How did Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+29.3. Kamala D Harris received 126,979 votes and Donald Trump received 234,418 out of 366,244 total votes cast, a 2.1-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney's political history?

Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The largest single-election swing was 58.2 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney?

Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney has a population of 2,881,297 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 86.4% non-Hispanic white, 7.6% Hispanic, 1.9% Black. About 27% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $52,354.

Which places are most similar to Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney are Fargo-Valley City, Wichita-Hutchinson Plus, Columbia-Jefferson City. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Lincoln & Hastings-Krny

Nebraska's split-electoral-vote corridor anchors this mid-size market

The Lincoln DMA spans Nebraska's 1st and 2nd congressional districts, the latter of which allocates one presidential electoral vote independently and has split from the statewide result in recent cycles.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 722

Population2.9M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

37.1y▼ 1.8

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

27.3%▼ 7.7

White86.4%
Hispanic7.6%
Two or more3.1%
Other2.6%
Black1.9%
Asian1.8%
Native0.5%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Lincoln & Hastings-KrnyBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Fargo-Valley City, Wichita-Hutchinson Plus, and Columbia-Jefferson City.

8 visible matches

Fargo-Valley City

Small-town rural republican 3

R+23.8

Similarity score93%

Wichita-Hutchinson Plus

Small-town rural republican 3

R+33.4

Similarity score92%

Columbia-Jefferson City

Small-town rural republican 3

R+27.2

Similarity score82%

Sioux Falls(Mitchell)

Small-town rural republican 3

R+30.4

Similarity score82%

Nashville

Small-town rural republican 3

R+28.0

Similarity score81%

Topeka

Small-town rural republican 3

R+19.6

Similarity score81%

Springfield, MO

Small-town rural republican

R+49.9

Similarity score80%

Sioux City

Small-town rural republican

R+45.5

Similarity score80%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Lancaster	327K	D+4.3	81,012	74,215	157,633	10.8%
Lancaster	302K	D+4.3	81,012	74,215	157,633	10.8%
Lancaster	274K	D+4.3	81,012	74,215	157,633	10.8%
Lancaster	250K	D+4.3	81,012	74,215	157,633	10.8%
Hall	63K	R+37.8	6,956	15,566	22,804	1.6%
Hall	61K	R+37.8	6,956	15,566	22,804	1.6%
Hall	56K	R+37.8	6,956	15,566	22,804	1.6%
Hall	54K	R+37.8	6,956	15,566	22,804	1.6%
Buffalo	51K	R+44.9	6,386	17,064	23,759	1.6%
Buffalo	48K	R+44.9	6,386	17,064	23,759	1.6%
Buffalo	45K	R+44.9	6,386	17,064	23,759	1.6%
Buffalo	42K	R+44.9	6,386	17,064	23,759	1.6%
Adams	33K	R+41.6	4,100	10,077	14,364	1.0%
Adams	32K	R+41.6	4,100	10,077	14,364	1.0%
Adams	31K	R+41.6	4,100	10,077	14,364	1.0%
Adams	31K	R+41.6	4,100	10,077	14,364	1.0%
Dawson	25K	R+49.6	2,101	6,312	8,491	0.6%
Dawson	24K	R+49.6	2,101	6,312	8,491	0.6%
Dawson	24K	R+49.6	2,101	6,312	8,491	0.6%
Dawson	24K	R+49.6	2,101	6,312	8,491	0.6%
Gage	23K	R+39.2	3,242	7,523	10,916	0.7%
Gage	23K	R+39.2	3,242	7,523	10,916	0.7%
Gage	22K	R+39.2	3,242	7,523	10,916	0.7%
Gage	22K	R+39.2	3,242	7,523	10,916	0.7%
Seward	18K	R+46.6	2,388	6,667	9,184	0.6%
Seward	17K	R+46.6	2,388	6,667	9,184	0.6%
Seward	17K	R+46.6	2,388	6,667	9,184	0.6%
Seward	16K	R+46.6	2,388	6,667	9,184	0.6%
Saline	15K	R+33.2	1,855	3,734	5,655	0.4%
York	15K	R+51.4	1,648	5,234	6,984	0.5%
Saline	14K	R+33.2	1,855	3,734	5,655	0.4%
York	14K	R+51.4	1,648	5,234	6,984	0.5%
York	14K	R+51.4	1,648	5,234	6,984	0.5%
Saline	14K	R+33.2	1,855	3,734	5,655	0.4%
York	14K	R+51.4	1,648	5,234	6,984	0.5%
Saline	14K	R+33.2	1,855	3,734	5,655	0.4%
Custer	12K	R+72.3	786	5,042	5,886	0.4%
Holt	12K	R+74.0	681	4,708	5,442	0.4%
Red Willow	11K	R+68.4	815	4,457	5,323	0.4%
Custer	11K	R+72.3	786	5,042	5,886	0.4%
Red Willow	11K	R+68.4	815	4,457	5,323	0.4%
Custer	11K	R+72.3	786	5,042	5,886	0.4%
Red Willow	11K	R+68.4	815	4,457	5,323	0.4%
Red Willow	11K	R+68.4	815	4,457	5,323	0.4%
Custer	11K	R+72.3	786	5,042	5,886	0.4%
Holt	10K	R+74.0	681	4,708	5,442	0.4%
Holt	10K	R+74.0	681	4,708	5,442	0.4%
Holt	10K	R+74.0	681	4,708	5,442	0.4%
Phelps	10K	R+68.5	758	4,158	4,965	0.3%
Hamilton	9K	R+60.4	1,067	4,416	5,547	0.4%
Hamilton	9K	R+60.4	1,067	4,416	5,547	0.4%
Hamilton	9K	R+60.4	1,067	4,416	5,547	0.4%
Phelps	9K	R+68.5	758	4,158	4,965	0.3%
Phelps	9K	R+68.5	758	4,158	4,965	0.3%
Hamilton	9K	R+60.4	1,067	4,416	5,547	0.4%
Phelps	9K	R+68.5	758	4,158	4,965	0.3%
Butler	9K	R+59.6	906	3,642	4,587	0.3%
Butler	8K	R+59.6	906	3,642	4,587	0.3%
Butler	8K	R+59.6	906	3,642	4,587	0.3%
Jefferson	8K	R+45.3	968	2,614	3,631	0.2%
Butler	8K	R+59.6	906	3,642	4,587	0.3%
Merrick	8K	R+65.0	730	3,551	4,342	0.3%
Merrick	8K	R+65.0	730	3,551	4,342	0.3%
Merrick	8K	R+65.0	730	3,551	4,342	0.3%
Merrick	8K	R+65.0	730	3,551	4,342	0.3%
Jefferson	8K	R+45.3	968	2,614	3,631	0.2%
Antelope	7K	R+76.5	396	3,032	3,447	0.2%
Jefferson	7K	R+45.3	968	2,614	3,631	0.2%
Jefferson	7K	R+45.3	968	2,614	3,631	0.2%
Clay	7K	R+63.4	577	2,677	3,310	0.2%
Kearney	7K	R+58.0	736	2,828	3,604	0.2%
Antelope	7K	R+76.5	396	3,032	3,447	0.2%
Kearney	7K	R+58.0	736	2,828	3,604	0.2%
Fillmore	7K	R+54.9	662	2,315	3,013	0.2%
Howard	7K	R+62.7	642	2,868	3,550	0.2%
Kearney	7K	R+58.0	736	2,828	3,604	0.2%
Kearney	7K	R+58.0	736	2,828	3,604	0.2%
Howard	7K	R+62.7	642	2,868	3,550	0.2%
Howard	6K	R+62.7	642	2,868	3,550	0.2%
Antelope	6K	R+76.5	396	3,032	3,447	0.2%
Howard	6K	R+62.7	642	2,868	3,550	0.2%
Clay	6K	R+63.4	577	2,677	3,310	0.2%
Clay	6K	R+63.4	577	2,677	3,310	0.2%
Antelope	6K	R+76.5	396	3,032	3,447	0.2%
Boone	6K	R+66.1	496	2,499	3,031	0.2%
Clay	6K	R+63.4	577	2,677	3,310	0.2%
Thayer	6K	R+60.8	544	2,278	2,852	0.2%
Fillmore	6K	R+54.9	662	2,315	3,013	0.2%
Phillips	6K	R+73.7	331	2,356	2,747	0.2%
Republic	6K	R+65.7	396	2,001	2,443	0.2%
Fillmore	6K	R+54.9	662	2,315	3,013	0.2%
Polk	6K	R+63.7	501	2,296	2,819	0.2%
Fillmore	6K	R+54.9	662	2,315	3,013	0.2%
Boone	6K	R+66.1	496	2,499	3,031	0.2%
Phillips	5K	R+73.7	331	2,356	2,747	0.2%
Boone	5K	R+66.1	496	2,499	3,031	0.2%
Boone	5K	R+66.1	496	2,499	3,031	0.2%
Phillips	5K	R+73.7	331	2,356	2,747	0.2%
Furnas	5K	R+69.8	358	2,043	2,413	0.2%
Polk	5K	R+63.7	501	2,296	2,819	0.2%
Polk	5K	R+63.7	501	2,296	2,819	0.2%
Polk	5K	R+63.7	501	2,296	2,819	0.2%
Thayer	5K	R+60.8	544	2,278	2,852	0.2%
Thayer	5K	R+60.8	544	2,278	2,852	0.2%
Nuckolls	5K	R+63.6	399	1,836	2,258	0.2%
Republic	5K	R+65.7	396	2,001	2,443	0.2%
Thayer	5K	R+60.8	544	2,278	2,852	0.2%
Furnas	5K	R+69.8	358	2,043	2,413	0.2%
Phillips	5K	R+73.7	331	2,356	2,747	0.2%
Republic	5K	R+65.7	396	2,001	2,443	0.2%
Furnas	5K	R+69.8	358	2,043	2,413	0.2%
Valley	5K	R+63.9	403	1,872	2,299	0.2%
Republic	5K	R+65.7	396	2,001	2,443	0.2%
Furnas	5K	R+69.8	358	2,043	2,413	0.2%
Smith	5K	R+68.5	300	1,675	2,006	0.1%
Nuckolls	5K	R+63.6	399	1,836	2,258	0.2%
Nuckolls	4K	R+63.6	399	1,836	2,258	0.2%
Valley	4K	R+63.9	403	1,872	2,299	0.2%
Valley	4K	R+63.9	403	1,872	2,299	0.2%
Nuckolls	4K	R+63.6	399	1,836	2,258	0.2%
Chase	4K	R+77.4	204	1,648	1,866	0.1%
Valley	4K	R+63.9	403	1,872	2,299	0.2%
Webster	4K	R+65.4	296	1,449	1,763	0.1%
Chase	4K	R+77.4	204	1,648	1,866	0.1%
Nance	4K	R+60.4	352	1,462	1,837	0.1%
Smith	4K	R+68.5	300	1,675	2,006	0.1%
Jewell	4K	R+75.9	176	1,370	1,574	0.1%
Harlan	4K	R+68.0	280	1,506	1,802	0.1%
Chase	4K	R+77.4	204	1,648	1,866	0.1%
Smith	4K	R+68.5	300	1,675	2,006	0.1%
Chase	4K	R+77.4	204	1,648	1,866	0.1%
Webster	4K	R+65.4	296	1,449	1,763	0.1%
Nance	4K	R+60.4	352	1,462	1,837	0.1%
Franklin	4K	R+69.7	236	1,351	1,600	0.1%
Webster	4K	R+65.4	296	1,449	1,763	0.1%
Smith	4K	R+68.5	300	1,675	2,006	0.1%
Nance	4K	R+60.4	352	1,462	1,837	0.1%
Brown	4K	R+74.7	201	1,428	1,642	0.1%
Harlan	3K	R+68.0	280	1,506	1,802	0.1%
Webster	3K	R+65.4	296	1,449	1,763	0.1%
Harlan	3K	R+68.0	280	1,506	1,802	0.1%
Nance	3K	R+60.4	352	1,462	1,837	0.1%
Sherman	3K	R+60.2	328	1,344	1,687	0.1%
Perkins	3K	R+72.7	187	1,224	1,426	0.1%
Franklin	3K	R+69.7	236	1,351	1,600	0.1%
Brown	3K	R+74.7	201	1,428	1,642	0.1%
Jewell	3K	R+75.9	176	1,370	1,574	0.1%
Hitchcock	3K	R+78.0	152	1,269	1,433	0.1%
Frontier	3K	R+72.9	185	1,213	1,410	0.1%
Sherman	3K	R+60.2	328	1,344	1,687	0.1%
Pawnee	3K	R+58.1	284	1,085	1,379	0.1%
Franklin	3K	R+69.7	236	1,351	1,600	0.1%
Brown	3K	R+74.7	201	1,428	1,642	0.1%
Jewell	3K	R+75.9	176	1,370	1,574	0.1%
Sherman	3K	R+60.2	328	1,344	1,687	0.1%
Sherman	3K	R+60.2	328	1,344	1,687	0.1%
Jewell	3K	R+75.9	176	1,370	1,574	0.1%
Perkins	3K	R+72.7	187	1,224	1,426	0.1%
Brown	3K	R+74.7	201	1,428	1,642	0.1%
Hitchcock	3K	R+78.0	152	1,269	1,433	0.1%
Hitchcock	3K	R+78.0	152	1,269	1,433	0.1%
Harlan	3K	R+68.0	280	1,506	1,802	0.1%
Franklin	3K	R+69.7	236	1,351	1,600	0.1%
Perkins	3K	R+72.7	187	1,224	1,426	0.1%
Perkins	3K	R+72.7	187	1,224	1,426	0.1%
Greeley	3K	R+67.8	192	1,030	1,235	0.1%
Pawnee	3K	R+58.1	284	1,085	1,379	0.1%
Pawnee	3K	R+58.1	284	1,085	1,379	0.1%
Frontier	3K	R+72.9	185	1,213	1,410	0.1%
Frontier	3K	R+72.9	185	1,213	1,410	0.1%
Frontier	3K	R+72.9	185	1,213	1,410	0.1%
Hitchcock	3K	R+78.0	152	1,269	1,433	0.1%
Pawnee	3K	R+58.1	284	1,085	1,379	0.1%
Greeley	2K	R+67.8	192	1,030	1,235	0.1%
Boyd	2K	R+75.0	132	938	1,075	0.1%
Greeley	2K	R+67.8	192	1,030	1,235	0.1%
Greeley	2K	R+67.8	192	1,030	1,235	0.1%
Gosper	2K	R+63.0	203	907	1,118	0.1%
Boyd	2K	R+75.0	132	938	1,075	0.1%
Gosper	2K	R+63.0	203	907	1,118	0.1%
Boyd	2K	R+75.0	132	938	1,075	0.1%
Gosper	2K	R+63.0	203	907	1,118	0.1%
Garfield	2K	R+76.5	116	893	1,015	0.1%
Gosper	2K	R+63.0	203	907	1,118	0.1%
Garfield	2K	R+76.5	116	893	1,015	0.1%
Garfield	2K	R+76.5	116	893	1,015	0.1%
Rock	2K	R+79.1	85	745	834	0.1%
Garfield	2K	R+76.5	116	893	1,015	0.1%
Boyd	2K	R+75.0	132	938	1,075	0.1%
Rock	1K	R+79.1	85	745	834	0.1%
Rock	1K	R+79.1	85	745	834	0.1%
Rock	1K	R+79.1	85	745	834	0.1%
Hayes	1K	R+91.7	19	472	494	0.0%
Hayes	1K	R+91.7	19	472	494	0.0%
Hayes	1K	R+91.7	19	472	494	0.0%
Keya Paha	983	R+83.8	44	500	544	0.0%
Wheeler	886	R+75.5	57	424	486	0.0%
Keya Paha	863	R+83.8	44	500	544	0.0%
Wheeler	847	R+75.5	57	424	486	0.0%
Hayes	843	R+91.7	19	472	494	0.0%
Keya Paha	822	R+83.8	44	500	544	0.0%
Wheeler	805	R+75.5	57	424	486	0.0%
Wheeler	741	R+75.5	57	424	486	0.0%
Keya Paha	736	R+83.8	44	500	544	0.0%
Loup	712	R+65.7	73	354	428	0.0%
Blaine	583	R+73.2	37	250	291	0.0%
Blaine	580	R+73.2	37	250	291	0.0%
Loup	578	R+65.7	73	354	428	0.0%
Loup	550	R+65.7	73	354	428	0.0%
Loup	542	R+65.7	73	354	428	0.0%
Blaine	471	R+73.2	37	250	291	0.0%
Blaine	422	R+73.2	37	250	291	0.0%

212 countiesTotal votes: 1,464,976

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Lincoln & Hastings-KearneyCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 86.4%Hispanic 7.6%Black 1.9%Asian 1.8%Multiracial 1.8%Native American 0.5%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	86.4%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)	7.6%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(12)	1.9%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	1.8%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	1.8%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.6%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)	0.5%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

50.8%(384.6K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -7.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A moderate religious balance between Catholic and Evangelical traditions.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	17.2%	33.8%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	16.1%	31.8%	—	—
Catholic	15.5%	30.6%	—	—
Other	1.8%	3.5%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.0%	2.0%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.2%	0.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	49.2%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney media market? 2,881,297 residents across 212 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney vs National2.9M residents

27% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 6pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.9M

local

2.9MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.86%

local

0.86%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.8%

local

37.8%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$52,354

local

$52,354National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.6%

local

11.6%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

27.3%

local

27.3%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

67.1%

local

67.1%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.1 yrs

local

37.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.7%

local

13.7%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.4%

local

12.4%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.7%

local

5.7%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.4%

local

9.4%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

90.6%

local

90.6%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

66.2%

vs Previous

-1.1pp

Eligible Non-Voters

187K · 33.8%

Citizen VAP

553,046

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+29.3	R+32.6	3.2pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 28.3pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Kansas(State)Nebraska(State)

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