How did Tallahassee-Thomasville vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Tallahassee-Thomasville voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+7.2. Kamala D Harris received 171,010 votes and Donald Trump received 197,724 out of 371,726 total votes cast, a 7.1-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Tallahassee-Thomasville's political history?

Tallahassee-Thomasville has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 29 and Republicans 11 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 68.1 points in 1976.

What are the demographics of Tallahassee-Thomasville?

Tallahassee-Thomasville has a population of 2,873,474 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 59.0% non-Hispanic white, 5.8% Hispanic, 31.5% Black. About 27% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $44,697.

Which places are most similar to Tallahassee-Thomasville?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Tallahassee-Thomasville are Columbus, GA (Opelika, AL), Greenville-N.Bern-Washngtn, Savannah. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Tallahassee-Thomasville

Florida's capital city anchors a market that stretches into rural south Georgia

The Tallahassee-Thomasville market pairs a university-and-government hub with sparsely populated agricultural counties across the state line, producing a split electorate where turnout patterns differ sharply between urban Leon County and the surrounding rural terrain.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 530

Population2.9M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

34.4y▼ 4.5

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

27.2%▼ 7.8

White59.0%
Black31.5%
Hispanic5.8%
Two or more3.0%
Other1.8%
Asian1.6%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Tallahassee-ThomasvilleBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Columbus, GA (Opelika, AL), Greenville-N.Bern-Washngtn, and Savannah.

8 visible matches

Columbus, GA (Opelika, AL)

Rural Republican

R+7.2

Similarity score94%

Greenville-N.Bern-Washngtn

Educated rural competitive

Constituent Geography

Counties in Tallahassee-Thomasville

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Leon	298K	D+21.8	94,520	60,397	156,802	10.5%
Leon	285K	D+21.8	94,520	60,397	156,802	10.5%
Leon	261K	D+21.8	94,520	60,397	156,802	10.5%
Leon	239K	D+21.8	94,520	60,397	156,802	10.5%
Lowndes	120K	R+18.0	19,487	28,081	47,795	3.2%
Lowndes	114K	R+18.0	19,487	28,081	47,795	3.2%
Lowndes	102K	R+18.0	19,487	28,081	47,795	3.2%
Lowndes	92K	R+18.0	19,487	28,081	47,795	3.2%
Gadsden	47K	D+30.7	14,203	7,495	21,868	1.5%
Gadsden	46K	D+30.7	14,203	7,495	21,868	1.5%
Thomas	46K	R+24.1	8,347	13,670	22,080	1.5%
Suwannee	45K	R+61.0	4,217	17,561	21,891	1.5%
Thomas	45K	R+24.1	8,347	13,670	22,080	1.5%
Gadsden	45K	D+30.7	14,203	7,495	21,868	1.5%
Thomas	45K	R+24.1	8,347	13,670	22,080	1.5%
Gadsden	44K	D+30.7	14,203	7,495	21,868	1.5%
Suwannee	44K	R+61.0	4,217	17,561	21,891	1.5%
Thomas	43K	R+24.1	8,347	13,670	22,080	1.5%
Suwannee	39K	R+61.0	4,217	17,561	21,891	1.5%
Wakulla	35K	R+44.3	5,441	14,246	19,856	1.3%
Suwannee	35K	R+61.0	4,217	17,561	21,891	1.5%
Wakulla	31K	R+44.3	5,441	14,246	19,856	1.3%
Wakulla	30K	R+44.3	5,441	14,246	19,856	1.3%
Decatur	29K	R+24.0	4,372	7,140	11,549	0.8%
Decatur	28K	R+24.0	4,372	7,140	11,549	0.8%
Decatur	28K	R+24.0	4,372	7,140	11,549	0.8%
Decatur	27K	R+24.0	4,372	7,140	11,549	0.8%
Grady	26K	R+38.2	3,290	7,385	10,718	0.7%
Grady	25K	R+38.2	3,290	7,385	10,718	0.7%
Grady	25K	R+38.2	3,290	7,385	10,718	0.7%
Grady	24K	R+38.2	3,290	7,385	10,718	0.7%
Wakulla	23K	R+44.3	5,441	14,246	19,856	1.3%
Taylor	23K	R+59.6	1,991	7,954	9,997	0.7%
Taylor	22K	R+59.6	1,991	7,954	9,997	0.7%
Taylor	21K	R+59.6	1,991	7,954	9,997	0.7%
Taylor	19K	R+59.6	1,991	7,954	9,997	0.7%
Madison	19K	R+28.9	3,231	5,874	9,156	0.6%
Madison	19K	R+28.9	3,231	5,874	9,156	0.6%
Madison	19K	R+28.9	3,231	5,874	9,156	0.6%
Madison	18K	R+28.9	3,231	5,874	9,156	0.6%
Brooks	16K	R+26.8	2,629	4,560	7,210	0.5%
Brooks	16K	R+26.8	2,629	4,560	7,210	0.5%
Brooks	16K	R+26.8	2,629	4,560	7,210	0.5%
Brooks	16K	R+26.8	2,629	4,560	7,210	0.5%
Jefferson	15K	R+18.6	3,429	5,011	8,502	0.6%
Hamilton	14K	R+39.0	1,727	3,964	5,733	0.4%
Hamilton	14K	R+39.0	1,727	3,964	5,733	0.4%
Jefferson	14K	R+18.6	3,429	5,011	8,502	0.6%
Jefferson	14K	R+18.6	3,429	5,011	8,502	0.6%
Hamilton	14K	R+39.0	1,727	3,964	5,733	0.4%
Hamilton	13K	R+39.0	1,727	3,964	5,733	0.4%
Jefferson	13K	R+18.6	3,429	5,011	8,502	0.6%
Lanier	10K	R+46.3	995	2,726	3,736	0.3%
Lanier	10K	R+46.3	995	2,726	3,736	0.3%
Seminole	9K	R+40.4	1,191	2,811	4,007	0.3%
Seminole	9K	R+40.4	1,191	2,811	4,007	0.3%
Seminole	9K	R+40.4	1,191	2,811	4,007	0.3%
Lafayette	9K	R+76.0	441	3,296	3,756	0.3%
Seminole	9K	R+40.4	1,191	2,811	4,007	0.3%
Lafayette	8K	R+76.0	441	3,296	3,756	0.3%
Lafayette	8K	R+76.0	441	3,296	3,756	0.3%
Lanier	8K	R+46.3	995	2,726	3,736	0.3%
Lanier	7K	R+46.3	995	2,726	3,736	0.3%
Lafayette	7K	R+76.0	441	3,296	3,756	0.3%
Clinch	7K	R+51.5	702	2,201	2,908	0.2%
Clinch	7K	R+51.5	702	2,201	2,908	0.2%
Clinch	7K	R+51.5	702	2,201	2,908	0.2%
Clinch	7K	R+51.5	702	2,201	2,908	0.2%
Miller	6K	R+50.5	670	2,045	2,724	0.2%
Miller	6K	R+50.5	670	2,045	2,724	0.2%
Miller	6K	R+50.5	670	2,045	2,724	0.2%
Miller	6K	R+50.5	670	2,045	2,724	0.2%
Echols	4K	R+82.1	127	1,307	1,438	0.1%
Echols	4K	R+82.1	127	1,307	1,438	0.1%
Echols	4K	R+82.1	127	1,307	1,438	0.1%
Echols	4K	R+82.1	127	1,307	1,438	0.1%

76 countiesTotal votes: 1,486,904

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Tallahassee-Thomasville's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Tallahassee-Thomasville media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Tallahassee-ThomasvilleCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 59.0%Black 31.5%Hispanic 5.8%Multiracial 1.8%Asian 1.6%Native American 0.4%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	59.0%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(12)	31.5%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)	5.8%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	1.8%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	1.6%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.4%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.4%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

48.7%(375.4K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -57.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	29.8%	61.2%	—	—
Black Protestant	7.4%	15.2%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	4.9%	10.0%	—	—
Catholic	3.8%	7.8%	—	—
Other	2.8%	5.7%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.2%	2.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	51.3%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Tallahassee-Thomasville media market? 2,873,474 residents across 76 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Tallahassee-Thomasville vs National2.9M residents

27% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 6pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.9M

local

2.9MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.86%

local

0.86%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.7%

local

38.7%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$44,697

local

$44,697National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

20.4%

local

20.4%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

27.2%

local

27.2%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

62.6%

local

62.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

34.4 yrs

local

34.4 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.2%

local

17.2%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.9%

local

10.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.7%

local

4.7%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

7.6%

local

7.6%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

92.4%

local

92.4%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Tallahassee-Thomasville

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

63.0%

vs Previous

-0.7pp

Eligible Non-Voters

219K · 37.0%

Citizen VAP

590,471

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Tallahassee-Thomasville split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+7.2	R+3.0	4.2pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 19.4pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Tallahassee-Thomasville sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Florida(State)Georgia(State)

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