How did Ottumwa-Kirksville vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Ottumwa-Kirksville voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+40.7. Kamala D Harris received 16,602 votes and Donald Trump received 39,896 out of 57,292 total votes cast, a 6.3-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Ottumwa-Kirksville's political history?

Ottumwa-Kirksville has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. The largest single-election swing was 42.5 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Ottumwa-Kirksville?

Ottumwa-Kirksville has a population of 516,740 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 90.7% non-Hispanic white, 4.2% Hispanic, 1.7% Black. About 21% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $42,621.

Which places are most similar to Ottumwa-Kirksville?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Ottumwa-Kirksville are Quincy-Hannibal-Keokuk, Terre Haute, St. Joseph. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Ottumwa-Kirksville

River towns and farm country spanning two state lines

This mid-Missouri and southeast-Iowa media market ties together small industrial cities like Ottumwa and Kirksville across a rural landscape where ag-economy pressures and population decline have steadily shifted the electorate toward wide Republican margins over the past two decades.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 631

Population517K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

38.3y▼ 0.6

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

20.6%▼ 14.4

White90.7%
Hispanic4.2%
Two or more2.4%
Black1.7%
Other1.4%
Asian1.3%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Ottumwa-KirksvilleBaseline

Cycle2024

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Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Quincy-Hannibal-Keokuk, Terre Haute, and St. Joseph.

8 visible matches

Quincy-Hannibal-Keokuk

Small-town rural republican

R+46.9

Similarity score89%

Terre Haute

Small-town rural republican

R+45.4

Similarity score89%

St. Joseph

Small-town rural republican

R+37.8

Similarity score88%

Zanesville

Small-town rural republican

R+43.9

Similarity score87%

Lima

Small-town rural republican

R+55.1

Similarity score85%

Wheeling-Steubenville

Small-town rural republican

R+45.6

Similarity score84%

Clarksburg-Weston

Small-town rural republican

R+47.0

Similarity score84%

Jackson, TN

Small-town rural republican

R+45.2

Similarity score84%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Ottumwa-Kirksville

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Wapello	36K	R+31.4	4,896	9,479	14,583	6.4%
Wapello	35K	R+31.4	4,896	9,479	14,583	6.4%
Wapello	35K	R+31.4	4,896	9,479	14,583	6.4%
Wapello	35K	R+31.4	4,896	9,479	14,583	6.4%
Adair	26K	R+33.6	3,334	6,771	10,239	4.5%
Adair	25K	R+33.6	3,334	6,771	10,239	4.5%
Adair	25K	R+33.6	3,334	6,771	10,239	4.5%
Adair	25K	R+33.6	3,334	6,771	10,239	4.5%
Jefferson	18K	R+6.8	3,788	4,353	8,346	3.6%
Jefferson	16K	R+6.8	3,788	4,353	8,346	3.6%
Macon	16K	R+61.5	1,481	6,300	7,839	3.4%
Jefferson	16K	R+6.8	3,788	4,353	8,346	3.6%
Jefferson	15K	R+6.8	3,788	4,353	8,346	3.6%
Macon	15K	R+61.5	1,481	6,300	7,839	3.4%
Macon	15K	R+61.5	1,481	6,300	7,839	3.4%
Macon	15K	R+61.5	1,481	6,300	7,839	3.4%
Davis	9K	R+54.4	878	3,027	3,954	1.7%
Davis	9K	R+54.4	878	3,027	3,954	1.7%
Davis	9K	R+54.4	878	3,027	3,954	1.7%
Davis	9K	R+54.4	878	3,027	3,954	1.7%
Van Buren	8K	R+55.4	778	2,785	3,625	1.6%
Van Buren	8K	R+55.4	778	2,785	3,625	1.6%
Van Buren	7K	R+55.4	778	2,785	3,625	1.6%
Van Buren	7K	R+55.4	778	2,785	3,625	1.6%
Sullivan	7K	R+66.1	408	2,035	2,463	1.1%
Sullivan	7K	R+66.1	408	2,035	2,463	1.1%
Sullivan	6K	R+66.1	408	2,035	2,463	1.1%
Sullivan	6K	R+66.1	408	2,035	2,463	1.1%
Putnam	5K	R+70.3	347	2,021	2,380	1.0%
Scotland	5K	R+61.5	358	1,537	1,918	0.8%
Putnam	5K	R+70.3	347	2,021	2,380	1.0%
Scotland	5K	R+61.5	358	1,537	1,918	0.8%
Putnam	5K	R+70.3	347	2,021	2,380	1.0%
Scotland	5K	R+61.5	358	1,537	1,918	0.8%
Scotland	5K	R+61.5	358	1,537	1,918	0.8%
Putnam	5K	R+70.3	347	2,021	2,380	1.0%
Schuyler	4K	R+64.5	334	1,588	1,945	0.8%
Schuyler	4K	R+64.5	334	1,588	1,945	0.8%
Schuyler	4K	R+64.5	334	1,588	1,945	0.8%
Schuyler	4K	R+64.5	334	1,588	1,945	0.8%

40 countiesTotal votes: 229,168

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Ottumwa-Kirksville's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Ottumwa-Kirksville media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Ottumwa-KirksvilleCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 90.7%Hispanic 4.2%Multiracial 1.7%Black 1.7%Asian 1.3%

Group	Ottumwa-Kirksville	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	90.7%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(15)	4.2%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	1.7%	4.0%
▶Black / African American(8)	1.7%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	1.3%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5)	0.3%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.3%	0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2)	0.2%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

41.5%(52.8K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -54.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	25.8%	62.2%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	7.8%	18.8%	—	—
Catholic	5.2%	12.4%	—	—
Other	2.3%	5.6%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.4%	3.3%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.4%	1.0%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	58.5%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Ottumwa-Kirksville media market? 516,740 residents across 40 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Ottumwa-Kirksville vs National517K residents

21% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

517K

local

517KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.15%

local

0.15%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.7%

local

36.7%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$42,621

local

$42,621National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.9%

local

16.9%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

20.6%

local

20.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

71.6%

local

71.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.3 yrs

local

38.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.3%

local

13.3%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.4%

local

13.4%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.1%

local

4.1%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.2%

local

8.2%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

91.8%

local

91.8%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Ottumwa-Kirksville

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

61.3%

vs Previous

-2.4pp

Eligible Non-Voters

36K · 38.7%

Citizen VAP

93,412

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Ottumwa-Kirksville split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (20/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Governor	R+40.7	R+56.6	15.9pp
President vs Senate	R+40.7	R+50.3	9.6pp
Senate vs Governor	R+50.3	R+56.6	6.3pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 14.4pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Ottumwa-Kirksville sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Iowa(State)Missouri(State)

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