How did Fargo-Valley City vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Fargo-Valley City voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+23.8. Kamala D Harris received 121,919 votes and Donald Trump received 200,682 out of 330,588 total votes cast, a 3.8-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Fargo-Valley City's political history?

Fargo-Valley City has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 11 and Republicans 29 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 57.2 points in 1920.

What are the demographics of Fargo-Valley City?

Fargo-Valley City has a population of 2,467,872 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 89.3% non-Hispanic white, 2.9% Hispanic, 1.8% Black. About 27% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $52,779.

Which places are most similar to Fargo-Valley City?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Fargo-Valley City are Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney, Columbia-Jefferson City, Sioux Falls(Mitchell). Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Fargo-Valley City

A prairie media market where urban Fargo pulls against rural red margins

Fargo's growing university and healthcare workforce has nudged the city itself toward competitive margins, while the surrounding Red River Valley counties reliably anchor statewide Republican totals by double digits.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 724

Population2.5M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

37.1y▼ 1.8

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

27.3%▼ 7.7

White89.3%
Hispanic2.9%
Two or more2.9%
Native2.6%
Black1.8%
Asian1.2%
Other0.9%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Fargo-Valley CityBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney, Columbia-Jefferson City, and Sioux Falls(Mitchell).

8 visible matches

Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney

Small-town rural republican 3

R+29.3

Similarity score93%

Columbia-Jefferson City

Small-town rural republican 3

R+27.2

Similarity score85%

Sioux Falls(Mitchell)

Small-town rural republican 3

R+30.4

Similarity score85%

Topeka

Small-town rural republican 3

R+19.6

Similarity score83%

Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston)

Small-town rural republican

R+51.8

Similarity score83%

Des Moines-Ames

Small-town rural republican 3

R+9.9

Similarity score79%

Cincinnati

Small-town rural republican 3

R+19.0

Similarity score79%

Idaho Fals-Pocatllo(Jcksn)

Rural Republican 2

R+41.4

Similarity score78%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Fargo-Valley City

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Cass	193K	R+8.3	40,304	47,873	90,851	6.9%
Cass	167K	R+8.3	40,304	47,873	90,851	6.9%
Cass	138K	R+8.3	40,304	47,873	90,851	6.9%
Cass	123K	R+8.3	40,304	47,873	90,851	6.9%
Grand Forks	73K	R+18.0	12,469	18,123	31,411	2.4%
Grand Forks	70K	R+18.0	12,469	18,123	31,411	2.4%
Grand Forks	67K	R+18.0	12,469	18,123	31,411	2.4%
Grand Forks	66K	R+18.0	12,469	18,123	31,411	2.4%
Clay	66K	D+0.5	16,121	15,965	32,874	2.5%
Clay	61K	D+0.5	16,121	15,965	32,874	2.5%
Otter Tail	60K	R+34.1	11,752	24,276	36,736	2.8%
Otter Tail	58K	R+34.1	11,752	24,276	36,736	2.8%
Otter Tail	57K	R+34.1	11,752	24,276	36,736	2.8%
Otter Tail	57K	R+34.1	11,752	24,276	36,736	2.8%
Clay	55K	D+0.5	16,121	15,965	32,874	2.5%
Clay	51K	D+0.5	16,121	15,965	32,874	2.5%
Becker	35K	R+33.1	6,435	12,961	19,739	1.5%
Becker	33K	R+33.1	6,435	12,961	19,739	1.5%
Becker	32K	R+33.1	6,435	12,961	19,739	1.5%
Polk	32K	R+33.7	4,967	10,162	15,419	1.2%
Polk	31K	R+33.7	4,967	10,162	15,419	1.2%
Polk	31K	R+33.7	4,967	10,162	15,419	1.2%
Polk	31K	R+33.7	4,967	10,162	15,419	1.2%
Becker	30K	R+33.1	6,435	12,961	19,739	1.5%
Stutsman	22K	R+44.3	2,692	7,185	10,134	0.8%
Stutsman	22K	R+44.3	2,692	7,185	10,134	0.8%
Stutsman	21K	R+44.3	2,692	7,185	10,134	0.8%
Stutsman	21K	R+44.3	2,692	7,185	10,134	0.8%
Richland	18K	R+37.6	2,473	5,576	8,261	0.6%
Richland	17K	R+37.6	2,473	5,576	8,261	0.6%
Richland	17K	R+37.6	2,473	5,576	8,261	0.6%
Roseau	16K	R+49.3	2,093	6,279	8,499	0.6%
Richland	16K	R+37.6	2,473	5,576	8,261	0.6%
Roseau	16K	R+49.3	2,093	6,279	8,499	0.6%
Roseau	16K	R+49.3	2,093	6,279	8,499	0.6%
Roseau	15K	R+49.3	2,093	6,279	8,499	0.6%
Pennington	14K	R+31.4	2,439	4,756	7,381	0.6%
Pennington	14K	R+31.4	2,439	4,756	7,381	0.6%
Pennington	14K	R+31.4	2,439	4,756	7,381	0.6%
Pennington	14K	R+31.4	2,439	4,756	7,381	0.6%
Walsh	12K	R+44.8	1,173	3,186	4,496	0.3%
Ramsey	12K	R+40.0	1,513	3,609	5,239	0.4%
Barnes	12K	R+35.0	1,661	3,531	5,339	0.4%
Ramsey	12K	R+40.0	1,513	3,609	5,239	0.4%
Ramsey	12K	R+40.0	1,513	3,609	5,239	0.4%
Ramsey	11K	R+40.0	1,513	3,609	5,239	0.4%
Walsh	11K	R+44.8	1,173	3,186	4,496	0.3%
Barnes	11K	R+35.0	1,661	3,531	5,339	0.4%
Walsh	11K	R+44.8	1,173	3,186	4,496	0.3%
Barnes	11K	R+35.0	1,661	3,531	5,339	0.4%
Barnes	11K	R+35.0	1,661	3,531	5,339	0.4%
Walsh	10K	R+44.8	1,173	3,186	4,496	0.3%
Marshall	10K	R+51.6	1,177	3,774	5,031	0.4%
Marshall	9K	R+51.6	1,177	3,774	5,031	0.4%
Marshall	9K	R+51.6	1,177	3,774	5,031	0.4%
Marshall	9K	R+51.6	1,177	3,774	5,031	0.4%
Clearwater	9K	R+50.0	1,169	3,575	4,814	0.4%
Clearwater	9K	R+50.0	1,169	3,575	4,814	0.4%
Pembina	9K	R+52.9	704	2,350	3,112	0.2%
Traill	8K	R+31.4	1,359	2,650	4,115	0.3%
Clearwater	8K	R+50.0	1,169	3,575	4,814	0.4%
Clearwater	8K	R+50.0	1,169	3,575	4,814	0.4%
Traill	8K	R+31.4	1,359	2,650	4,115	0.3%
Traill	8K	R+31.4	1,359	2,650	4,115	0.3%
Traill	8K	R+31.4	1,359	2,650	4,115	0.3%
Pembina	8K	R+52.9	704	2,350	3,112	0.2%
Norman	7K	R+22.2	1,233	1,963	3,294	0.2%
Wilkin	7K	R+38.9	986	2,290	3,353	0.3%
Pembina	7K	R+52.9	704	2,350	3,112	0.2%
Benson	7K	R+18.4	795	1,163	2,002	0.2%
Benson	7K	R+18.4	795	1,163	2,002	0.2%
Benson	7K	R+18.4	795	1,163	2,002	0.2%
Pembina	7K	R+52.9	704	2,350	3,112	0.2%
Norman	7K	R+22.2	1,233	1,963	3,294	0.2%
Norman	7K	R+22.2	1,233	1,963	3,294	0.2%
Wilkin	6K	R+38.9	986	2,290	3,353	0.3%
Wilkin	6K	R+38.9	986	2,290	3,353	0.3%
Wilkin	6K	R+38.9	986	2,290	3,353	0.3%
Norman	6K	R+22.2	1,233	1,963	3,294	0.2%
Ransom	6K	R+28.0	920	1,661	2,649	0.2%
Benson	6K	R+18.4	795	1,163	2,002	0.2%
Dickey	6K	R+51.9	557	1,829	2,453	0.2%
Ransom	6K	R+28.0	920	1,661	2,649	0.2%
Ransom	6K	R+28.0	920	1,661	2,649	0.2%
Mahnomen	5K	R+8.7	975	1,165	2,183	0.2%
Ransom	5K	R+28.0	920	1,661	2,649	0.2%
Mahnomen	5K	R+8.7	975	1,165	2,183	0.2%
Dickey	5K	R+51.9	557	1,829	2,453	0.2%
Kittson	5K	R+25.0	911	1,535	2,500	0.2%
Mahnomen	5K	R+8.7	975	1,165	2,183	0.2%
Dickey	5K	R+51.9	557	1,829	2,453	0.2%
Mahnomen	5K	R+8.7	975	1,165	2,183	0.2%
Dickey	5K	R+51.9	557	1,829	2,453	0.2%
Cavalier	5K	R+48.8	491	1,461	1,987	0.2%
Lamoure	5K	R+54.7	453	1,614	2,123	0.2%
Kittson	5K	R+25.0	911	1,535	2,500	0.2%
Lake of the Woods	5K	R+47.1	604	1,710	2,347	0.2%
Kittson	4K	R+25.0	911	1,535	2,500	0.2%
Sargent	4K	R+32.4	663	1,325	2,043	0.2%
Red Lake	4K	R+37.0	642	1,425	2,116	0.2%
Red Lake	4K	R+37.0	642	1,425	2,116	0.2%
Lamoure	4K	R+54.7	453	1,614	2,123	0.2%
Lamoure	4K	R+54.7	453	1,614	2,123	0.2%
Lamoure	4K	R+54.7	453	1,614	2,123	0.2%
Kittson	4K	R+25.0	911	1,535	2,500	0.2%
Lake of the Woods	4K	R+47.1	604	1,710	2,347	0.2%
Sargent	4K	R+32.4	663	1,325	2,043	0.2%
Red Lake	4K	R+37.0	642	1,425	2,116	0.2%
Red Lake	4K	R+37.0	642	1,425	2,116	0.2%
Cavalier	4K	R+48.8	491	1,461	1,987	0.2%
Lake of the Woods	4K	R+47.1	604	1,710	2,347	0.2%
Sargent	4K	R+32.4	663	1,325	2,043	0.2%
Cavalier	4K	R+48.8	491	1,461	1,987	0.2%
Lake of the Woods	4K	R+47.1	604	1,710	2,347	0.2%
Sargent	4K	R+32.4	663	1,325	2,043	0.2%
Foster	4K	R+58.2	335	1,326	1,703	0.1%
Nelson	4K	R+31.9	580	1,141	1,761	0.1%
Cavalier	4K	R+48.8	491	1,461	1,987	0.2%
Foster	3K	R+58.2	335	1,326	1,703	0.1%
Foster	3K	R+58.2	335	1,326	1,703	0.1%
Foster	3K	R+58.2	335	1,326	1,703	0.1%
Nelson	3K	R+31.9	580	1,141	1,761	0.1%
Nelson	3K	R+31.9	580	1,141	1,761	0.1%
Nelson	3K	R+31.9	580	1,141	1,761	0.1%
Towner	3K	R+45.5	289	796	1,114	0.1%
Eddy	3K	R+45.3	316	862	1,205	0.1%
Griggs	3K	R+51.4	301	963	1,289	0.1%
Eddy	2K	R+45.3	316	862	1,205	0.1%
Eddy	2K	R+45.3	316	862	1,205	0.1%
Towner	2K	R+45.5	289	796	1,114	0.1%
Griggs	2K	R+51.4	301	963	1,289	0.1%
Griggs	2K	R+51.4	301	963	1,289	0.1%
Eddy	2K	R+45.3	316	862	1,205	0.1%
Towner	2K	R+45.5	289	796	1,114	0.1%
Steele	2K	R+25.1	367	622	1,015	0.1%
Griggs	2K	R+51.4	301	963	1,289	0.1%
Towner	2K	R+45.5	289	796	1,114	0.1%
Steele	2K	R+25.1	367	622	1,015	0.1%
Steele	2K	R+25.1	367	622	1,015	0.1%
Steele	2K	R+25.1	367	622	1,015	0.1%

140 countiesTotal votes: 1,322,352

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Fargo-Valley City's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Fargo-Valley City media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Fargo-Valley CityCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 89.3%Hispanic 2.9%Native American 2.6%Multiracial 2.2%Black 1.8%Asian 1.2%

Group	Fargo-Valley City	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	89.3%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	2.9%	19.3%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6)	2.6%	0.9%
Multiracial / Other	2.2%	4.0%
▶Black / African American(13)	1.8%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	1.2%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

54.1%(358.8K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Mainline Protestant	24.6%	45.6%	—	—
Catholic	15.9%	29.4%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	12.2%	22.5%	—	—
Other	1.3%	2.4%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.6%	1.1%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	45.9%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Mainline Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Fargo-Valley City media market? 2,467,872 residents across 140 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Fargo-Valley City vs National2.5M residents

27% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 6pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.5M

local

2.5MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.74%

local

0.74%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.7%

local

38.7%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$52,779

local

$52,779National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.9%

local

11.9%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

27.3%

local

27.3%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

66.5%

local

66.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.1 yrs

local

37.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.6%

local

14.6%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.3%

local

12.3%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.3%

local

3.3%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.8%

local

5.8%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

94.2%

local

94.2%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Fargo-Valley City

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

66.2%

vs Previous

+1.1pp

Eligible Non-Voters

169K · 33.8%

Citizen VAP

499,410

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Fargo-Valley City split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+15.5	R+29.1	13.6pp
President vs Senate	R+23.8	R+15.5	8.3pp
President vs Governor	R+23.8	R+29.1	5.3pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 23.4pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Fargo-Valley City sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Minnesota(State)North Dakota(State)

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