How did Columbia-Jefferson City vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Columbia-Jefferson City voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+27.2. Kamala D Harris received 85,302 votes and Donald Trump received 150,540 out of 239,680 total votes cast, a 2.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Columbia-Jefferson City's political history?

Columbia-Jefferson City has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1996. The largest single-election swing was 34.1 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Columbia-Jefferson City?

Columbia-Jefferson City has a population of 1,839,541 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 86.3% non-Hispanic white, 2.3% Hispanic, 6.4% Black. About 30% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $50,225.

Which places are most similar to Columbia-Jefferson City?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Columbia-Jefferson City are Topeka, Champaign & Springfield-Decatur, Fargo-Valley City. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Columbia-Jefferson City

Missouri's capital corridor anchors a mid-state swing zone

The Columbia-Jefferson City market pairs a major university town with the state capital, producing an unusually wide ideological range for a market its size — college precincts and government-worker suburbs pull in opposite directions.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 604

Population1.8M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

36y▼ 2.9

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

29.5%▼ 5.5

White86.3%
Black6.4%
Two or more3.3%
Hispanic2.3%
Asian1.7%
Other0.8%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Columbia-Jefferson CityBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Topeka, Champaign & Springfield-Decatur, and Fargo-Valley City.

8 visible matches

Topeka

Small-town rural republican 3

R+19.6

Similarity score91%

Champaign & Springfield-Decatur

Small-town rural republican 3

R+18.7

Similarity score89%

Fargo-Valley City

Small-town rural republican 3

R+23.8

Similarity score85%

Peoria-Bloomington

Small-town rural republican 3

R+12.3

Similarity score85%

Harrisonburg

Small-town rural republican 3

R+25.7

Similarity score84%

Mankato

Small-town rural republican 3

R+13.1

Similarity score82%

Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney

Small-town rural republican 3

R+29.3

Similarity score82%

Idaho Fals-Pocatllo(Jcksn)

Rural Republican 2

R+41.4

Similarity score82%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Columbia-Jefferson City

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Boone	188K	D+9.7	48,452	39,673	90,110	9.4%
Boone	173K	D+9.7	48,452	39,673	90,110	9.4%
Boone	152K	D+9.7	48,452	39,673	90,110	9.4%
Boone	135K	D+9.7	48,452	39,673	90,110	9.4%
Cole	77K	R+34.4	12,874	26,686	40,152	4.2%
Cole	77K	R+34.4	12,874	26,686	40,152	4.2%
Cole	74K	R+34.4	12,874	26,686	40,152	4.2%
Cole	71K	R+34.4	12,874	26,686	40,152	4.2%
Callaway	45K	R+43.3	5,926	15,206	21,455	2.2%
Callaway	45K	R+43.3	5,926	15,206	21,455	2.2%
Callaway	43K	R+43.3	5,926	15,206	21,455	2.2%
Callaway	41K	R+43.3	5,926	15,206	21,455	2.2%
Audrain	26K	R+47.6	2,688	7,699	10,523	1.1%
Audrain	26K	R+47.6	2,688	7,699	10,523	1.1%
Audrain	26K	R+47.6	2,688	7,699	10,523	1.1%
Randolph	26K	R+52.1	2,571	8,322	11,028	1.2%
Miller	25K	R+67.3	2,067	10,826	13,011	1.4%
Randolph	25K	R+52.1	2,571	8,322	11,028	1.2%
Miller	25K	R+67.3	2,067	10,826	13,011	1.4%
Miller	25K	R+67.3	2,067	10,826	13,011	1.4%
Randolph	25K	R+52.1	2,571	8,322	11,028	1.2%
Audrain	25K	R+47.6	2,688	7,699	10,523	1.1%
Randolph	24K	R+52.1	2,571	8,322	11,028	1.2%
Miller	24K	R+67.3	2,067	10,826	13,011	1.4%
Morgan	22K	R+59.7	1,914	7,725	9,735	1.0%
Morgan	21K	R+59.7	1,914	7,725	9,735	1.0%
Morgan	20K	R+59.7	1,914	7,725	9,735	1.0%
Morgan	19K	R+59.7	1,914	7,725	9,735	1.0%
Cooper	18K	R+45.8	2,347	6,393	8,835	0.9%
Cooper	17K	R+45.8	2,347	6,393	8,835	0.9%
Cooper	17K	R+45.8	2,347	6,393	8,835	0.9%
Cooper	17K	R+45.8	2,347	6,393	8,835	0.9%
Moniteau	16K	R+62.7	1,313	5,877	7,275	0.8%
Moniteau	15K	R+62.7	1,313	5,877	7,275	0.8%
Moniteau	15K	R+62.7	1,313	5,877	7,275	0.8%
Moniteau	15K	R+62.7	1,313	5,877	7,275	0.8%
Osage	14K	R+73.1	1,009	6,657	7,727	0.8%
Osage	13K	R+73.1	1,009	6,657	7,727	0.8%
Osage	13K	R+73.1	1,009	6,657	7,727	0.8%
Osage	13K	R+73.1	1,009	6,657	7,727	0.8%
Montgomery	12K	R+60.1	1,170	4,776	5,998	0.6%
Montgomery	12K	R+60.1	1,170	4,776	5,998	0.6%
Montgomery	12K	R+60.1	1,170	4,776	5,998	0.6%
Montgomery	11K	R+60.1	1,170	4,776	5,998	0.6%
Howard	10K	R+44.3	1,341	3,534	4,956	0.5%
Howard	10K	R+44.3	1,341	3,534	4,956	0.5%
Howard	10K	R+44.3	1,341	3,534	4,956	0.5%
Howard	10K	R+44.3	1,341	3,534	4,956	0.5%
Maries	9K	R+67.5	755	3,987	4,786	0.5%
Maries	9K	R+67.5	755	3,987	4,786	0.5%
Maries	9K	R+67.5	755	3,987	4,786	0.5%
Maries	8K	R+67.5	755	3,987	4,786	0.5%
Chariton	8K	R+56.4	875	3,179	4,089	0.4%
Chariton	8K	R+56.4	875	3,179	4,089	0.4%
Chariton	8K	R+56.4	875	3,179	4,089	0.4%
Chariton	7K	R+56.4	875	3,179	4,089	0.4%

56 countiesTotal votes: 958,720

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Columbia-Jefferson City's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Columbia-Jefferson City media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Columbia-Jefferson CityCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 86.3%Black 6.4%Multiracial 2.8%Hispanic 2.3%Asian 1.7%Native American 0.3%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	86.3%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(12)	6.4%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	2.8%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	2.3%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	1.7%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)	0.3%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

44.1%(215.5K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -29.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	22.6%	51.3%	—	—
Catholic	11.4%	25.8%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	6.1%	13.9%	—	—
Other	2.6%	6.0%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.3%	3.0%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.2%	2.8%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	55.9%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Columbia-Jefferson City media market? 1,839,541 residents across 56 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Columbia-Jefferson City vs National1.8M residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.8M

local

1.8MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.55%

local

0.55%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.2%

local

38.2%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$50,225

local

$50,225National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.4%

local

14.4%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

29.5%

local

29.5%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

67.5%

local

67.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.0 yrs

local

36.0 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

15.4%

local

15.4%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.3%

local

11.3%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.0%

local

3.0%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.2%

local

5.2%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

94.8%

local

94.8%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Columbia-Jefferson City

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

63.7%

vs Previous

+0.4pp

Eligible Non-Voters

137K · 36.3%

Citizen VAP

376,443

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Columbia-Jefferson City split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (44/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+21.5	R+32.0	10.5pp
President vs Senate	R+27.2	R+21.5	5.7pp
President vs Governor	R+27.2	R+32.0	4.8pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 11.0pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Columbia-Jefferson City sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Missouri(State)

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