Akashic2026 forecast
Governors
Democrats favored to hold66.1%The 36 governorships on the 2026 ballot, rated into a 50-state statehouse outlook.
Democrats are favored to hold a majority of statehouses — 66.1%
Democrats hold
66.1%
Republicans hold
24.8%
Even split
9.1%
Predicted Democratic seats
27
80% range 22–31
Tipping-point raceThe seat that delivers the majority in the median path: Georgia.
the governors map · race ratings
- rated
- 36 races
- projected flips
- 7
- median governorships
- 27 D · 23 R
Every race, most competitive first
Each row is the matchup (or the upcoming primary date), our race rating, the market’s implied odds where Polymarket is trading the race (with the points it differs from our model), and how the seat has voted for president across the last five cycles. Follow a race for the full call and its place page.
How these ratings become probabilities → · The certified Governors record → · The 2026 primaries record →