Anchor market where Indiana's northeast corridor shapes statewide margins
Fort Wayne's media market covers a swath of rural and mid-size industrial communities in northeast Indiana, where Republican margins tend to run deep but turnout variation in Allen County can shift the region's aggregate numbers.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen | 392K | R+12.5 | 69,960 | 90,283 | 163,163 | 12.4% |
| Allen | 366K | R+12.5 | 69,960 | 90,283 | 163,163 | 12.4% |
| Allen | 349K | R+12.5 | 69,960 | 90,283 | 163,163 | 12.4% |
| Allen | 332K | R+12.5 | 69,960 | 90,283 | 163,163 | 12.4% |
| Noble | 48K | R+51.4 | 4,462 | 14,209 | 18,964 | 1.4% |
| Noble | 48K | R+51.4 | 4,462 | 14,209 | 18,964 | 1.4% |
| Noble | 47K | R+51.4 | 4,462 | 14,209 | 18,964 | 1.4% |
| Noble | 46K | R+51.4 | 4,462 | 14,209 | 18,964 | 1.4% |
| DeKalb | 44K | R+47.0 | 5,064 | 14,377 | 19,792 | 1.5% |
| DeKalb | 42K | R+47.0 | 5,064 | 14,377 | 19,792 | 1.5% |
| DeKalb | 42K | R+47.0 | 5,064 | 14,377 | 19,792 | 1.5% |
| DeKalb | 40K | R+47.0 | 5,064 | 14,377 | 19,792 | 1.5% |
| Huntington | 38K | R+48.4 | 4,416 | 12,990 | 17,735 | 1.4% |
| Huntington | 38K | R+48.4 | 4,416 | 12,990 | 17,735 | 1.4% |
| Huntington | 37K | R+48.4 | 4,416 | 12,990 | 17,735 | 1.4% |
| Huntington | 37K | R+48.4 | 4,416 | 12,990 | 17,735 | 1.4% |
| Adams | 36K | R+52.6 | 3,179 | 10,528 | 13,966 | 1.1% |
| Wabash | 35K | R+50.8 | 3,335 | 10,425 | 13,961 | 1.1% |
| Adams | 35K | R+52.6 | 3,179 | 10,528 | 13,966 | 1.1% |
| Steuben | 35K | R+42.1 | 4,598 | 11,487 | 16,364 | 1.2% |
| Whitley | 35K | R+49.9 | 4,275 | 13,122 | 17,740 | 1.4% |
| Steuben | 34K | R+42.1 | 4,598 | 11,487 | 16,364 | 1.2% |
| Adams | 34K | R+52.6 | 3,179 | 10,528 | 13,966 | 1.1% |
| Adams | 34K | R+52.6 | 3,179 | 10,528 | 13,966 | 1.1% |
| Steuben | 34K | R+42.1 | 4,598 | 11,487 | 16,364 | 1.2% |
| Whitley | 33K | R+49.9 | 4,275 | 13,122 | 17,740 | 1.4% |
| Steuben | 33K | R+42.1 | 4,598 | 11,487 | 16,364 | 1.2% |
| Wabash | 33K | R+50.8 | 3,335 | 10,425 | 13,961 | 1.1% |
| Whitley | 33K | R+49.9 | 4,275 | 13,122 | 17,740 | 1.4% |
| Wabash | 32K | R+50.8 | 3,335 | 10,425 | 13,961 | 1.1% |
| Wabash | 31K | R+50.8 | 3,335 | 10,425 | 13,961 | 1.1% |
| Whitley | 31K | R+49.9 | 4,275 | 13,122 | 17,740 | 1.4% |
| Van Wert | 30K | R+58.5 | 3,000 | 11,616 | 14,729 | 1.1% |
| Van Wert | 29K | R+58.5 | 3,000 | 11,616 | 14,729 | 1.1% |
| Van Wert | 29K | R+58.5 | 3,000 | 11,616 | 14,729 | 1.1% |
| Van Wert | 29K | R+58.5 | 3,000 | 11,616 | 14,729 | 1.1% |
| Wells | 28K | R+57.8 | 2,850 | 11,006 | 14,110 | 1.1% |
| Wells | 28K | R+57.8 | 2,850 | 11,006 | 14,110 | 1.1% |
| Wells | 28K | R+57.8 | 2,850 | 11,006 | 14,110 | 1.1% |
| Wells | 28K | R+57.8 | 2,850 | 11,006 | 14,110 | 1.1% |
| Jay | 22K | R+55.2 | 1,747 | 6,217 | 8,103 | 0.6% |
| Jay | 21K | R+55.2 | 1,747 | 6,217 | 8,103 | 0.6% |
| Jay | 21K | R+55.2 | 1,747 | 6,217 | 8,103 | 0.6% |
| Paulding | 20K | R+56.2 | 1,987 | 7,203 | 9,277 | 0.7% |
| Jay | 20K | R+55.2 | 1,747 | 6,217 | 8,103 | 0.6% |
| Paulding | 19K | R+56.2 | 1,987 | 7,203 | 9,277 | 0.7% |
| Paulding | 19K | R+56.2 | 1,987 | 7,203 | 9,277 | 0.7% |
| Paulding | 19K | R+56.2 | 1,987 | 7,203 | 9,277 | 0.7% |
| Group | Fort Wayne | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 84.8% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 5.9% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 5.1% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.8% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -32.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.9% | 50.0% | — | — | |
| 10.3% | 21.7% | — | — | |
| 6.8% | 14.2% | — | — | |
| 4.7% | 9.9% | — | — | |
| 1.9% | 4.1% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.0% | — | — |
| 0.1% | 0.2% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 52.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Fort Wayne media market? 2,871,110 residents across 48 counties.
21% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+34.1 | R+25.1 | 9.1pp |
| President vs Governor | R+31.9 | R+25.1 | 6.8pp |
| President vs Senate | R+31.9 | R+34.1 | 2.2pp |