Coastal plain market where military and university voters reshape margins
Anchored by East Carolina University in Greenville and Marine Corps Air Station Cherry Point near Havelock, this eastern North Carolina media market blends college-town, military, and rural agricultural communities in ways that complicate straight-line partisan predictions.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Onslow | 208K | R+35.8 | 25,684 | 54,960 | 81,681 | 5.1% |
| Onslow | 186K | R+35.8 | 25,684 | 54,960 | 81,681 | 5.1% |
| Pitt | 177K | D+6.0 | 45,595 | 40,403 | 87,130 | 5.4% |
| Pitt | 175K | D+6.0 | 45,595 | 40,403 | 87,130 | 5.4% |
| Onslow | 165K | R+35.8 | 25,684 | 54,960 | 81,681 | 5.1% |
| Pitt | 152K | D+6.0 | 45,595 | 40,403 | 87,130 | 5.4% |
| Onslow | 150K | R+35.8 | 25,684 | 54,960 | 81,681 | 5.1% |
| Pitt | 134K | D+6.0 | 45,595 | 40,403 | 87,130 | 5.4% |
| Craven | 104K | R+20.4 | 22,011 | 33,477 | 56,173 | 3.5% |
| Craven | 103K | R+20.4 | 22,011 | 33,477 | 56,173 | 3.5% |
| Craven | 97K | R+20.4 | 22,011 | 33,477 | 56,173 | 3.5% |
| Craven | 91K | R+20.4 | 22,011 | 33,477 | 56,173 | 3.5% |
| Carteret | 69K | R+43.0 | 12,813 | 32,508 | 45,817 | 2.9% |
| Carteret | 69K | R+43.0 | 12,813 | 32,508 | 45,817 | 2.9% |
| Carteret | 63K | R+43.0 | 12,813 | 32,508 | 45,817 | 2.9% |
| Lenoir | 60K | R+6.8 | 12,700 | 14,564 | 27,503 | 1.7% |
| Carteret | 59K | R+43.0 | 12,813 | 32,508 | 45,817 | 2.9% |
| Duplin | 59K | R+28.9 | 8,057 | 14,677 | 22,898 | 1.4% |
| Lenoir | 58K | R+6.8 | 12,700 | 14,564 | 27,503 | 1.7% |
| Lenoir | 57K | R+6.8 | 12,700 | 14,564 | 27,503 | 1.7% |
| Lenoir | 55K | R+6.8 | 12,700 | 14,564 | 27,503 | 1.7% |
| Duplin | 52K | R+28.9 | 8,057 | 14,677 | 22,898 | 1.4% |
| Duplin | 49K | R+28.9 | 8,057 | 14,677 | 22,898 | 1.4% |
| Duplin | 49K | R+28.9 | 8,057 | 14,677 | 22,898 | 1.4% |
| Beaufort | 48K | R+31.0 | 9,049 | 17,296 | 26,572 | 1.7% |
| Beaufort | 46K | R+31.0 | 9,049 | 17,296 | 26,572 | 1.7% |
| Beaufort | 45K | R+31.0 | 9,049 | 17,296 | 26,572 | 1.7% |
| Beaufort | 44K | R+31.0 | 9,049 | 17,296 | 26,572 | 1.7% |
| Martin | 26K | R+10.3 | 5,360 | 6,601 | 12,040 | 0.8% |
| Martin | 24K | R+10.3 | 5,360 | 6,601 | 12,040 | 0.8% |
| Martin | 24K | R+10.3 | 5,360 | 6,601 | 12,040 | 0.8% |
| Martin | 22K | R+10.3 | 5,360 | 6,601 | 12,040 | 0.8% |
| Greene | 21K | R+18.1 | 3,437 | 4,965 | 8,450 | 0.5% |
| Greene | 20K | R+18.1 | 3,437 | 4,965 | 8,450 | 0.5% |
| Greene | 20K | R+18.1 | 3,437 | 4,965 | 8,450 | 0.5% |
| Bertie | 20K | D+15.7 | 5,279 | 3,840 | 9,186 | 0.6% |
| Bertie | 20K | D+15.7 | 5,279 | 3,840 | 9,186 | 0.6% |
| Bertie | 19K | D+15.7 | 5,279 | 3,840 | 9,186 | 0.6% |
| Greene | 19K | R+18.1 | 3,437 | 4,965 | 8,450 | 0.5% |
| Bertie | 17K | D+15.7 | 5,279 | 3,840 | 9,186 | 0.6% |
| Washington | 14K | D+6.2 | 3,138 | 2,768 | 5,944 | 0.4% |
| Washington | 13K | D+6.2 | 3,138 | 2,768 | 5,944 | 0.4% |
| Pamlico | 13K | R+32.0 | 2,676 | 5,229 | 7,976 | 0.5% |
| Pamlico | 13K | R+32.0 | 2,676 | 5,229 | 7,976 | 0.5% |
| Washington | 13K | D+6.2 | 3,138 | 2,768 | 5,944 | 0.4% |
| Pamlico | 12K | R+32.0 | 2,676 | 5,229 | 7,976 | 0.5% |
| Pamlico | 12K | R+32.0 | 2,676 | 5,229 | 7,976 | 0.5% |
| Washington | 11K | D+6.2 | 3,138 | 2,768 | 5,944 | 0.4% |
| Jones | 10K | R+25.7 | 2,007 | 3,409 | 5,463 | 0.3% |
| Jones | 10K | R+25.7 | 2,007 | 3,409 | 5,463 | 0.3% |
| Jones | 10K | R+25.7 | 2,007 | 3,409 | 5,463 | 0.3% |
| Jones | 9K | R+25.7 | 2,007 | 3,409 | 5,463 | 0.3% |
| Hyde | 6K | R+22.1 | 931 | 1,465 | 2,421 | 0.2% |
| Hyde | 6K | R+22.1 | 931 | 1,465 | 2,421 | 0.2% |
| Hyde | 5K | R+22.1 | 931 | 1,465 | 2,421 | 0.2% |
| Hyde | 5K | R+22.1 | 931 | 1,465 | 2,421 | 0.2% |
| Tyrrell | 4K | R+21.5 | 680 | 1,057 | 1,757 | 0.1% |
| Tyrrell | 4K | R+21.5 | 680 | 1,057 | 1,757 | 0.1% |
| Tyrrell | 4K | R+21.5 | 680 | 1,057 | 1,757 | 0.1% |
| Tyrrell | 3K | R+21.5 | 680 | 1,057 | 1,757 | 0.1% |
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 62.3% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 26.2% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 7.5% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.4% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.2% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -41.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5% | 50.3% | — | — | |
| 7.8% | 19.1% | — | — | |
| 5.5% | 13.4% | — | — | |
| 4.6% | 11.4% | — | — | |
| 2.4% | 5.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 2.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 59.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Greenville-N.Bern-Washngtn media market? 3,054,920 residents across 60 counties.
21% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | R+19.4 | R+1.4 | 18.0pp |