A cross-border market split between Vermont progressivism and Adirondack swing country
Burlington anchors Vermont's most reliably left-leaning corridor, while the Plattsburgh side stretches into Clinton and Essex counties—North Country territory where margins tighten and ticket-splitting remains a live variable.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chittenden | 170K | D+53.1 | 72,656 | 20,937 | 97,329 | 5.1% |
| Chittenden | 161K | D+53.1 | 72,656 | 20,937 | 97,329 | 5.1% |
| Chittenden | 151K | D+53.1 | 72,656 | 20,937 | 97,329 | 5.1% |
| Chittenden | 147K | D+53.1 | 72,656 | 20,937 | 97,329 | 5.1% |
| Grafton | 92K | D+19.8 | 32,993 | 21,909 | 55,895 | 2.9% |
| Grafton | 89K | D+19.8 | 32,993 | 21,909 | 55,895 | 2.9% |
| Grafton | 86K | D+19.8 | 32,993 | 21,909 | 55,895 | 2.9% |
| Clinton | 82K | R+2.1 | 17,478 | 18,247 | 35,817 | 1.9% |
| Grafton | 82K | D+19.8 | 32,993 | 21,909 | 55,895 | 2.9% |
| Clinton | 82K | R+2.1 | 17,478 | 18,247 | 35,817 | 1.9% |
| Clinton | 80K | R+2.1 | 17,478 | 18,247 | 35,817 | 1.9% |
| Clinton | 78K | R+2.1 | 17,478 | 18,247 | 35,817 | 1.9% |
| Rutland | 63K | D+5.3 | 17,375 | 15,586 | 34,102 | 1.8% |
| Rutland | 63K | D+5.3 | 17,375 | 15,586 | 34,102 | 1.8% |
| Rutland | 60K | D+5.3 | 17,375 | 15,586 | 34,102 | 1.8% |
| Rutland | 60K | D+5.3 | 17,375 | 15,586 | 34,102 | 1.8% |
| Washington | 60K | D+43.0 | 24,527 | 9,327 | 35,369 | 1.8% |
| Washington | 59K | D+43.0 | 24,527 | 9,327 | 35,369 | 1.8% |
| Washington | 59K | D+43.0 | 24,527 | 9,327 | 35,369 | 1.8% |
| Washington | 58K | D+43.0 | 24,527 | 9,327 | 35,369 | 1.8% |
| Windsor | 58K | D+35.3 | 22,569 | 10,458 | 34,289 | 1.8% |
| Windsor | 57K | D+35.3 | 22,569 | 10,458 | 34,289 | 1.8% |
| Windsor | 57K | D+35.3 | 22,569 | 10,458 | 34,289 | 1.8% |
| Windsor | 56K | D+35.3 | 22,569 | 10,458 | 34,289 | 1.8% |
| Franklin | 51K | R+9.0 | 8,821 | 10,569 | 19,458 | 1.0% |
| Franklin | 51K | R+9.0 | 8,821 | 10,569 | 19,458 | 1.0% |
| Franklin | 51K | D+3.0 | 13,280 | 12,490 | 26,743 | 1.4% |
| Franklin | 50K | R+9.0 | 8,821 | 10,569 | 19,458 | 1.0% |
| Franklin | 49K | D+3.0 | 13,280 | 12,490 | 26,743 | 1.4% |
| Franklin | 48K | D+3.0 | 13,280 | 12,490 | 26,743 | 1.4% |
| Franklin | 47K | R+9.0 | 8,821 | 10,569 | 19,458 | 1.0% |
| Franklin | 45K | D+3.0 | 13,280 | 12,490 | 26,743 | 1.4% |
| Sullivan | 44K | R+0.7 | 12,317 | 12,484 | 25,221 | 1.3% |
| Sullivan | 43K | R+0.7 | 12,317 | 12,484 | 25,221 | 1.3% |
| Sullivan | 43K | R+0.7 | 12,317 | 12,484 | 25,221 | 1.3% |
| Sullivan | 40K | R+0.7 | 12,317 | 12,484 | 25,221 | 1.3% |
| Essex | 39K | D+0.5 | 9,629 | 9,533 | 19,236 | 1.0% |
| Essex | 39K | D+0.5 | 9,629 | 9,533 | 19,236 | 1.0% |
| Essex | 38K | D+0.5 | 9,629 | 9,533 | 19,236 | 1.0% |
| Addison | 38K | D+35.6 | 14,879 | 6,841 | 22,607 | 1.2% |
| Essex | 37K | D+0.5 | 9,629 | 9,533 | 19,236 | 1.0% |
| Addison | 37K | D+35.6 | 14,879 | 6,841 | 22,607 | 1.2% |
| Addison | 37K | D+35.6 | 14,879 | 6,841 | 22,607 | 1.2% |
| Addison | 36K | D+35.6 | 14,879 | 6,841 | 22,607 | 1.2% |
| Caledonia | 31K | D+12.3 | 8,977 | 6,927 | 16,633 | 0.9% |
| Caledonia | 30K | D+12.3 | 8,977 | 6,927 | 16,633 | 0.9% |
| Caledonia | 30K | D+12.3 | 8,977 | 6,927 | 16,633 | 0.9% |
| Orange | 30K | D+20.0 | 10,220 | 6,683 | 17,672 | 0.9% |
| Caledonia | 30K | D+12.3 | 8,977 | 6,927 | 16,633 | 0.9% |
| Orange | 29K | D+20.0 | 10,220 | 6,683 | 17,672 | 0.9% |
| Orange | 29K | D+20.0 | 10,220 | 6,683 | 17,672 | 0.9% |
| Orange | 28K | D+20.0 | 10,220 | 6,683 | 17,672 | 0.9% |
| Orleans | 28K | R+1.5 | 7,006 | 7,233 | 14,765 | 0.8% |
| Orleans | 27K | R+1.5 | 7,006 | 7,233 | 14,765 | 0.8% |
| Orleans | 27K | R+1.5 | 7,006 | 7,233 | 14,765 | 0.8% |
| Orleans | 26K | R+1.5 | 7,006 | 7,233 | 14,765 | 0.8% |
| Lamoille | 26K | D+35.6 | 9,788 | 4,505 | 14,844 | 0.8% |
| Lamoille | 25K | D+35.6 | 9,788 | 4,505 | 14,844 | 0.8% |
| Lamoille | 25K | D+35.6 | 9,788 | 4,505 | 14,844 | 0.8% |
| Lamoille | 23K | D+35.6 | 9,788 | 4,505 | 14,844 | 0.8% |
| Grand Isle | 8K | D+20.9 | 2,940 | 1,893 | 5,001 | 0.3% |
| Grand Isle | 7K | D+20.9 | 2,940 | 1,893 | 5,001 | 0.3% |
| Grand Isle | 7K | D+20.9 | 2,940 | 1,893 | 5,001 | 0.3% |
| Grand Isle | 7K | D+20.9 | 2,940 | 1,893 | 5,001 | 0.3% |
| Essex | 6K | R+15.9 | 1,344 | 1,890 | 3,425 | 0.2% |
| Essex | 6K | R+15.9 | 1,344 | 1,890 | 3,425 | 0.2% |
| Essex | 6K | R+15.9 | 1,344 | 1,890 | 3,425 | 0.2% |
| Essex | 6K | R+15.9 | 1,344 | 1,890 | 3,425 | 0.2% |
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 92.4% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 1.9% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 1.5% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.4% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +38.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.4% | 59.9% | — | — | |
| 6.4% | 17.1% | — | — | |
| 5.4% | 14.5% | — | — | |
| 3.1% | 8.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 2.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 62.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Burlington-Plattsburgh media market? 3,369,714 residents across 68 counties.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | D+25.8 | R+42.1 | 67.8pp |
| President vs Governor | D+22.8 | R+42.1 | 64.9pp |
| President vs Senate | D+22.8 | D+25.8 | 2.9pp |