passaic	489K	R+2.9	95,156	100,954	202,767	0.6%
Passaic	489K	R+2.9	95,156	100,954	202,767	0.6%
Morris	486K	R+2.7	135,672	143,439	284,666	0.8%
Richmond	483K	R+29.5	69,345	128,151	199,620	0.6%
Richmond	473K	R+29.5	69,345	128,151	199,620	0.6%
Morris	470K	R+2.7	135,672	143,439	284,666	0.8%
Richmond	444K	R+29.5	69,345	128,151	199,620	0.6%
Orange	407K	R+8.4	80,253	94,936	175,660	0.5%
Orange	377K	R+8.4	80,253	94,936	175,660	0.5%
Orange	376K	R+8.4	80,253	94,936	175,660	0.5%
Somerset	350K	D+13.9	98,790	74,101	177,412	0.5%
Rockland	342K	R+11.8	65,880	83,543	150,072	0.4%
Orange	341K	R+8.4	80,253	94,936	175,660	0.5%
Somerset	332K	D+13.9	98,790	74,101	177,412	0.5%
Rockland	323K	R+11.8	65,880	83,543	150,072	0.4%
Somerset	321K	D+13.9	98,790	74,101	177,412	0.5%
Dutchess	298K	D+5.4	79,994	71,778	152,659	0.4%
Somerset	297K	D+13.9	98,790	74,101	177,412	0.5%
Rockland	297K	R+11.8	65,880	83,543	150,072	0.4%
Dutchess	296K	D+5.4	79,994	71,778	152,659	0.4%
Dutchess	292K	D+5.4	79,994	71,778	152,659	0.4%
Rockland	287K	R+11.8	65,880	83,543	150,072	0.4%
Dutchess	280K	D+5.4	79,994	71,778	152,659	0.4%
Ulster	183K	D+18.5	57,974	39,743	98,534	0.3%
Ulster	182K	D+18.5	57,974	39,743	98,534	0.3%
Ulster	181K	D+18.5	57,974	39,743	98,534	0.3%
Ulster	178K	D+18.5	57,974	39,743	98,534	0.3%
Sussex	151K	R+24.9	31,019	52,123	84,629	0.2%
Sussex	146K	R+24.9	31,019	52,123	84,629	0.2%
Sussex	145K	R+24.9	31,019	52,123	84,629	0.2%
Sussex	144K	R+24.9	31,019	52,123	84,629	0.2%
Hunterdon	130K	R+6.7	36,995	42,391	80,925	0.2%
Hunterdon	130K	R+6.7	36,995	42,391	80,925	0.2%
Hunterdon	126K	R+6.7	36,995	42,391	80,925	0.2%
Hunterdon	122K	R+6.7	36,995	42,391	80,925	0.2%
Warren	111K	R+20.7	23,318	35,772	60,150	0.2%
Warren	110K	R+20.7	23,318	35,772	60,150	0.2%
Warren	107K	R+20.7	23,318	35,772	60,150	0.2%
Warren	102K	R+20.7	23,318	35,772	60,150	0.2%
Putnam	99K	R+13.6	23,956	31,553	55,765	0.2%
Putnam	99K	R+13.6	23,956	31,553	55,765	0.2%
Putnam	98K	R+13.6	23,956	31,553	55,765	0.2%
Putnam	96K	R+13.6	23,956	31,553	55,765	0.2%
Sullivan	80K	R+16.6	14,549	20,386	35,062	0.1%
Sullivan	76K	R+16.6	14,549	20,386	35,062	0.1%
Sullivan	76K	R+16.6	14,549	20,386	35,062	0.1%
Sullivan	74K	R+16.6	14,549	20,386	35,062	0.1%
Pike	61K	R+24.1	13,132	21,537	34,950	0.1%
Pike	58K	R+24.1	13,132	21,537	34,950	0.1%
Pike	56K	R+24.1	13,132	21,537	34,950	0.1%
Pike	46K	R+24.1	13,132	21,537	34,950	0.1%

116 countiesTotal votes: 36,248,740

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore New York's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the New York media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

New YorkCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 50.5%Hispanic 21.9%Black 16.5%Asian 9.3%Multiracial 1.4%Native American 0.4%

Group	New York	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	50.5%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)	21.9%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(15)	16.5%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	9.3%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)	1.6%	0.9%
Multiracial / Other	1.4%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.4%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

53.8%(11.8M people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +47.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	32.7%	60.7%	—	—
Other	11.0%	20.5%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	4.6%	8.5%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	3.2%	6.0%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.5%	2.8%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.8%	1.5%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.3%	0.6%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	46.2%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the New York media market? 84,253,524 residents across 116 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

New York vs National84.3M residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

84.3M

local

84.3MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

25.16%

local

25.16%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.2%

local

39.2%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$73,908

local

$73,908National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.9%

local

12.9%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.8%

local

36.8%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

53.3%

local

53.3%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.9 yrs

local

37.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.9%

local

11.9%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.0%

local

11.0%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

27.1%

local

27.1%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.7%

local

36.7%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

63.3%

local

63.3%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in New York

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

63.7%

vs Previous

-3.5pp

Eligible Non-Voters

5.2M · 36.3%

Citizen VAP

14,224,675

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in New York split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (19/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+13.9	D+18.9	5.0pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 14.5pp

Containing Geography

Located In

New York sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Connecticut(State)New Jersey(State)New York(State)Pennsylvania(State)

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