A bi-state market where Ozark Missouri meets rural Kansas
Straddling the Missouri-Kansas border, this market blends working-class mining-heritage communities with small agricultural towns, producing some of the most reliably wide Republican margins in either state's non-metro returns.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper | 124K | R+46.7 | 13,943 | 39,084 | 53,807 | 7.7% |
| Jasper | 117K | R+46.7 | 13,943 | 39,084 | 53,807 | 7.7% |
| Jasper | 115K | R+46.7 | 13,943 | 39,084 | 53,807 | 7.7% |
| Jasper | 105K | R+46.7 | 13,943 | 39,084 | 53,807 | 7.7% |
| Newton | 60K | R+58.6 | 5,867 | 22,923 | 29,097 | 4.1% |
| Newton | 59K | R+58.6 | 5,867 | 22,923 | 29,097 | 4.1% |
| Newton | 56K | R+58.6 | 5,867 | 22,923 | 29,097 | 4.1% |
| Newton | 53K | R+58.6 | 5,867 | 22,923 | 29,097 | 4.1% |
| Crawford | 39K | R+25.3 | 5,956 | 10,084 | 16,334 | 2.3% |
| Crawford | 39K | R+25.3 | 5,956 | 10,084 | 16,334 | 2.3% |
| Crawford | 39K | R+25.3 | 5,956 | 10,084 | 16,334 | 2.3% |
| Crawford | 38K | R+25.3 | 5,956 | 10,084 | 16,334 | 2.3% |
| Ottawa | 33K | R+53.5 | 2,511 | 8,490 | 11,178 | 1.6% |
| Ottawa | 32K | R+53.5 | 2,511 | 8,490 | 11,178 | 1.6% |
| Ottawa | 32K | R+53.5 | 2,511 | 8,490 | 11,178 | 1.6% |
| Ottawa | 30K | R+53.5 | 2,511 | 8,490 | 11,178 | 1.6% |
| McDonald | 24K | R+68.8 | 1,423 | 7,843 | 9,338 | 1.3% |
| McDonald | 23K | R+68.8 | 1,423 | 7,843 | 9,338 | 1.3% |
| Labette | 23K | R+38.2 | 2,385 | 5,410 | 7,921 | 1.1% |
| McDonald | 23K | R+68.8 | 1,423 | 7,843 | 9,338 | 1.3% |
| Cherokee | 23K | R+52.9 | 1,970 | 6,584 | 8,717 | 1.2% |
| Labette | 22K | R+38.2 | 2,385 | 5,410 | 7,921 | 1.1% |
| McDonald | 22K | R+68.8 | 1,423 | 7,843 | 9,338 | 1.3% |
| Cherokee | 21K | R+52.9 | 1,970 | 6,584 | 8,717 | 1.2% |
| Vernon | 21K | R+59.5 | 1,774 | 7,112 | 8,973 | 1.3% |
| Labette | 21K | R+38.2 | 2,385 | 5,410 | 7,921 | 1.1% |
| Cherokee | 21K | R+52.9 | 1,970 | 6,584 | 8,717 | 1.2% |
| Vernon | 20K | R+59.5 | 1,774 | 7,112 | 8,973 | 1.3% |
| Vernon | 20K | R+59.5 | 1,774 | 7,112 | 8,973 | 1.3% |
| Labette | 20K | R+38.2 | 2,385 | 5,410 | 7,921 | 1.1% |
| Vernon | 20K | R+59.5 | 1,774 | 7,112 | 8,973 | 1.3% |
| Cherokee | 19K | R+52.9 | 1,970 | 6,584 | 8,717 | 1.2% |
| Neosho | 17K | R+48.1 | 1,696 | 4,961 | 6,784 | 1.0% |
| Neosho | 16K | R+48.1 | 1,696 | 4,961 | 6,784 | 1.0% |
| Neosho | 16K | R+48.1 | 1,696 | 4,961 | 6,784 | 1.0% |
| Neosho | 16K | R+48.1 | 1,696 | 4,961 | 6,784 | 1.0% |
| Bourbon | 15K | R+54.1 | 1,444 | 5,003 | 6,572 | 0.9% |
| Bourbon | 15K | R+54.1 | 1,444 | 5,003 | 6,572 | 0.9% |
| Bourbon | 15K | R+54.1 | 1,444 | 5,003 | 6,572 | 0.9% |
| Bourbon | 14K | R+54.1 | 1,444 | 5,003 | 6,572 | 0.9% |
| Allen | 14K | R+46.1 | 1,445 | 4,029 | 5,600 | 0.8% |
| Allen | 13K | R+46.1 | 1,445 | 4,029 | 5,600 | 0.8% |
| Allen | 13K | R+46.1 | 1,445 | 4,029 | 5,600 | 0.8% |
| Barton | 13K | R+72.1 | 820 | 5,159 | 6,015 | 0.9% |
| Barton | 13K | R+72.1 | 820 | 5,159 | 6,015 | 0.9% |
| Allen | 12K | R+46.1 | 1,445 | 4,029 | 5,600 | 0.8% |
| Barton | 12K | R+72.1 | 820 | 5,159 | 6,015 | 0.9% |
| Barton | 12K | R+72.1 | 820 | 5,159 | 6,015 | 0.9% |
| Wilson | 10K | R+62.4 | 647 | 2,894 | 3,603 | 0.5% |
| Wilson | 10K | R+62.4 | 647 | 2,894 | 3,603 | 0.5% |
| Wilson | 9K | R+62.4 | 647 | 2,894 | 3,603 | 0.5% |
| Wilson | 9K | R+62.4 | 647 | 2,894 | 3,603 | 0.5% |
| Woodson | 4K | R+61.3 | 282 | 1,205 | 1,506 | 0.2% |
| Woodson | 3K | R+61.3 | 282 | 1,205 | 1,506 | 0.2% |
| Woodson | 3K | R+61.3 | 282 | 1,205 | 1,506 | 0.2% |
| Woodson | 3K | R+61.3 | 282 | 1,205 | 1,506 | 0.2% |
| Group | Joplin-Pittsburg | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 86.1% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 5.0% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.9% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(8) | 2.5% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 1.5% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.8% | 6.0% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.2% | 0.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -61.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32.6% | 67.4% | — | — | |
| 7.7% | 15.9% | — | — | |
| 5.0% | 10.4% | — | — | |
| 2.4% | 5.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.5% | 3.2% | — | — |
| 0.6% | 1.3% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 51.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Joplin-Pittsburg media market? 1,590,266 residents across 56 counties.
19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | R+50.5 | R+56.4 | 5.9pp |
| Senate vs Governor | R+53.0 | R+56.4 | 3.4pp |
| President vs Senate | R+50.5 | R+53.0 | 2.5pp |