How did Knoxville vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Knoxville voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+45.9. Kamala D Harris received 175,041 votes and Donald Trump received 479,003 out of 661,816 total votes cast, a 4.3-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Knoxville's political history?

Knoxville has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1944. The largest single-election swing was 45.8 points in 1912.

What are the demographics of Knoxville?

Knoxville has a population of 5,303,158 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 89.4% non-Hispanic white, 3.3% Hispanic, 4.2% Black. About 23% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $46,620.

Which places are most similar to Knoxville?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Knoxville are Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Springfield, MO, Chattanooga. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Knoxville

Appalachian anchor where Tennessee's university city meets deep-red rural counties

The Knoxville media market blends a mid-size college city with heavily Republican surrounding counties, producing lopsided federal margins even as municipal races occasionally trend more competitive.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 557

Population5.3M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

40.2y▲ 1.3

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

22.5%▼ 12.5

White89.4%
Black4.2%
Hispanic3.3%
Two or more2.7%
Asian1.0%
Other1.0%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

KnoxvilleBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Springfield, MO, and Chattanooga.

8 visible matches

Tri-Cities, TN-VA

Small-town rural republican

R+57.9

Similarity score96%

Springfield, MO

Small-town rural republican

R+49.9

Similarity score94%

Chattanooga

Small-town rural republican

R+41.8

Similarity score94%

Charleston-Huntington

Small-town rural republican

R+47.3

Similarity score93%

Evansville

Small-town rural republican

R+36.7

Similarity score91%

Huntsville-Decatur (Flor)

Small-town rural republican 3

R+39.1

Similarity score90%

Clarksburg-Weston

Small-town rural republican

R+47.0

Similarity score90%

Wheeling-Steubenville

Small-town rural republican

R+45.6

Similarity score90%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Knoxville

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Knox	494K	R+19.5	87,516	130,815	221,864	8.4%
Knox	448K	R+19.5	87,516	130,815	221,864	8.4%
Knox	424K	R+19.5	87,516	130,815	221,864	8.4%
Knox	382K	R+19.5	87,516	130,815	221,864	8.4%
Blount	139K	R+47.7	17,664	50,699	69,224	2.6%
Blount	126K	R+47.7	17,664	50,699	69,224	2.6%
Blount	119K	R+47.7	17,664	50,699	69,224	2.6%
Blount	106K	R+47.7	17,664	50,699	69,224	2.6%
Sevier	100K	R+61.1	8,322	35,207	43,970	1.7%
Sevier	95K	R+61.1	8,322	35,207	43,970	1.7%
Sevier	83K	R+61.1	8,322	35,207	43,970	1.7%
Anderson	79K	R+35.7	11,525	24,582	36,548	1.4%
Anderson	76K	R+35.7	11,525	24,582	36,548	1.4%
Anderson	73K	R+35.7	11,525	24,582	36,548	1.4%
Anderson	71K	R+35.7	11,525	24,582	36,548	1.4%
Sevier	71K	R+61.1	8,322	35,207	43,970	1.7%
Hamblen	66K	R+58.9	5,132	20,154	25,501	1.0%
Cumberland	64K	R+58.9	6,996	27,399	34,642	1.3%
Hamblen	63K	R+58.9	5,132	20,154	25,501	1.0%
Hamblen	62K	R+58.9	5,132	20,154	25,501	1.0%
Loudon	59K	R+53.0	7,625	25,226	33,209	1.3%
Hamblen	58K	R+58.9	5,132	20,154	25,501	1.0%
Cumberland	58K	R+58.9	6,996	27,399	34,642	1.3%
Jefferson	57K	R+64.2	4,503	21,068	25,815	1.0%
Roane	55K	R+54.5	6,073	21,011	27,412	1.0%
Roane	53K	R+54.5	6,073	21,011	27,412	1.0%
Roane	53K	R+54.5	6,073	21,011	27,412	1.0%
Cumberland	53K	R+58.9	6,996	27,399	34,642	1.3%
Jefferson	53K	R+64.2	4,503	21,068	25,815	1.0%
Roane	52K	R+54.5	6,073	21,011	27,412	1.0%
Loudon	51K	R+53.0	7,625	25,226	33,209	1.3%
Jefferson	50K	R+64.2	4,503	21,068	25,815	1.0%
Monroe	48K	R+66.8	3,608	18,526	22,323	0.8%
Cumberland	47K	R+58.9	6,996	27,399	34,642	1.3%
Monroe	45K	R+66.8	3,608	18,526	22,323	0.8%
Loudon	45K	R+53.0	7,625	25,226	33,209	1.3%
Monroe	45K	R+66.8	3,608	18,526	22,323	0.8%
Jefferson	44K	R+64.2	4,503	21,068	25,815	1.0%
Campbell	41K	R+69.6	2,305	13,115	15,528	0.6%
Campbell	40K	R+69.6	2,305	13,115	15,528	0.6%
Campbell	40K	R+69.6	2,305	13,115	15,528	0.6%
Campbell	40K	R+69.6	2,305	13,115	15,528	0.6%
Loudon	39K	R+53.0	7,625	25,226	33,209	1.3%
Monroe	39K	R+66.8	3,608	18,526	22,323	0.8%
Cocke	37K	R+68.3	2,415	13,105	15,663	0.6%
Cocke	35K	R+68.3	2,415	13,105	15,663	0.6%
Cocke	35K	R+68.3	2,415	13,105	15,663	0.6%
Cocke	34K	R+68.3	2,415	13,105	15,663	0.6%
Harlan	33K	R+76.2	1,199	9,109	10,388	0.4%
Claiborne	32K	R+70.1	1,971	11,463	13,534	0.5%
Claiborne	32K	R+70.1	1,971	11,463	13,534	0.5%
Claiborne	31K	R+70.1	1,971	11,463	13,534	0.5%
Harlan	31K	R+76.2	1,199	9,109	10,388	0.4%
Bell	30K	R+68.7	1,419	7,831	9,340	0.4%
Claiborne	30K	R+70.1	1,971	11,463	13,534	0.5%
Bell	29K	R+68.7	1,419	7,831	9,340	0.4%
Harlan	28K	R+76.2	1,199	9,109	10,388	0.4%
Bell	28K	R+68.7	1,419	7,831	9,340	0.4%
Harlan	26K	R+76.2	1,199	9,109	10,388	0.4%
Grainger	24K	R+73.7	1,432	9,630	11,130	0.4%
Bell	24K	R+68.7	1,419	7,831	9,340	0.4%
Grainger	23K	R+73.7	1,432	9,630	11,130	0.4%
Grainger	23K	R+73.7	1,432	9,630	11,130	0.4%
Scott	22K	R+79.8	942	8,608	9,605	0.4%
Scott	22K	R+79.8	942	8,608	9,605	0.4%
Scott	22K	R+79.8	942	8,608	9,605	0.4%
Morgan	22K	R+74.5	1,054	7,427	8,560	0.3%
Morgan	21K	R+74.5	1,054	7,427	8,560	0.3%
Scott	21K	R+79.8	942	8,608	9,605	0.4%
Grainger	21K	R+73.7	1,432	9,630	11,130	0.4%
Union	20K	R+71.2	1,216	7,384	8,669	0.3%
Morgan	20K	R+74.5	1,054	7,427	8,560	0.3%
Fentress	19K	R+75.8	1,149	8,555	9,771	0.4%
Morgan	19K	R+74.5	1,054	7,427	8,560	0.3%
Union	19K	R+71.2	1,216	7,384	8,669	0.3%
Union	19K	R+71.2	1,216	7,384	8,669	0.3%
Mccreary	18K	R+78.7	641	5,531	6,212	0.2%
Fentress	18K	R+75.8	1,149	8,555	9,771	0.4%
Mccreary	18K	R+78.7	641	5,531	6,212	0.2%
Union	18K	R+71.2	1,216	7,384	8,669	0.3%
Fentress	17K	R+75.8	1,149	8,555	9,771	0.4%
Mccreary	17K	R+78.7	641	5,531	6,212	0.2%
Mccreary	17K	R+78.7	641	5,531	6,212	0.2%
Fentress	17K	R+75.8	1,149	8,555	9,771	0.4%
Hancock	7K	R+76.5	334	2,558	2,908	0.1%
Hancock	7K	R+76.5	334	2,558	2,908	0.1%
Hancock	7K	R+76.5	334	2,558	2,908	0.1%
Hancock	7K	R+76.5	334	2,558	2,908	0.1%

88 countiesTotal votes: 2,647,264

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Knoxville's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Knoxville media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

KnoxvilleCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 89.4%Black 4.2%Hispanic 3.3%Multiracial 1.8%Asian 1.0%

Group	Knoxville	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	89.4%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(13)	4.2%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	3.3%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	1.8%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	1.0%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.4%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

54.0%(782.5K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -74.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	40.4%	74.9%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	6.9%	12.8%	—	—
Catholic	2.9%	5.3%	—	—
Other	2.0%	3.7%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.7%	3.2%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.7%	1.2%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	46.0%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Knoxville media market? 5,303,158 residents across 88 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Knoxville vs National5.3M residents

23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.3M

local

5.3MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.58%

local

1.58%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

40.8%

local

40.8%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$46,620

local

$46,620National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.3%

local

16.3%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

22.5%

local

22.5%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

71.5%

local

71.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

40.2 yrs

local

40.2 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.9%

local

11.9%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.6%

local

13.6%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.2%

local

3.2%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.7%

local

4.7%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

95.3%

local

95.3%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Knoxville

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

59.1%

vs Previous

+1.9pp

Eligible Non-Voters

458K · 40.9%

Citizen VAP

1,119,677

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Knoxville split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+45.9	R+42.8	3.2pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 20.3pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Knoxville sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Kentucky(State)Tennessee(State)

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