How did Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+11.1. Kamala D Harris received 1,025,058 votes and Donald Trump received 1,282,772 out of 2,331,733 total votes cast, a 8.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne's political history?

Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne has 39 presidential elections on record, spanning 1872 to 2024. Democrats have won 20 and Republicans 19 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 69.4 points in 1892.

What are the demographics of Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne?

Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne has a population of 15,086,012 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 61.7% non-Hispanic white, 19.5% Hispanic, 13.2% Black. About 28% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $55,068.

Live · Media market

Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn

Q: Which places are most similar to Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne are Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota), West Palm Beach-Fort Pierce, Fort Myers-Naples. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Florida's most contested media market spans three distinct political zones

Anchored by a Democratic-leaning urban core in Orange County, a Republican-heavy coast around Volusia and Brevard, and a growing I-4 corridor that has decided statewide races by razor-thin margins.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 534

Population15.1M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

41.1y▲ 2.2

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

27.9%▼ 7.1

White61.7%
Hispanic19.5%
Black13.2%
Two or more6.7%
Other5.2%
Asian3.0%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Orlando-Daytona Bch-MelbrnBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota), West Palm Beach-Fort Pierce, and Fort Myers-Naples.

8 visible matches

Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota)

Small-town rural republican 2

R+15.8

Similarity score96%

West Palm Beach-Fort Pierce

Small-town rural republican 2

R+6.8

Similarity score95%

Fort Myers-Naples

Small-town rural republican 2

R+31.2

Similarity score85%

Miami-Fort Lauderdale

Diverse rural competitive

D+0.8

Similarity score84%

Phoenix (Prescott)

Educated rural competitive

R+9.1

Similarity score82%

Los Angeles

Educated rural democratic

D+17.9

Similarity score81%

Chicago

Educated rural democratic

D+23.1

Similarity score80%

Las Vegas

Educated rural democratic

D+1.3

Similarity score79%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Orange	1.5M	D+13.6	340,807	258,279	607,199	6.5%
Orange	1.3M	D+13.6	340,807	258,279	607,199	6.5%
Orange	1.1M	D+13.6	340,807	258,279	607,199	6.5%
Orange	896K	D+13.6	340,807	258,279	607,199	6.5%
Brevard	633K	R+20.8	141,233	216,533	361,449	3.9%
Volusia	580K	R+21.8	120,132	187,691	310,498	3.3%
Brevard	561K	R+20.8	141,233	216,533	361,449	3.9%
Brevard	533K	R+20.8	141,233	216,533	361,449	3.9%
Volusia	511K	R+21.8	120,132	187,691	310,498	3.3%
Volusia	494K	R+21.8	120,132	187,691	310,498	3.3%
Seminole	481K	R+3.5	120,717	129,735	253,727	2.7%
Brevard	476K	R+20.8	141,233	216,533	361,449	3.9%
Volusia	443K	R+21.8	120,132	187,691	310,498	3.3%
Seminole	443K	R+3.5	120,717	129,735	253,727	2.7%
Osceola	427K	R+1.4	84,205	86,713	172,780	1.9%
Lake	413K	R+24.7	84,546	140,500	226,788	2.4%
Seminole	409K	R+3.5	120,717	129,735	253,727	2.7%
Marion	400K	R+31.6	72,436	140,173	214,106	2.3%
Seminole	365K	R+3.5	120,717	129,735	253,727	2.7%
Marion	340K	R+31.6	72,436	140,173	214,106	2.3%
Marion	319K	R+31.6	72,436	140,173	214,106	2.3%
Lake	318K	R+24.7	84,546	140,500	226,788	2.4%
Osceola	312K	R+1.4	84,205	86,713	172,780	1.9%
Lake	298K	R+24.7	84,546	140,500	226,788	2.4%
Marion	259K	R+31.6	72,436	140,173	214,106	2.3%
Osceola	255K	R+1.4	84,205	86,713	172,780	1.9%
Lake	211K	R+24.7	84,546	140,500	226,788	2.4%
Osceola	172K	R+1.4	84,205	86,713	172,780	1.9%
Sumter	143K	R+37.6	32,551	72,134	105,218	1.1%
Flagler	127K	R+28.2	28,431	51,014	79,968	0.9%
Sumter	114K	R+37.6	32,551	72,134	105,218	1.1%
Flagler	103K	R+28.2	28,431	51,014	79,968	0.9%
Flagler	86K	R+28.2	28,431	51,014	79,968	0.9%
Sumter	72K	R+37.6	32,551	72,134	105,218	1.1%
Sumter	53K	R+37.6	32,551	72,134	105,218	1.1%
Flagler	50K	R+28.2	28,431	51,014	79,968	0.9%

36 countiesTotal votes: 9,326,932

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Orlando-Daytona Beach-MelbourneCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 61.7%Hispanic 19.5%Black 13.2%Asian 3.0%Multiracial 2.2%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	61.7%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)	19.5%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(15)	13.2%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	3.0%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	2.2%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	0.8%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

42.9%(2.0M people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -9.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	18.0%	42.0%	—	—
Catholic	15.7%	36.6%	—	—
Other	3.9%	9.1%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	2.8%	6.5%	—	—
Black Protestant	2.3%	5.3%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.8%	1.9%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.2%	0.5%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	57.1%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne media market? 15,086,012 residents across 36 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne vs National15.1M residents

28% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 5pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

15.1M

local

15.1MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.50%

local

4.50%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

44.7%

local

44.7%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$55,068

local

$55,068National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.6%

local

12.6%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

27.9%

local

27.9%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

69.3%

local

69.3%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

41.1 yrs

local

41.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.3%

local

12.3%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

15.3%

local

15.3%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.3%

local

13.3%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

22.0%

local

22.0%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

78.0%

local

78.0%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

67.4%

vs Previous

+0.1pp

Eligible Non-Voters

1.1M · 32.6%

Citizen VAP

3,458,928

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (46/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+11.1	R+10.6	0.4pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 10.7pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Florida(State)

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