How did Duluth-Superior vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Duluth-Superior voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+3.5. Kamala D Harris received 128,385 votes and Donald Trump received 119,539 out of 253,015 total votes cast, a 2.9-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Duluth-Superior's political history?

Duluth-Superior has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1932. The largest single-election swing was 45.7 points in 1912.

What are the demographics of Duluth-Superior?

Duluth-Superior has a population of 1,690,325 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 91.0% non-Hispanic white, 1.3% Hispanic, 1.1% Black. About 24% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $49,516.

Which places are most similar to Duluth-Superior?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Duluth-Superior are Marquette, Portland-Auburn, Bangor. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Duluth-Superior

Iron Range heritage meets a shifting lakefront economy

The Duluth-Superior market straddles two states and blends historic union-labor Democratic strength in Minnesota's Iron Range with more volatile suburban and Wisconsin exurban precincts that have trended competitive in recent cycles.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 676

Population1.7M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

42.3y▲ 3.4

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

24.4%▼ 10.6

White91.0%
Native3.5%
Two or more2.8%
Hispanic1.3%
Black1.1%
Asian0.7%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Duluth-SuperiorBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Marquette, Portland-Auburn, and Bangor.

8 visible matches

Marquette

Small-town rural republican 2

R+16.7

Similarity score91%

Portland-Auburn

Small-town rural republican 2

D+12.4

Similarity score90%

Bangor

Small-town rural republican 2

R+9.4

Similarity score89%

Pittsburgh

Small-town rural republican 3

R+8.1

Similarity score88%

Burlington-Plattsburgh

Educated rural competitive

D+22.8

Similarity score87%

Davenport-R.Island-Moline

Small-town rural republican 3

R+11.5

Similarity score86%

La Crosse-Eau Claire

Small-town rural republican 3

R+7.9

Similarity score86%

Traverse City-Cadillac

Small-town rural republican 2

R+22.9

Similarity score85%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Duluth-Superior

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
St. Louis	201K	D+13.7	66,335	50,065	119,009	11.8%
St. Louis	200K	D+13.7	66,335	50,065	119,009	11.8%
St. Louis	200K	D+13.7	66,335	50,065	119,009	11.8%
St. Louis	197K	D+13.7	66,335	50,065	119,009	11.8%
Itasca	45K	R+20.1	10,467	15,863	26,840	2.7%
Itasca	45K	R+20.1	10,467	15,863	26,840	2.7%
Itasca	44K	R+20.1	10,467	15,863	26,840	2.7%
Douglas	44K	D+5.3	13,073	11,732	25,234	2.5%
Itasca	44K	R+20.1	10,467	15,863	26,840	2.7%
Douglas	44K	D+5.3	13,073	11,732	25,234	2.5%
Douglas	44K	D+5.3	13,073	11,732	25,234	2.5%
Douglas	43K	D+5.3	13,073	11,732	25,234	2.5%
Carlton	37K	R+2.5	9,905	10,435	20,815	2.1%
Carlton	35K	R+2.5	9,905	10,435	20,815	2.1%
Carlton	34K	R+2.5	9,905	10,435	20,815	2.1%
Carlton	32K	R+2.5	9,905	10,435	20,815	2.1%
Sawyer	18K	R+16.4	4,599	6,422	11,140	1.1%
Gogebic	17K	R+17.1	3,385	4,803	8,295	0.8%
Sawyer	17K	R+16.4	4,599	6,422	11,140	1.1%
Ashland	17K	D+4.7	4,612	4,191	8,955	0.9%
Bayfield	17K	D+11.1	6,107	4,860	11,240	1.1%
Sawyer	16K	R+16.4	4,599	6,422	11,140	1.1%
Ashland	16K	D+4.7	4,612	4,191	8,955	0.9%
Sawyer	16K	R+16.4	4,599	6,422	11,140	1.1%
Gogebic	16K	R+17.1	3,385	4,803	8,295	0.8%
Ashland	16K	D+4.7	4,612	4,191	8,955	0.9%
Ashland	16K	D+4.7	4,612	4,191	8,955	0.9%
Gogebic	16K	R+17.1	3,385	4,803	8,295	0.8%
Bayfield	15K	D+11.1	6,107	4,860	11,240	1.1%
Bayfield	15K	D+11.1	6,107	4,860	11,240	1.1%
Bayfield	15K	D+11.1	6,107	4,860	11,240	1.1%
Koochiching	14K	R+25.6	2,465	4,204	6,789	0.7%
Gogebic	14K	R+17.1	3,385	4,803	8,295	0.8%
Koochiching	13K	R+25.6	2,465	4,204	6,789	0.7%
Koochiching	13K	R+25.6	2,465	4,204	6,789	0.7%
Koochiching	12K	R+25.6	2,465	4,204	6,789	0.7%
Lake	11K	D+3.9	3,534	3,265	6,954	0.7%
Lake	11K	D+3.9	3,534	3,265	6,954	0.7%
Lake	11K	D+3.9	3,534	3,265	6,954	0.7%
Lake	11K	D+3.9	3,534	3,265	6,954	0.7%
Iron	7K	R+26.2	1,487	2,557	4,084	0.4%
Iron	6K	R+26.2	1,487	2,557	4,084	0.4%
Iron	6K	R+26.2	1,487	2,557	4,084	0.4%
Iron	6K	R+26.2	1,487	2,557	4,084	0.4%
Cook	6K	D+34.8	2,416	1,142	3,660	0.4%
Cook	5K	D+34.8	2,416	1,142	3,660	0.4%
Cook	5K	D+34.8	2,416	1,142	3,660	0.4%
Cook	5K	D+34.8	2,416	1,142	3,660	0.4%

48 countiesTotal votes: 1,012,060

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Duluth-Superior's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Duluth-Superior media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Duluth-SuperiorCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 91.0%Native American 3.5%Multiracial 2.5%Hispanic 1.3%Black 1.1%Asian 0.7%

Group	Duluth-Superior	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	91.0%	57.4%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)	3.5%	0.9%
Multiracial / Other	2.5%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(16)	1.3%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(11)	1.1%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	0.7%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

36.6%(156.2K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +11.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	14.5%	39.7%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	11.4%	31.2%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	8.7%	23.7%	—	—
Other	1.8%	4.9%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.5%	1.4%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.1%	0.3%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	63.4%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Duluth-Superior media market? 1,690,325 residents across 48 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Duluth-Superior vs National1.7M residents

24% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 9pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.7M

local

1.7MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.50%

local

0.50%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.7%

local

38.7%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$49,516

local

$49,516National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.3%

local

13.3%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

24.4%

local

24.4%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

75.0%

local

75.0%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

42.3 yrs

local

42.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.7%

local

11.7%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.7%

local

14.7%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.8%

local

1.8%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.8%

local

3.8%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

96.2%

local

96.2%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Duluth-Superior

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

73.8%

vs Previous

+0.5pp

Eligible Non-Voters

90K · 26.2%

Citizen VAP

342,942

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Duluth-Superior split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (66/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+3.5	D+13.6	10.1pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 7.5pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Duluth-Superior sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Michigan(State)Minnesota(State)Wisconsin(State)

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