Island market where geography shapes turnout as much as demographics
Honolulu's media market spans Oahu and reaches neighbor islands, serving an electorate where Native Hawaiian and Asian American voters form a majority and Democrats have carried statewide races by double-digit margins for decades.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honolulu | 1.0M | D+21.6 | 204,301 | 130,489 | 340,921 | 16.5% |
| Honolulu | 987K | D+21.6 | 204,301 | 130,489 | 340,921 | 16.5% |
| Honolulu | 903K | D+21.6 | 204,301 | 130,489 | 340,921 | 16.5% |
| Honolulu | 876K | D+21.6 | 204,301 | 130,489 | 340,921 | 16.5% |
| Hawaii | 206K | D+28.3 | 52,163 | 28,748 | 82,823 | 4.0% |
| Hawaii | 194K | D+28.3 | 52,163 | 28,748 | 82,823 | 4.0% |
| Hawaii | 172K | D+28.3 | 52,163 | 28,748 | 82,823 | 4.0% |
| Maui | 165K | D+25.9 | 38,905 | 22,621 | 62,893 | 3.0% |
| Maui | 162K | D+25.9 | 38,905 | 22,621 | 62,893 | 3.0% |
| Hawaii | 149K | D+28.3 | 52,163 | 28,748 | 82,823 | 4.0% |
| Maui | 142K | D+25.9 | 38,905 | 22,621 | 62,893 | 3.0% |
| Maui | 128K | D+25.9 | 38,905 | 22,621 | 62,893 | 3.0% |
| Kauai | 74K | D+19.5 | 17,675 | 11,803 | 30,064 | 1.5% |
| Kauai | 70K | D+19.5 | 17,675 | 11,803 | 30,064 | 1.5% |
| Kauai | 63K | D+19.5 | 17,675 | 11,803 | 30,064 | 1.5% |
| Kauai | 58K | D+19.5 | 17,675 | 11,803 | 30,064 | 1.5% |
| Kalawao County | 147 | E | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Kalawao County | 91 | E | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Kalawao County | 78 | E | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Kalawao County | 67 | E | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Group | Honolulu | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Asian(6) | 38.7% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 24.7% | 4.0% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 22.7% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 9.0% | 19.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(7) | 2.7% | 0.2% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 2.0% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +19.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.7% | 46.0% | — | — | |
| 10.4% | 25.6% | — | — | |
| 8.9% | 22.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 4.4% | 10.9% | — | — |
| 2.3% | 5.6% | — | — | |
| 0.3% | 0.7% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 59.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Honolulu media market? 5,350,686 residents across 20 counties.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+23.1 | D+32.7 | 9.6pp |