How did Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston) vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston) voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+51.8. Kamala D Harris received 45,891 votes and Donald Trump received 149,528 out of 200,217 total votes cast, a 2.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What are the demographics of Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston)?

Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston) has a population of 1,516,569 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 83.8% non-Hispanic white, 2.9% Hispanic, 1.2% Black. About 24% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $57,729.

Which places are most similar to Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston)?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston) are Sioux Falls(Mitchell), Sherman-Ada, Billings. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn)

Q: What is Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston)'s political history?

Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston) has 34 presidential elections on record, spanning 1892 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The largest single-election swing was 65.3 points in 1920.

A high-plains media market where oil patch volatility shapes local politics

Spanning the Bakken formation's western edge, this market blends legacy ranching communities with a boom-bust energy workforce that has repeatedly shifted population counts and precinct-level turnout across a half-dozen counties.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 687

Population1.5M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

37.5y▼ 1.4

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

24.3%▼ 10.7

White83.8%
Native9.0%
Two or more3.2%
Hispanic2.9%
Black1.2%
Other0.9%
Asian0.6%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Minot-Bsmrck-Dcknsn(Wlstn)Baseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Sioux Falls(Mitchell), Sherman-Ada, and Billings.

8 visible matches

Sioux Falls(Mitchell)

Small-town rural republican 3

R+30.4

Similarity score94%

Sherman-Ada

Small-town rural republican

R+57.0

Similarity score92%

Billings

Small-town rural republican

R+35.4

Similarity score91%

Rapid City

Small-town rural republican

R+40.3

Similarity score90%

Tulsa

Small-town rural republican

R+35.6

Similarity score90%

Sioux City

Small-town rural republican

R+45.5

Similarity score88%

Casper-Riverton

Small-town rural republican

R+49.2

Similarity score85%

Joplin-Pittsburg

Small-town rural republican

R+50.5

Similarity score85%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston)

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Burleigh	101K	R+42.8	14,215	36,595	52,263	6.5%
Burleigh	91K	R+42.8	14,215	36,595	52,263	6.5%
Burleigh	77K	R+42.8	14,215	36,595	52,263	6.5%
Burleigh	69K	R+42.8	14,215	36,595	52,263	6.5%
Ward	69K	R+47.0	7,215	20,635	28,552	3.6%
Ward	69K	R+47.0	7,215	20,635	28,552	3.6%
Ward	59K	R+47.0	7,215	20,635	28,552	3.6%
Ward	56K	R+47.0	7,215	20,635	28,552	3.6%
Williams	40K	R+67.6	2,276	12,501	15,122	1.9%
Morton	34K	R+53.4	3,748	12,839	17,036	2.1%
Stark	33K	R+65.2	2,473	12,323	15,100	1.9%
Williams	32K	R+67.6	2,276	12,501	15,122	1.9%
Stark	30K	R+65.2	2,473	12,323	15,100	1.9%
Morton	30K	R+53.4	3,748	12,839	17,036	2.1%
Morton	26K	R+53.4	3,748	12,839	17,036	2.1%
Morton	25K	R+53.4	3,748	12,839	17,036	2.1%
Stark	23K	R+65.2	2,473	12,323	15,100	1.9%
Stark	22K	R+65.2	2,473	12,323	15,100	1.9%
Williams	20K	R+67.6	2,276	12,501	15,122	1.9%
Williams	20K	R+67.6	2,276	12,501	15,122	1.9%
Rolette	15K	D+28.0	2,567	1,427	4,075	0.5%
Mckenzie	14K	R+69.2	809	4,627	5,521	0.7%
Rolette	14K	D+28.0	2,567	1,427	4,075	0.5%
Rolette	14K	D+28.0	2,567	1,427	4,075	0.5%
Rolette	12K	D+28.0	2,567	1,427	4,075	0.5%
Richland	11K	R+68.0	778	4,387	5,309	0.7%
Richland	11K	R+68.0	778	4,387	5,309	0.7%
Roosevelt	11K	R+9.6	1,680	2,055	3,914	0.5%
Mckenzie	11K	R+69.2	809	4,627	5,521	0.7%
Roosevelt	11K	R+9.6	1,680	2,055	3,914	0.5%
Roosevelt	11K	R+9.6	1,680	2,055	3,914	0.5%
Roosevelt	10K	R+9.6	1,680	2,055	3,914	0.5%
McLean	10K	R+57.9	1,093	4,231	5,421	0.7%
Mountrail	10K	R+43.0	1,125	2,877	4,073	0.5%
Richland	10K	R+68.0	778	4,387	5,309	0.7%
McLean	10K	R+57.9	1,093	4,231	5,421	0.7%
Mountrail	10K	R+43.0	1,125	2,877	4,073	0.5%
McLean	9K	R+57.9	1,093	4,231	5,421	0.7%
Richland	9K	R+68.0	778	4,387	5,309	0.7%
Mercer	9K	R+68.6	672	3,798	4,555	0.6%
Mercer	9K	R+68.6	672	3,798	4,555	0.6%
McLean	8K	R+57.9	1,093	4,231	5,421	0.7%
Mercer	8K	R+68.6	672	3,798	4,555	0.6%
Mercer	8K	R+68.6	672	3,798	4,555	0.6%
Bottineau	7K	R+54.9	735	2,628	3,447	0.4%
Bottineau	7K	R+54.9	735	2,628	3,447	0.4%
Mountrail	7K	R+43.0	1,125	2,877	4,073	0.5%
Mountrail	7K	R+43.0	1,125	2,877	4,073	0.5%
Bottineau	6K	R+54.9	735	2,628	3,447	0.4%
Bottineau	6K	R+54.9	735	2,628	3,447	0.4%
McHenry	6K	R+63.4	479	2,223	2,752	0.3%
McHenry	6K	R+63.4	479	2,223	2,752	0.3%
Mckenzie	6K	R+69.2	809	4,627	5,521	0.7%
Mckenzie	6K	R+69.2	809	4,627	5,521	0.7%
McHenry	5K	R+63.4	479	2,223	2,752	0.3%
McHenry	5K	R+63.4	479	2,223	2,752	0.3%
Wells	5K	R+62.6	405	1,815	2,253	0.3%
Pierce	5K	R+53.5	439	1,493	1,970	0.2%
Sioux	4K	D+38.7	654	285	953	0.1%
Pierce	4K	R+53.5	439	1,493	1,970	0.2%
Emmons	4K	R+77.3	205	1,697	1,930	0.2%
Dunn	4K	R+68.9	332	1,877	2,242	0.3%
Wells	4K	R+62.6	405	1,815	2,253	0.3%
Corson	4K	R+11.9	495	631	1,143	0.1%
Wells	4K	R+62.6	405	1,815	2,253	0.3%
Corson	4K	R+11.9	495	631	1,143	0.1%
Corson	4K	R+11.9	495	631	1,143	0.1%
Sioux	4K	D+38.7	654	285	953	0.1%
Sheridan	4K	R+42.5	509	1,321	1,912	0.2%
Pierce	4K	R+53.5	439	1,493	1,970	0.2%
Sioux	4K	D+38.7	654	285	953	0.1%
Dunn	4K	R+68.9	332	1,877	2,242	0.3%
Pierce	4K	R+53.5	439	1,493	1,970	0.2%
Wells	4K	R+62.6	405	1,815	2,253	0.3%
Corson	4K	R+11.9	495	631	1,143	0.1%
Sioux	4K	D+38.7	654	285	953	0.1%
Sheridan	4K	R+42.5	509	1,321	1,912	0.2%
Sheridan	4K	R+42.5	509	1,321	1,912	0.2%
Dunn	4K	R+68.9	332	1,877	2,242	0.3%
Sheridan	4K	R+42.5	509	1,321	1,912	0.2%
Emmons	4K	R+77.3	205	1,697	1,930	0.2%
Emmons	3K	R+77.3	205	1,697	1,930	0.2%
Mcintosh	3K	R+65.0	229	1,132	1,390	0.2%
Dunn	3K	R+68.9	332	1,877	2,242	0.3%
Emmons	3K	R+77.3	205	1,697	1,930	0.2%
Bowman	3K	R+72.7	207	1,384	1,618	0.2%
Bowman	3K	R+72.7	207	1,384	1,618	0.2%
Bowman	3K	R+72.7	207	1,384	1,618	0.2%
Fallon	3K	R+75.7	163	1,303	1,507	0.2%
Bowman	3K	R+72.7	207	1,384	1,618	0.2%
Grant	3K	R+66.7	205	1,076	1,306	0.2%
Fallon	3K	R+75.7	163	1,303	1,507	0.2%
Fallon	3K	R+75.7	163	1,303	1,507	0.2%
Mcintosh	3K	R+65.0	229	1,132	1,390	0.2%
Kidder	3K	R+64.3	238	1,137	1,398	0.2%
Mcintosh	3K	R+65.0	229	1,132	1,390	0.2%
Hettinger	3K	R+68.7	192	1,089	1,306	0.2%
Fallon	3K	R+75.7	163	1,303	1,507	0.2%
Hettinger	3K	R+68.7	192	1,089	1,306	0.2%
Renville	3K	R+67.4	179	993	1,208	0.2%
Adams	3K	R+62.2	215	962	1,201	0.1%
Renville	3K	R+67.4	179	993	1,208	0.2%
Grant	3K	R+66.7	205	1,076	1,306	0.2%
Mcintosh	2K	R+65.0	229	1,132	1,390	0.2%
Hettinger	2K	R+68.7	192	1,089	1,306	0.2%
Kidder	2K	R+64.3	238	1,137	1,398	0.2%
Hettinger	2K	R+68.7	192	1,089	1,306	0.2%
Kidder	2K	R+64.3	238	1,137	1,398	0.2%
Divide	2K	R+55.0	253	914	1,201	0.1%
Grant	2K	R+66.7	205	1,076	1,306	0.2%
Adams	2K	R+62.2	215	962	1,201	0.1%
Logan	2K	R+75.6	117	898	1,033	0.1%
Renville	2K	R+67.4	179	993	1,208	0.2%
Kidder	2K	R+64.3	238	1,137	1,398	0.2%
Adams	2K	R+62.2	215	962	1,201	0.1%
Renville	2K	R+67.4	179	993	1,208	0.2%
Divide	2K	R+55.0	253	914	1,201	0.1%
Grant	2K	R+66.7	205	1,076	1,306	0.2%
Burke	2K	R+73.8	130	909	1,056	0.1%
Burke	2K	R+73.8	130	909	1,056	0.1%
Divide	2K	R+55.0	253	914	1,201	0.1%
Burke	2K	R+73.8	130	909	1,056	0.1%
Adams	2K	R+62.2	215	962	1,201	0.1%
Oliver	2K	R+69.3	156	909	1,087	0.1%
Burke	2K	R+73.8	130	909	1,056	0.1%
Daniels	2K	R+65.6	154	778	951	0.1%
Mccone	2K	R+74.1	129	931	1,082	0.1%
Logan	2K	R+75.6	117	898	1,033	0.1%
Logan	2K	R+75.6	117	898	1,033	0.1%
Golden Valley	2K	R+73.2	122	847	991	0.1%
Golden Valley	2K	R+73.2	122	847	991	0.1%
Divide	2K	R+55.0	253	914	1,201	0.1%
Oliver	2K	R+69.3	156	909	1,087	0.1%
Logan	2K	R+75.6	117	898	1,033	0.1%
Daniels	2K	R+65.6	154	778	951	0.1%
Oliver	2K	R+69.3	156	909	1,087	0.1%
Mccone	2K	R+74.1	129	931	1,082	0.1%
Sheridan	2K	R+71.7	101	644	757	0.1%
Mccone	2K	R+74.1	129	931	1,082	0.1%
Mccone	2K	R+74.1	129	931	1,082	0.1%
Golden Valley	2K	R+73.2	122	847	991	0.1%
Oliver	2K	R+69.3	156	909	1,087	0.1%
Golden Valley	2K	R+73.2	122	847	991	0.1%
Daniels	1K	R+65.6	154	778	951	0.1%
Daniels	1K	R+65.6	154	778	951	0.1%
Sheridan	1K	R+71.7	101	644	757	0.1%
Sheridan	1K	R+71.7	101	644	757	0.1%
Sheridan	1K	R+71.7	101	644	757	0.1%
Wibaux	1K	R+71.8	71	463	546	0.1%
Wibaux	1K	R+71.8	71	463	546	0.1%
Wibaux	1K	R+71.8	71	463	546	0.1%
Billings	1K	R+69.5	93	543	647	0.1%
Billings	936	R+69.5	93	543	647	0.1%
Wibaux	922	R+71.8	71	463	546	0.1%
Billings	912	R+69.5	93	543	647	0.1%
Billings	888	R+69.5	93	543	647	0.1%
Slope	767	R+81.8	33	351	389	0.0%
Slope	766	R+81.8	33	351	389	0.0%
Slope	703	R+81.8	33	351	389	0.0%
Slope	665	R+81.8	33	351	389	0.0%

160 countiesTotal votes: 800,868

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston)'s political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston) media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston)Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 83.8%Native American 9.0%Hispanic 2.9%Multiracial 2.4%Black 1.2%Asian 0.6%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	83.8%	57.4%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6)	9.0%	0.9%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	2.9%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	2.4%	4.0%
▶Black / African American(10)	1.2%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	0.6%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7)	0.2%	0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(6)	0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

54.0%(230.6K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +20.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	23.9%	44.1%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	16.9%	31.3%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	10.4%	19.3%	—	—
Other	2.8%	5.2%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	2.2%	4.1%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	46.0%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston) media market? 1,516,569 residents across 160 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston) vs National1.5M residents

24% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 9pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.5M

local

1.5MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.45%

local

0.45%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.9%

local

39.9%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$57,729

local

$57,729National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.7%

local

11.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

24.3%

local

24.3%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

69.8%

local

69.8%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.5 yrs

local

37.5 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.7%

local

12.7%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.2%

local

12.2%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.2%

local

2.2%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.8%

local

5.8%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

94.2%

local

94.2%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston)

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

64.3%

vs Previous

+0.2pp

Eligible Non-Voters

111K · 35.7%

Citizen VAP

311,563

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston) split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+46.2	R+55.2	9.1pp
President vs Senate	R+51.8	R+46.2	5.6pp
President vs Governor	R+51.8	R+55.2	3.5pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 28.4pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston) sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Montana(State)North Dakota(State)South Dakota(State)

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