South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
61.6%
74,633 votes · D+23.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 59.8%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
61.4%
14,316 votes · R+27.5
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 61.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
80,793votes
56.9% of the vote · D+14.9
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 74,633 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
75,206votes
61.3% of the vote · R+23.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 72,090 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Adlai Stevenson1956
+9.3pts D vs U.S.
Place R+6.1 · U.S. R+15.4
Runner-up · Walter Mondale, 1984 · +8.4 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+7.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+27.5 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +7.1 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
Some U.S. House rows cover a contest held in only part of this Place — the votes are real, but the total is not place-wide because the rest of the Place had no such race that year.
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, by party and cycle.
Party
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Democratic
Clinton1Obama165,639 votes · 2 of 2 countiesprimary
○no contest record
Sanders236,298 votes · 2 of 2 countiesprimary
Biden229,638 votes · 2 of 2 countiesprimary
○no contest record
Republicannot ingested
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
Year
Total registered
2016
253,058
2018
232,307
2020
239,220
2022
59,895
2024
252,156
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−828 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −12,479 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−1,506
2012
−2,020
2013
−1,068
2014
−569
2015
−863
2016
−155
2017
−828
2018
−481
2019
−810
2021
−659
2022
−597
2023
−345
2024
−1,750
2025
−828
Anchored by a major research university yet shaped by deindustrialized neighborhoods, the South Bend metro produces unusually competitive margins for northern Indiana, with the Michigan counties across the state line adding a distinct demographic wrinkle.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 27.5 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.6 points.
A population of 324,560, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,435 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lansing-East Lansing, MI and Niles, MI.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/43780/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana voted Republican by 5.6 points (R+5.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 138,694 votes cast, 64,265 went Democratic and 72,090 went Republican.
When did South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana?
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana has a population of 324,560 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana?
Median household income in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana is $67,435 — below the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $71,957.
What is the political history of South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI, Indiana from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.
