Rust Belt bellwether where suburban shift reshapes statewide math
The Pittsburgh media market spans Allegheny County's Democratic core and a broad ring of ancestrally blue, now competitive collar counties, making marginal swings here disproportionately consequential in Pennsylvania statewide races.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allegheny | 1.3M | D+20.3 | 429,916 | 283,595 | 720,504 | 11.3% |
| Allegheny | 1.2M | D+20.3 | 429,916 | 283,595 | 720,504 | 11.3% |
| Allegheny | 1.2M | D+20.3 | 429,916 | 283,595 | 720,504 | 11.3% |
| Allegheny | 1.2M | D+20.3 | 429,916 | 283,595 | 720,504 | 11.3% |
| Westmoreland | 370K | R+28.4 | 74,904 | 135,008 | 211,450 | 3.3% |
| Westmoreland | 363K | R+28.4 | 74,904 | 135,008 | 211,450 | 3.3% |
| Westmoreland | 359K | R+28.4 | 74,904 | 135,008 | 211,450 | 3.3% |
| Westmoreland | 353K | R+28.4 | 74,904 | 135,008 | 211,450 | 3.3% |
| Washington | 210K | R+25.5 | 44,910 | 75,929 | 121,617 | 1.9% |
| Washington | 208K | R+25.5 | 44,910 | 75,929 | 121,617 | 1.9% |
| Washington | 206K | R+25.5 | 44,910 | 75,929 | 121,617 | 1.9% |
| Washington | 203K | R+25.5 | 44,910 | 75,929 | 121,617 | 1.9% |
| Butler | 197K | R+32.2 | 40,661 | 79,773 | 121,440 | 1.9% |
| Butler | 186K | R+32.2 | 40,661 | 79,773 | 121,440 | 1.9% |
| Butler | 183K | R+32.2 | 40,661 | 79,773 | 121,440 | 1.9% |
| Beaver | 181K | R+20.7 | 37,196 | 56,837 | 94,843 | 1.5% |
| Butler | 174K | R+32.2 | 40,661 | 79,773 | 121,440 | 1.9% |
| Beaver | 173K | R+20.7 | 37,196 | 56,837 | 94,843 | 1.5% |
| Beaver | 169K | R+20.7 | 37,196 | 56,837 | 94,843 | 1.5% |
| Beaver | 166K | R+20.7 | 37,196 | 56,837 | 94,843 | 1.5% |
| Fayette | 149K | R+38.0 | 19,548 | 43,633 | 63,472 | 1.0% |
| Fayette | 144K | R+38.0 | 19,548 | 43,633 | 63,472 | 1.0% |
| Fayette | 134K | R+38.0 | 19,548 | 43,633 | 63,472 | 1.0% |
| Fayette | 126K | R+38.0 | 19,548 | 43,633 | 63,472 | 1.0% |
| Monongalia | 107K | R+4.4 | 19,265 | 21,084 | 41,698 | 0.7% |
| Monongalia | 103K | R+4.4 | 19,265 | 21,084 | 41,698 | 0.7% |
| Lawrence | 95K | R+33.8 | 15,440 | 31,347 | 47,110 | 0.7% |
| Lawrence | 91K | R+33.8 | 15,440 | 31,347 | 47,110 | 0.7% |
| Indiana | 90K | R+39.1 | 12,697 | 29,215 | 42,229 | 0.7% |
| Lawrence | 89K | R+33.8 | 15,440 | 31,347 | 47,110 | 0.7% |
| Monongalia | 88K | R+4.4 | 19,265 | 21,084 | 41,698 | 0.7% |
| Indiana | 88K | R+39.1 | 12,697 | 29,215 | 42,229 | 0.7% |
| Indiana | 87K | R+39.1 | 12,697 | 29,215 | 42,229 | 0.7% |
| Lawrence | 85K | R+33.8 | 15,440 | 31,347 | 47,110 | 0.7% |
| Indiana | 83K | R+39.1 | 12,697 | 29,215 | 42,229 | 0.7% |
| Monongalia | 82K | R+4.4 | 19,265 | 21,084 | 41,698 | 0.7% |
| Armstrong | 72K | R+53.2 | 8,553 | 28,296 | 37,119 | 0.6% |
| Armstrong | 69K | R+53.2 | 8,553 | 28,296 | 37,119 | 0.6% |
| Armstrong | 68K | R+53.2 | 8,553 | 28,296 | 37,119 | 0.6% |
| Armstrong | 65K | R+53.2 | 8,553 | 28,296 | 37,119 | 0.6% |
| Venango | 58K | R+42.1 | 7,624 | 18,883 | 26,732 | 0.4% |
| Venango | 55K | R+42.1 | 7,624 | 18,883 | 26,732 | 0.4% |
| Venango | 53K | R+42.1 | 7,624 | 18,883 | 26,732 | 0.4% |
| Venango | 50K | R+42.1 | 7,624 | 18,883 | 26,732 | 0.4% |
| Clarion | 42K | R+53.1 | 4,562 | 15,036 | 19,733 | 0.3% |
| Greene | 41K | R+44.8 | 4,592 | 12,319 | 17,236 | 0.3% |
| Clarion | 40K | R+53.1 | 4,562 | 15,036 | 19,733 | 0.3% |
| Greene | 40K | R+44.8 | 4,592 | 12,319 | 17,236 | 0.3% |
| Clarion | 39K | R+53.1 | 4,562 | 15,036 | 19,733 | 0.3% |
| Greene | 38K | R+44.8 | 4,592 | 12,319 | 17,236 | 0.3% |
| Clarion | 37K | R+53.1 | 4,562 | 15,036 | 19,733 | 0.3% |
| Greene | 35K | R+44.8 | 4,592 | 12,319 | 17,236 | 0.3% |
| Preston | 34K | R+56.8 | 2,953 | 11,176 | 14,469 | 0.2% |
| Preston | 34K | R+56.8 | 2,953 | 11,176 | 14,469 | 0.2% |
| Preston | 30K | R+56.8 | 2,953 | 11,176 | 14,469 | 0.2% |
| Garrett | 30K | R+53.8 | 3,456 | 11,983 | 15,838 | 0.2% |
| Garrett | 30K | R+53.8 | 3,456 | 11,983 | 15,838 | 0.2% |
| Garrett | 30K | R+53.8 | 3,456 | 11,983 | 15,838 | 0.2% |
| Preston | 29K | R+56.8 | 2,953 | 11,176 | 14,469 | 0.2% |
| Garrett | 29K | R+53.8 | 3,456 | 11,983 | 15,838 | 0.2% |
| Forest | 7K | R+44.5 | 724 | 1,902 | 2,650 | 0.0% |
| Forest | 7K | R+44.5 | 724 | 1,902 | 2,650 | 0.0% |
| Forest | 7K | R+44.5 | 724 | 1,902 | 2,650 | 0.0% |
| Forest | 5K | R+44.5 | 724 | 1,902 | 2,650 | 0.0% |
| Group | Pittsburgh | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.6% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 7.1% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.0% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.7% | 6.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 1.4% | 19.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.8% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +30.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.1% | 53.0% | — | — | |
| 10.4% | 19.7% | — | — | |
| 9.6% | 18.1% | — | — | |
| 3.1% | 5.9% | — | — | |
| 1.2% | 2.3% | — | — | |
| 0.5% | 1.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 0.9% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 47.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Pittsburgh media market? 11,385,099 residents across 64 counties.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+5.6 | R+13.0 | 7.4pp |
| President vs Governor | R+8.1 | R+13.0 | 5.0pp |
| President vs Senate | R+8.1 | R+5.6 | 2.5pp |