How did Great Falls vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Great Falls voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+27.7. Kamala D Harris received 27,321 votes and Donald Trump received 49,256 out of 79,205 total votes cast, a 3.6-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Great Falls's political history?

Great Falls has 34 presidential elections on record, spanning 1892 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1996. The largest single-election swing was 54.1 points in 1920.

What are the demographics of Great Falls?

Great Falls has a population of 678,582 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 79.9% non-Hispanic white, 2.9% Hispanic. About 23% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $44,859.

Which places are most similar to Great Falls?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Great Falls are Tulsa, Sherman-Ada, Billings. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Great Falls

Montana's Hi-Line anchor, where ag and energy set the political tempo

The Great Falls media market stretches across north-central Montana's wheat belt and Missouri River corridor, a region where commodity prices and public-land policy reliably outweigh urban concerns in shaping voter priorities.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 755

Population679K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

38.6y▼ 0.3

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

22.8%▼ 12.2

White79.9%
Native13.0%
Two or more3.7%
Hispanic2.9%
Black0.8%
Other0.8%
Asian0.6%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Great FallsBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Tulsa, Sherman-Ada, and Billings.

8 visible matches

Tulsa

Small-town rural republican

R+35.6

Similarity score91%

Sherman-Ada

Small-town rural republican

R+57.0

Similarity score88%

Billings

Small-town rural republican

R+35.4

Similarity score88%

Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston)

Small-town rural republican

R+51.8

Similarity score85%

Casper-Riverton

Small-town rural republican

R+49.2

Similarity score84%

Sioux Falls(Mitchell)

Small-town rural republican 3

R+30.4

Similarity score78%

Rapid City

Small-town rural republican

R+40.3

Similarity score77%

Myrtle Beach-Florence

Rural Republican

R+25.9

Similarity score76%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Great Falls

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Cascade	85K	R+22.4	14,021	22,419	37,583	11.9%
Cascade	82K	R+22.4	14,021	22,419	37,583	11.9%
Cascade	82K	R+22.4	14,021	22,419	37,583	11.9%
Cascade	80K	R+22.4	14,021	22,419	37,583	11.9%
Hill	17K	R+18.2	2,634	3,871	6,804	2.1%
Hill	17K	R+18.2	2,634	3,871	6,804	2.1%
Hill	16K	R+18.2	2,634	3,871	6,804	2.1%
Hill	16K	R+18.2	2,634	3,871	6,804	2.1%
Glacier	14K	D+19.6	2,933	1,939	5,078	1.6%
Glacier	14K	D+19.6	2,933	1,939	5,078	1.6%
Glacier	13K	D+19.6	2,933	1,939	5,078	1.6%
Glacier	13K	D+19.6	2,933	1,939	5,078	1.6%
Fergus	12K	R+51.3	1,522	4,965	6,712	2.1%
Fergus	12K	R+51.3	1,522	4,965	6,712	2.1%
Fergus	11K	R+51.3	1,522	4,965	6,712	2.1%
Fergus	11K	R+51.3	1,522	4,965	6,712	2.1%
Valley	8K	R+51.1	935	3,019	4,079	1.3%
Valley	8K	R+51.1	935	3,019	4,079	1.3%
Valley	8K	R+51.1	935	3,019	4,079	1.3%
Blaine	7K	R+5.9	1,348	1,526	3,019	1.0%
Blaine	7K	R+5.9	1,348	1,526	3,019	1.0%
Valley	7K	R+51.1	935	3,019	4,079	1.3%
Blaine	7K	R+5.9	1,348	1,526	3,019	1.0%
Blaine	7K	R+5.9	1,348	1,526	3,019	1.0%
Teton	6K	R+45.0	927	2,533	3,568	1.1%
Pondera	6K	R+41.7	782	1,972	2,852	0.9%
Teton	6K	R+45.0	927	2,533	3,568	1.1%
Pondera	6K	R+41.7	782	1,972	2,852	0.9%
Teton	6K	R+45.0	927	2,533	3,568	1.1%
Teton	6K	R+45.0	927	2,533	3,568	1.1%
Pondera	6K	R+41.7	782	1,972	2,852	0.9%
Chouteau	6K	R+32.2	940	1,885	2,934	0.9%
Pondera	6K	R+41.7	782	1,972	2,852	0.9%
Chouteau	6K	R+32.2	940	1,885	2,934	0.9%
Chouteau	6K	R+32.2	940	1,885	2,934	0.9%
Toole	5K	R+56.5	415	1,571	2,046	0.6%
Chouteau	5K	R+32.2	940	1,885	2,934	0.9%
Toole	5K	R+56.5	415	1,571	2,046	0.6%
Toole	5K	R+56.5	415	1,571	2,046	0.6%
Toole	5K	R+56.5	415	1,571	2,046	0.6%
Phillips	5K	R+62.5	385	1,753	2,189	0.7%
Phillips	4K	R+62.5	385	1,753	2,189	0.7%
Phillips	4K	R+62.5	385	1,753	2,189	0.7%
Phillips	4K	R+62.5	385	1,753	2,189	0.7%
Judith Basin	2K	R+58.1	265	1,051	1,353	0.4%
Liberty	2K	R+54.5	214	752	988	0.3%
Liberty	2K	R+54.5	214	752	988	0.3%
Liberty	2K	R+54.5	214	752	988	0.3%
Judith Basin	2K	R+58.1	265	1,051	1,353	0.4%
Judith Basin	2K	R+58.1	265	1,051	1,353	0.4%
Judith Basin	2K	R+58.1	265	1,051	1,353	0.4%
Liberty	2K	R+54.5	214	752	988	0.3%

52 countiesTotal votes: 316,820

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Great Falls's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Great Falls media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Great FallsCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 79.9%Native American 13.0%Hispanic 2.9%Multiracial 2.8%Black 0.8%Asian 0.6%

Group	Great Falls	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	79.9%	57.4%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7)	13.0%	0.9%
▶Hispanic / Latino(16)	2.9%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	2.8%	4.0%
▶Black / African American(9)	0.8%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	0.6%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

43.3%(74.6K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -10.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	17.2%	39.8%	—	—
Catholic	14.8%	34.2%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	6.3%	14.5%	—	—
Other	4.8%	11.2%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	4.1%	9.5%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.1%	0.3%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	56.7%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Great Falls media market? 678,582 residents across 52 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Great Falls vs National679K residents

23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

679K

local

679KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.20%

local

0.20%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.5%

local

36.5%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$44,859

local

$44,859National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.5%

local

16.5%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

22.8%

local

22.8%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

67.0%

local

67.0%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.6 yrs

local

38.6 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.5%

local

11.5%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.2%

local

13.2%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.9%

local

1.9%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.2%

local

5.2%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

94.8%

local

94.8%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Great Falls

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

61.0%

vs Previous

-3.1pp

Eligible Non-Voters

51K · 39.0%

Citizen VAP

129,849

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Great Falls split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+11.3	R+30.4	19.1pp
President vs Senate	R+27.7	R+11.3	16.4pp
President vs Governor	R+27.7	R+30.4	2.7pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 18.5pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Great Falls sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Montana(State)

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