† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
2 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupSouth Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MIUnited States
German19.0%12.5%
Irish11.8%9.4%
English9.1%9.5%
Polish7.4%2.2%
American6.1%5.3%
Italian3.7%4.8%
Hungarian1.9%—
French1.6%1.6%
African American†9.4%9.9%
African1.0%0.5%
Kenyan0.3%—
Mexican7.3%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.6%1.8%
Venezuelan0.3%—
Guatemalan0.2%0.5%
Colombian0.2%0.4%
Spaniard0.2%—
Chinese0.5%1.3%
Asian Indian0.4%1.4%
Filipino0.3%0.9%
Korean0.3%0.4%
Vietnamese0.2%0.6%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
United States
Median age
38.1
39.1
Age 18–24
10.8%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.8%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
United States
Median household income
$67,435
$84,427
Poverty rate
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
31.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
10.0%
22.3%
Spanish
6.0%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
United States
Catholic
15.6%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
11.9%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
62.8%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+3.2%
1896
−4.6%
1900
−7.3%
1904
−27.5%
1908
−12.3%
1912
+13.6%
1916
+7.9%
1920
−22.8%
1924
−22.3%
1928
−18.5%
1932
+14.3%
1936
+22.2%
1940
+7.4%
1944
+4.2%
1948
+7.9%
1952
−3.5%
1956
−6.1%
1960
+5.9%
1964
+23.8%
1968
−0.9%
1972
−23.3%
1976
−2.7%
1980
−8.6%
1984
−9.8%
1988
−3.6%
1992
+6.4%
1996
+7.4%
2000
−1.4%
2004
−4.6%
2008
+14.9%
2012
+0.6%
2016
−5.0%
2020
−0.6%
2024
−5.6%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
46.3%Harris64,265
52.0%Trump72,090
1.7%
R+5.6
R+5.1
R+4.2
138,694
R
48.8%Biden69,026
49.4%Trump69,863
1.8%
R+0.6
D+4.4
R+5.0
141,454
R
44.3%Clinton59,517
49.3%Trump66,262
6.4%
R+5.0
R+5.6
R+7.1
134,430
D
49.5%Obama66,051
48.9%Romney65,237
1.7%
D+0.6
R+14.3
R+3.2
133,499
D
56.9%Obama80,793
42.0%McCain59,624
1.1%
D+14.9
D+19.5
D+7.6
141,965
R
47.3%Kerry62,174
51.9%Bush68,218
0.7%
R+4.6
R+3.2
R+2.1
131,316
R
48.2%Gore56,511
49.6%Bush58,126
2.3%
R+1.4
R+8.8
R+1.9
117,299
D
48.5%Clinton53,911
41.1%Dole45,654
10.4%
D+7.4
D+1.1
R+1.1
111,168
D
43.5%Clinton54,250
37.1%Bush46,325
19.4%
D+6.4
D+10.0
D+0.8
124,748
R
48.0%Dukakis55,500
51.6%Bush59,710
0.4%
R+3.6
D+6.2
D+4.1
115,620
R
44.8%Mondale54,147
54.6%Reagan66,051
0.6%
R+9.8
R+1.3
D+8.4
120,887
R
41.7%Carter51,276
50.3%Reagan61,813
7.9%
R+8.6
R+5.8
D+1.2
122,849
R
48.2%Carter56,999
50.9%Ford60,251
0.9%
R+2.7
D+20.6
R+4.8
118,263
R
38.0%McGovern46,611
61.3%Nixon75,206
0.7%
R+23.3
R+22.4
R+0.1
122,720
R
43.5%Humphrey53,030
44.4%Nixon54,110
12.0%
R+0.9
R+24.7
R+0.2
121,770
D
61.6%Johnson74,633
37.8%Goldwater45,797
0.5%
D+23.8
D+17.9
D+1.2
121,088
D
52.8%Kennedy70,021
46.9%Nixon62,206
0.3%
D+5.9
D+12.0
D+5.7
132,616
R
46.7%Stevenson58,994
52.8%Eisenhower66,726
0.4%
R+6.1
R+2.6
D+9.3
126,260
R
47.9%Stevenson57,769
51.4%Eisenhower62,016
0.8%
R+3.5
R+11.4
D+7.2
120,704
D
53.1%Truman53,067
45.3%Dewey45,208
1.6%
D+7.9
D+3.6
D+3.4
99,878
D
51.8%Roosevelt50,566
47.6%Dewey46,441
0.6%
D+4.2
R+3.2
R+3.3
97,640
D
53.5%Roosevelt49,960
46.1%Willkie43,032
0.5%
D+7.4
R+14.8
R+2.5
93,426
D
59.8%Roosevelt48,245
37.6%Landon30,332
2.6%
D+22.2
D+7.9
R+2.1
80,684
D
55.5%Roosevelt43,375
41.2%Hoover32,192
3.4%
D+14.3
D+32.8
R+3.5
78,199
R
40.5%Smith29,192
59.0%Hoover42,564
0.5%
R+18.5
D+3.7
R+1.1
72,149
R
35.7%Davis17,384
58.0%Coolidge28,227
6.3%
R+22.3
D+0.6
D+2.9
48,666
R
36.5%Cox13,641
59.3%Harding22,173
4.1%
R+22.8
R+30.8
D+3.4
37,363
D
51.8%Wilson12,375
43.8%Hughes10,479
4.4%
D+7.9
R+5.7
D+4.8
23,900
O
35.6%Wilson7,467
22.0%Taft4,608
42.5%
Roosevelt +6.9
D+25.9
R+5.9
20,988
R
41.4%Bryan11,028
53.7%Taft14,304
5.0%
R+12.3
D+15.2
R+2.7
26,659
R
33.9%Parker7,904
61.4%Roosevelt14,316
4.7%
R+27.5
R+20.2
R+7.8
23,322
R
45.4%Bryan9,773
52.7%McKinley11,344
1.8%
R+7.3
R+2.7
D+0.2
21,514
R
47.0%Bryan9,259
51.6%McKinley10,172
1.4%
R+4.6
R+7.8
D+1.4
19,706
D
49.0%Cleveland8,501
45.8%Harrison7,951
5.1%
D+3.2
—
D+1.5
17,343
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
Year
Total registered
2016
253,058
2018
232,307
2020
239,220
2022
59,895
2024
252,156
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−828 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −12,479 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−1,506
2012
−2,020
2013
−1,068
2014
−569
2015
−863
2016
−155
2017
−828
2018
−481
2019
−810
2021
−659
2022
−597
2023
−345
2024
−1,750
2025
−828
Anchored by a major research university yet shaped by deindustrialized neighborhoods, the South Bend metro produces unusually competitive margins for northern Indiana, with the Michigan counties across the state line adding a distinct demographic wrinkle.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 27.5 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.6 points.
A population of 324,560, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,435 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lansing-East Lansing, MI and Niles, MI.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/43780/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana voted Republican by 5.6 points (R+5.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 138,694 votes cast, 64,265 went Democratic and 72,090 went Republican.
When did South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana?
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana has a population of 324,560 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana?
Median household income in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana is $67,435 — below the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $71,957.
What is the political history of South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.
