Akashic
1892–2024

Every presidential election, 1892–2024

The presidency cycle by cycle — each a national popular and electoral result with county-level returns in every state. Real returns, named sources, nothing estimated.

TrumpR+1.5
2024 presidential margin by stateA map of the United States with each state filled by its 2024 result — deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), and gold where an independent or third-party candidate carried the state.Alabama · R+30.5 · 9 electoral votesAlaska · R+13.1 · 3 electoral votesArizona · R+5.5 · 11 electoral votesColorado · D+11.0 · 10 electoral votesFlorida · R+13.1 · 30 electoral votesGeorgia · R+2.2 · 16 electoral votesIndiana · R+19.0 · 11 electoral votesKansas · R+16.1 · 6 electoral votesMaine · D+6.9 · 4 electoral votesMassachusetts · D+25.2 · 11 electoral votesMinnesota · D+4.2 · 10 electoral votesNew Jersey · D+5.9 · 14 electoral votesNorth Carolina · R+3.2 · 16 electoral votesNorth Dakota · R+36.4 · 3 electoral votesOklahoma · R+34.3 · 7 electoral votesPennsylvania · R+1.7 · 19 electoral votesSouth Dakota · R+29.2 · 3 electoral votesTexas · R+13.7 · 40 electoral votesWyoming · R+45.8 · 3 electoral votesConnecticut · D+14.5 · 7 electoral votesMissouri · R+18.4 · 10 electoral votesWest Virginia · R+41.9 · 4 electoral votesIllinois · D+10.9 · 19 electoral votesNew Mexico · D+6.0 · 5 electoral votesArkansas · R+30.6 · 6 electoral votesCalifornia · D+20.1 · 54 electoral votesDelaware · D+14.7 · 3 electoral votesDistrict of Columbia · D+83.8 · 3 electoral votesHawaii · D+23.1 · 4 electoral votesIowa · R+13.2 · 6 electoral votesKentucky · R+30.5 · 8 electoral votesMaryland · D+28.5 · 10 electoral votesMichigan · R+1.4 · 15 electoral votesMississippi · R+22.9 · 6 electoral votesMontana · R+19.9 · 4 electoral votesNew Hampshire · D+2.8 · 4 electoral votesNew York · D+12.6 · 28 electoral votesOhio · R+11.2 · 17 electoral votesOregon · D+14.3 · 8 electoral votesTennessee · R+29.7 · 11 electoral votesUtah · R+21.6 · 6 electoral votesVirginia · D+5.8 · 13 electoral votesWashington · D+18.2 · 12 electoral votesWisconsin · R+0.9 · 10 electoral votesNebraska · R+20.5 · 5 electoral votesSouth Carolina · R+17.9 · 9 electoral votesIdaho · R+36.5 · 4 electoral votesNevada · R+3.1 · 6 electoral votesVermont · D+31.5 · 3 electoral votesLouisiana · R+22.0 · 8 electoral votesRhode Island · D+13.8 · 4 electoral votes
2024presidential margin
D+60
R+60
Fifty states and DC by 2024 result. Every cycle back to 1892 is below; every state links to its contest page.
Blue and red show the Democratic-vs-Republican margin; gold marks a state an independent or third-party candidate carried.
All 51 results, 2024
Statepresidential marginElectoral votes
District of ColumbiaD+83.83
VermontD+31.53
MarylandD+28.510
MassachusettsD+25.211
HawaiiD+23.14
CaliforniaD+20.154
WashingtonD+18.212
DelawareD+14.73
ConnecticutD+14.57
OregonD+14.38
Rhode IslandD+13.84
New YorkD+12.628
ColoradoD+11.010
IllinoisD+10.919
MaineD+6.94
New MexicoD+6.05
New JerseyD+5.914
VirginiaD+5.813
MinnesotaD+4.210
New HampshireD+2.84
WisconsinR+0.910
MichiganR+1.415
PennsylvaniaR+1.719
GeorgiaR+2.216
NevadaR+3.16
North CarolinaR+3.216
ArizonaR+5.511
OhioR+11.217
FloridaR+13.130
AlaskaR+13.13
IowaR+13.26
TexasR+13.740
KansasR+16.16
South CarolinaR+17.99
MissouriR+18.410
IndianaR+19.011
MontanaR+19.94
NebraskaR+20.55
UtahR+21.66
LouisianaR+22.08
MississippiR+22.96
South DakotaR+29.23
TennesseeR+29.711
AlabamaR+30.59
KentuckyR+30.58
ArkansasR+30.66
OklahomaR+34.37
North DakotaR+36.43
IdahoR+36.54
West VirginiaR+41.94
WyomingR+45.83

The popular vote in the long run

National Democratic-minus-Republican margin, 1892–2024. Blue above the line is a Democratic margin, red below Republican.

National presidential margin, 1892–2024Democratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −1.5% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−1.5%DR18922024
National presidential margin, 1892–2024
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+1.7%
1896−6.1%
1900−7.5%
1904−19.7%
1908−9.6%
1912+19.5%
1916+3.1%
1920−26.2%
1924−25.2%
1928−17.5%
1932+17.8%
1936+24.3%
1940+9.9%
1944+7.5%
1948+4.5%
1952−10.8%
1956−15.4%
1960+0.2%
1964+22.6%
1968−0.7%
1972−23.2%
1976+2.1%
1980−9.7%
1984−18.2%
1988−7.7%
1992+5.6%
1996+8.5%
2000+0.5%
2004−2.5%
2008+7.3%
2012+3.9%
2016+2.1%
2020+4.5%
2024−1.5%
Every cycle34 cycles · 1892–2024

The national record is complete from 1892 through 2024, county-deep in every state and cycle. Returns surviving from 1876–1888 cover only a fraction of counties and are excluded from the national series.

Source. MIT Election Data + Science Lab (1976–2024) and compiled historical county records (1892–1972) — presidential returns · official state and county-level results. Real returns — nothing estimated.