A Fox River corridor where manufacturing heritage shapes swing-vote arithmetic
Anchored by Brown and Outagamie counties, this northeast Wisconsin market blends a Catholic, union-influenced Green Bay base with Appleton's white-collar Fox Cities suburbs, producing some of the state's most closely watched county-level margins in federal races.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brown | 271K | R+7.5 | 67,937 | 79,132 | 149,333 | 5.6% |
| Brown | 257K | R+7.5 | 67,937 | 79,132 | 149,333 | 5.6% |
| Brown | 243K | R+7.5 | 67,937 | 79,132 | 149,333 | 5.6% |
| Brown | 227K | R+7.5 | 67,937 | 79,132 | 149,333 | 5.6% |
| Outagamie | 193K | R+10.2 | 49,438 | 60,827 | 111,932 | 4.2% |
| Outagamie | 182K | R+10.2 | 49,438 | 60,827 | 111,932 | 4.2% |
| Outagamie | 174K | R+10.2 | 49,438 | 60,827 | 111,932 | 4.2% |
| Winnebago | 172K | R+4.7 | 44,660 | 49,179 | 95,371 | 3.6% |
| Winnebago | 169K | R+4.7 | 44,660 | 49,179 | 95,371 | 3.6% |
| Winnebago | 161K | R+4.7 | 44,660 | 49,179 | 95,371 | 3.6% |
| Outagamie | 161K | R+10.2 | 49,438 | 60,827 | 111,932 | 4.2% |
| Winnebago | 157K | R+4.7 | 44,660 | 49,179 | 95,371 | 3.6% |
| Fond du Lac | 104K | R+28.7 | 20,495 | 37,272 | 58,527 | 2.2% |
| Fond du Lac | 102K | R+28.7 | 20,495 | 37,272 | 58,527 | 2.2% |
| Fond du Lac | 99K | R+28.7 | 20,495 | 37,272 | 58,527 | 2.2% |
| Fond du Lac | 97K | R+28.7 | 20,495 | 37,272 | 58,527 | 2.2% |
| Manitowoc | 83K | R+23.3 | 17,399 | 28,200 | 46,316 | 1.7% |
| Manitowoc | 81K | R+23.3 | 17,399 | 28,200 | 46,316 | 1.7% |
| Manitowoc | 81K | R+23.3 | 17,399 | 28,200 | 46,316 | 1.7% |
| Manitowoc | 80K | R+23.3 | 17,399 | 28,200 | 46,316 | 1.7% |
| Calumet | 53K | R+19.9 | 12,927 | 19,488 | 32,916 | 1.2% |
| Waupaca | 52K | R+33.4 | 9,947 | 20,093 | 30,403 | 1.1% |
| Waupaca | 52K | R+33.4 | 9,947 | 20,093 | 30,403 | 1.1% |
| Waupaca | 52K | R+33.4 | 9,947 | 20,093 | 30,403 | 1.1% |
| Waupaca | 52K | R+33.4 | 9,947 | 20,093 | 30,403 | 1.1% |
| Calumet | 50K | R+19.9 | 12,927 | 19,488 | 32,916 | 1.2% |
| Calumet | 44K | R+19.9 | 12,927 | 19,488 | 32,916 | 1.2% |
| Marinette | 43K | R+37.9 | 7,415 | 16,670 | 24,415 | 0.9% |
| Marinette | 42K | R+37.9 | 7,415 | 16,670 | 24,415 | 0.9% |
| Marinette | 42K | R+37.9 | 7,415 | 16,670 | 24,415 | 0.9% |
| Shawano | 41K | R+36.2 | 7,336 | 15,850 | 23,500 | 0.9% |
| Marinette | 41K | R+37.9 | 7,415 | 16,670 | 24,415 | 0.9% |
| Shawano | 41K | R+36.2 | 7,336 | 15,850 | 23,500 | 0.9% |
| Shawano | 41K | R+36.2 | 7,336 | 15,850 | 23,500 | 0.9% |
| Shawano | 41K | R+36.2 | 7,336 | 15,850 | 23,500 | 0.9% |
| Calumet | 41K | R+19.9 | 12,927 | 19,488 | 32,916 | 1.2% |
| Oconto | 40K | R+43.0 | 6,967 | 17,675 | 24,912 | 0.9% |
| Oconto | 37K | R+43.0 | 6,967 | 17,675 | 24,912 | 0.9% |
| Oconto | 37K | R+43.0 | 6,967 | 17,675 | 24,912 | 0.9% |
| Oconto | 36K | R+43.0 | 6,967 | 17,675 | 24,912 | 0.9% |
| Door | 30K | D+2.2 | 10,565 | 10,099 | 20,944 | 0.8% |
| Door | 28K | D+2.2 | 10,565 | 10,099 | 20,944 | 0.8% |
| Door | 28K | D+2.2 | 10,565 | 10,099 | 20,944 | 0.8% |
| Door | 28K | D+2.2 | 10,565 | 10,099 | 20,944 | 0.8% |
| Menominee | 25K | R+33.6 | 4,256 | 8,647 | 13,060 | 0.5% |
| Waushara | 25K | R+35.2 | 4,571 | 9,625 | 14,363 | 0.5% |
| Waushara | 25K | R+35.2 | 4,571 | 9,625 | 14,363 | 0.5% |
| Waushara | 24K | R+35.2 | 4,571 | 9,625 | 14,363 | 0.5% |
| Menominee | 24K | R+33.6 | 4,256 | 8,647 | 13,060 | 0.5% |
| Menominee | 24K | R+33.6 | 4,256 | 8,647 | 13,060 | 0.5% |
| Menominee | 23K | R+33.6 | 4,256 | 8,647 | 13,060 | 0.5% |
| Waushara | 23K | R+35.2 | 4,571 | 9,625 | 14,363 | 0.5% |
| Kewaunee | 21K | R+33.7 | 4,059 | 8,267 | 12,484 | 0.5% |
| Kewaunee | 20K | R+33.7 | 4,059 | 8,267 | 12,484 | 0.5% |
| Kewaunee | 20K | R+33.7 | 4,059 | 8,267 | 12,484 | 0.5% |
| Kewaunee | 20K | R+33.7 | 4,059 | 8,267 | 12,484 | 0.5% |
| Green Lake | 19K | R+36.3 | 3,449 | 7,458 | 11,052 | 0.4% |
| Green Lake | 19K | R+36.3 | 3,449 | 7,458 | 11,052 | 0.4% |
| Green Lake | 19K | R+36.3 | 3,449 | 7,458 | 11,052 | 0.4% |
| Green Lake | 19K | R+36.3 | 3,449 | 7,458 | 11,052 | 0.4% |
| Menominee | 5K | D+61.7 | 1,266 | 296 | 1,572 | 0.1% |
| Menominee | 5K | D+61.7 | 1,266 | 296 | 1,572 | 0.1% |
| Menominee | 4K | D+61.7 | 1,266 | 296 | 1,572 | 0.1% |
| Menominee | 4K | D+61.7 | 1,266 | 296 | 1,572 | 0.1% |
| Group | Green Bay-Appleton | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 89.4% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 4.1% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.0% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.7% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 1.6% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 1.2% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +13.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.2% | 50.5% | — | — | |
| 17.3% | 32.3% | — | — | |
| 7.6% | 14.1% | — | — | |
| 1.6% | 3.1% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.0% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 46.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Green Bay-Appleton media market? 4,454,304 residents across 64 counties.
23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+17.3 | R+15.2 | 2.1pp |