How did Springfield, MO vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Springfield, MO voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+49.9. Kamala D Harris received 132,846 votes and Donald Trump received 404,149 out of 543,416 total votes cast, a 1.9-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Springfield, MO's political history?

Springfield, MO has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The largest single-election swing was 49.2 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Springfield, MO?

Springfield, MO has a population of 4,180,603 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 90.8% non-Hispanic white, 3.4% Hispanic, 1.6% Black. About 20% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $42,907.

Which places are most similar to Springfield, MO?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Springfield, MO are Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Knoxville, Terre Haute. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Springfield, MO

Ozarks anchor where rural conservative margins meet a regional college hub

Springfield's media market spans the deeply Republican Missouri Ozarks while absorbing Missouri State and Drury University enrollments, creating a rare college-town counterweight within an otherwise lopsided regional electorate.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 619

Population4.2M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

39.9y▲ 1.0

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

19.9%▼ 15.1

White90.8%
Hispanic3.4%
Two or more3.4%
Black1.6%
Other1.1%
Asian0.8%
Native0.6%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Springfield, MOBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Knoxville, and Terre Haute.

8 visible matches

Tri-Cities, TN-VA

Small-town rural republican

R+57.9

Similarity score95%

Knoxville

Small-town rural republican

R+45.9

Similarity score94%

Terre Haute

Small-town rural republican

R+45.4

Similarity score93%

Paducah-Cape Girard-Harsbg

Small-town rural republican

R+50.2

Similarity score93%

Charleston-Huntington

Small-town rural republican

R+47.3

Similarity score93%

Evansville

Small-town rural republican

R+36.7

Similarity score92%

Joplin-Pittsburg

Small-town rural republican

R+50.5

Similarity score91%

Quincy-Hannibal-Keokuk

Small-town rural republican

R+46.9

Similarity score91%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Springfield, MO

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Greene	303K	R+20.8	55,971	85,956	144,037	6.6%
Greene	285K	R+20.8	55,971	85,956	144,037	6.6%
Greene	263K	R+20.8	55,971	85,956	144,037	6.6%
Greene	240K	R+20.8	55,971	85,956	144,037	6.6%
Christian	93K	R+52.2	11,850	38,379	50,789	2.3%
Christian	82K	R+52.2	11,850	38,379	50,789	2.3%
Christian	73K	R+52.2	11,850	38,379	50,789	2.3%
Taney	57K	R+59.3	5,329	21,236	26,824	1.2%
Christian	54K	R+52.2	11,850	38,379	50,789	2.3%
Pulaski	54K	R+50.3	3,765	11,579	15,549	0.7%
Taney	54K	R+59.3	5,329	21,236	26,824	1.2%
Pulaski	53K	R+50.3	3,765	11,579	15,549	0.7%
Taney	46K	R+59.3	5,329	21,236	26,824	1.2%
Pulaski	45K	R+50.3	3,765	11,579	15,549	0.7%
Camden	44K	R+54.3	5,724	19,597	25,548	1.2%
Camden	44K	R+54.3	5,724	19,597	25,548	1.2%
Baxter	42K	R+56.9	4,341	16,253	20,954	1.0%
Baxter	41K	R+56.9	4,341	16,253	20,954	1.0%
Pulaski	41K	R+50.3	3,765	11,579	15,549	0.7%
Baxter	41K	R+56.9	4,341	16,253	20,954	1.0%
Webster	41K	R+62.2	3,653	15,984	19,814	0.9%
Howell	40K	R+66.7	3,073	15,733	18,968	0.9%
Howell	40K	R+66.7	3,073	15,733	18,968	0.9%
Camden	40K	R+54.3	5,724	19,597	25,548	1.2%
Taney	40K	R+59.3	5,329	21,236	26,824	1.2%
Lawrence	39K	R+63.8	3,248	15,001	18,427	0.8%
Howell	39K	R+66.7	3,073	15,733	18,968	0.9%
Baxter	38K	R+56.9	4,341	16,253	20,954	1.0%
Lawrence	38K	R+63.8	3,248	15,001	18,427	0.8%
Boone	38K	R+65.0	2,854	13,968	17,112	0.8%
Lawrence	37K	R+63.8	3,248	15,001	18,427	0.8%
Boone	37K	R+65.0	2,854	13,968	17,112	0.8%
Howell	37K	R+66.7	3,073	15,733	18,968	0.9%
Webster	37K	R+62.2	3,653	15,984	19,814	0.9%
Camden	37K	R+54.3	5,724	19,597	25,548	1.2%
Laclede	36K	R+66.8	2,756	14,155	17,076	0.8%
Boone	36K	R+65.0	2,854	13,968	17,112	0.8%
Barry	36K	R+63.5	2,873	13,138	16,165	0.7%
Barry	36K	R+63.5	2,873	13,138	16,165	0.7%
Webster	36K	R+62.2	3,653	15,984	19,814	0.9%
Laclede	36K	R+66.8	2,756	14,155	17,076	0.8%
Lawrence	35K	R+63.8	3,248	15,001	18,427	0.8%
Laclede	35K	R+66.8	2,756	14,155	17,076	0.8%
Barry	35K	R+63.5	2,873	13,138	16,165	0.7%
Barry	34K	R+63.5	2,873	13,138	16,165	0.7%
Boone	34K	R+65.0	2,854	13,968	17,112	0.8%
Laclede	33K	R+66.8	2,756	14,155	17,076	0.8%
Polk	32K	R+61.6	2,948	12,691	15,826	0.7%
Stone	32K	R+61.4	3,620	15,357	19,123	0.9%
Stone	31K	R+61.4	3,620	15,357	19,123	0.9%
Stone	31K	R+61.4	3,620	15,357	19,123	0.9%
Polk	31K	R+61.6	2,948	12,691	15,826	0.7%
Webster	31K	R+62.2	3,653	15,984	19,814	0.9%
Polk	30K	R+61.6	2,948	12,691	15,826	0.7%
Stone	29K	R+61.4	3,620	15,357	19,123	0.9%
Carroll	29K	R+31.7	3,812	7,470	11,538	0.5%
Carroll	28K	R+31.7	3,812	7,470	11,538	0.5%
Carroll	27K	R+31.7	3,812	7,470	11,538	0.5%
Polk	27K	R+61.6	2,948	12,691	15,826	0.7%
Texas	26K	R+71.7	1,589	9,855	11,525	0.5%
Carroll	25K	R+31.7	3,812	7,470	11,538	0.5%
Texas	25K	R+71.7	1,589	9,855	11,525	0.5%
Texas	24K	R+71.7	1,589	9,855	11,525	0.5%
Texas	23K	R+71.7	1,589	9,855	11,525	0.5%
Benton	20K	R+59.1	2,166	8,526	10,769	0.5%
Wright	19K	R+75.7	1,057	7,850	8,980	0.4%
Benton	19K	R+59.1	2,166	8,526	10,769	0.5%
Benton	18K	R+59.1	2,166	8,526	10,769	0.5%
Wright	18K	R+75.7	1,057	7,850	8,980	0.4%
Wright	18K	R+75.7	1,057	7,850	8,980	0.4%
Wright	18K	R+75.7	1,057	7,850	8,980	0.4%
Dallas	18K	R+64.5	1,458	6,907	8,441	0.4%
Marion	17K	R+60.2	1,501	6,230	7,851	0.4%
Benton	17K	R+59.1	2,166	8,526	10,769	0.5%
Marion	17K	R+60.2	1,501	6,230	7,851	0.4%
Dallas	17K	R+64.5	1,458	6,907	8,441	0.4%
Dallas	17K	R+64.5	1,458	6,907	8,441	0.4%
Marion	16K	R+60.2	1,501	6,230	7,851	0.4%
Marion	16K	R+60.2	1,501	6,230	7,851	0.4%
Dallas	16K	R+64.5	1,458	6,907	8,441	0.4%
Dent	16K	R+70.2	1,025	6,013	7,103	0.3%
Dent	15K	R+70.2	1,025	6,013	7,103	0.3%
Dent	15K	R+70.2	1,025	6,013	7,103	0.3%
Cedar	15K	R+69.6	1,060	6,064	7,188	0.3%
Dent	15K	R+70.2	1,025	6,013	7,103	0.3%
Cedar	14K	R+69.6	1,060	6,064	7,188	0.3%
Cedar	14K	R+69.6	1,060	6,064	7,188	0.3%
Cedar	14K	R+69.6	1,060	6,064	7,188	0.3%
Douglas	13K	R+72.0	996	6,242	7,289	0.3%
Douglas	13K	R+72.0	996	6,242	7,289	0.3%
Douglas	13K	R+72.0	996	6,242	7,289	0.3%
Fulton	12K	R+62.1	906	4,040	5,043	0.2%
Fulton	12K	R+62.1	906	4,040	5,043	0.2%
Douglas	12K	R+72.0	996	6,242	7,289	0.3%
Fulton	12K	R+62.1	906	4,040	5,043	0.2%
Fulton	12K	R+62.1	906	4,040	5,043	0.2%
Oregon	11K	R+69.1	696	3,884	4,613	0.2%
Oregon	10K	R+69.1	696	3,884	4,613	0.2%
Oregon	10K	R+69.1	696	3,884	4,613	0.2%
St. Clair	10K	R+60.6	959	3,982	4,990	0.2%
St. Clair	10K	R+60.6	959	3,982	4,990	0.2%
Ozark	10K	R+70.0	698	4,044	4,780	0.2%
Ozark	9K	R+70.0	698	4,044	4,780	0.2%
St. Clair	9K	R+60.6	959	3,982	4,990	0.2%
St. Clair	9K	R+60.6	959	3,982	4,990	0.2%
Ozark	9K	R+70.0	698	4,044	4,780	0.2%
Hickory	9K	R+61.1	978	4,108	5,120	0.2%
Hickory	9K	R+61.1	978	4,108	5,120	0.2%
Hickory	9K	R+61.1	978	4,108	5,120	0.2%
Ozark	9K	R+70.0	698	4,044	4,780	0.2%
Oregon	9K	R+69.1	696	3,884	4,613	0.2%
Newton	9K	R+64.2	644	3,063	3,770	0.2%
Hickory	9K	R+61.1	978	4,108	5,120	0.2%
Shannon	8K	R+68.2	625	3,364	4,018	0.2%
Newton	8K	R+64.2	644	3,063	3,770	0.2%
Shannon	8K	R+68.2	625	3,364	4,018	0.2%
Shannon	8K	R+68.2	625	3,364	4,018	0.2%
Newton	8K	R+64.2	644	3,063	3,770	0.2%
Dade	8K	R+67.1	671	3,480	4,186	0.2%
Dade	8K	R+67.1	671	3,480	4,186	0.2%
Dade	8K	R+67.1	671	3,480	4,186	0.2%
Dade	8K	R+67.1	671	3,480	4,186	0.2%
Shannon	7K	R+68.2	625	3,364	4,018	0.2%
Newton	7K	R+64.2	644	3,063	3,770	0.2%

124 countiesTotal votes: 2,173,664

Historian Query

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Explore Springfield, MO's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Springfield, MO media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Springfield, MOCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 90.8%Hispanic 3.4%Multiracial 2.7%Black 1.6%Asian 0.8%Native American 0.6%

Group	Springfield, MO	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	90.8%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	3.4%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	2.7%	4.0%
▶Black / African American(10)	1.6%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	0.8%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)	0.6%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

46.9%(528.2K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -76.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	37.0%	78.9%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	3.9%	8.2%	—	—
Catholic	3.4%	7.2%	—	—
Other	2.4%	5.0%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.4%	3.0%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.3%	0.6%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	53.0%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Springfield, MO media market? 4,180,603 residents across 124 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Springfield, MO vs National4.2M residents

20% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 13pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.2M

local

4.2MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.25%

local

1.25%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.8%

local

39.8%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$42,907

local

$42,907National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

15.9%

local

15.9%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

19.9%

local

19.9%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

70.2%

local

70.2%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.9 yrs

local

39.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.4%

local

12.4%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.3%

local

14.3%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.3%

local

2.3%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.5%

local

4.5%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

95.5%

local

95.5%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Springfield, MO

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

62.8%

vs Previous

+1.6pp

Eligible Non-Voters

322K · 37.2%

Citizen VAP

865,790

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Springfield, MO split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+49.9	R+44.2	5.7pp
Senate vs Governor	R+44.2	R+47.5	3.2pp
President vs Governor	R+49.9	R+47.5	2.4pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 18.3pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Springfield, MO sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Arkansas(State)Missouri(State)

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