congressional districtMichigan 10th Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+0.3
2008D+10.3
2012D+6.6
2016R+5.4
2020R+1.0
2024R+6.5
net swing · 2004→2024R+6.3R+0.3 → R+6.5
vs. U.S. · 2024R+5.1R+6.5 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 74.7% of 585,021 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
199,324
227,882
9,988
437,194
585,021
74.7%
2020
209,969
214,177
5,683
429,829
573,062†
75.0%
2016
166,884
186,830
16,278
369,992
557,479†
66.4%
2012
191,974
167,974
4,958
364,906
537,786†
67.9%
2008
204,362
165,401
7,078
376,841
528,194†
71.3%
2004
178,710
179,724
2,944
361,378
518,603†
69.7%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMI-10MichiganUnited States
German17.2%17.7%12.5%
Polish12.1%7.2%2.2%
Irish9.6%9.9%9.4%
Italian9.5%4.2%4.8%
English7.9%10.5%9.5%
American3.4%4.2%5.3%
French3.1%3.0%1.6%
Scottish2.1%—1.3%
African American†12.6%12.2%9.9%
African0.6%0.5%0.5%
Asian Indian2.4%1.2%1.4%
Filipino0.8%0.2%0.9%
Bangladeshi0.8%0.2%—
Chinese0.6%0.5%1.3%
Korean0.3%0.2%0.4%
Vietnamese0.3%0.2%0.6%
Hmong0.3%——
Mexican1.8%4.0%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.4%0.5%1.8%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
MI-10
Michigan
United States
Median age
41.1
40.3
39.1
Age 18–24
7.8%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
18.3%
18.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
MI-10
Michigan
United States
Median household income
$76,410
$72,875
$84,427
Poverty rate
10.7%
13.2%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
30.7%
32.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
MI-10
Michigan
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
15.7%
10.4%
22.3%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic
1.9%
0.6%
0.7%
Other Indo-European
4.5%
1.8%
2.0%
Arabic
2.6%
1.8%
0.4%
Other languages
2.1%
0.6%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
MI-10
Michigan
United States
Catholic
—
14.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
12.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
60.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Michigan 10th Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−0.3%
2008
+10.3%
2012
+6.6%
2016
−5.4%
2020
−1.0%
2024
−6.5%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races · 17 Senate races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
10
R
45.0%191,363
51.1%217,437
425,301
2022
10
R
48.3%157,602
48.8%159,202
326,237
2020
10
R
33.7%138,179
66.3%271,607
409,786
2018
10
R
35.0%106,061
60.3%182,808
303,064
2016
10
R
32.3%110,112
63.1%215,132
340,983
2014
10
R
29.4%67,143
68.7%157,069
228,692
2012
10
R
29.7%97,734
68.8%226,075
328,612
2010
10
R
25.0%58,530
72.0%168,364
233,930
2008
10
R
31.2%108,354
66.3%230,471
347,603
2006
10
R
31.3%84,689
66.2%179,072
270,421
2004
10
R
29.5%98,029
68.6%227,720
331,868
2002
10
R
35.5%77,053
63.3%137,339
216,928
2000
10
D
64.4%181,818
33.2%93,713
282,269
1998
10
D
52.4%108,770
45.3%94,027
207,524
1996
10
D
54.4%132,829
43.6%106,444
244,281
1994
10
D
62.2%121,876
37.7%73,862
195,822
1992
10
D
53.1%138,193
44.2%114,918
260,213
1990
10
R
33.1%50,923
65.0%99,952
153,716
1988
10
R
26.4%55,398
72.7%152,646
209,863
1986
10
R
48.8%74,941
51.1%78,475
153,424
1984
10
R
49.4%103,636
50.1%104,950
209,645
1982
10
D
60.1%102,048
38.9%66,080
169,687
1980
10
D
52.4%126,962
46.0%111,496
242,252
1978
10
D
51.5%94,913
48.5%89,451
184,389
1976
10
R
42.8%89,980
56.5%118,726
210,184
U.S. Senate
The statewide Senate race, counted in this district — aggregated from the precinct-level returns that fall inside its boundaries (not a statewide figure).
Votes · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL) precinct returns (CC BY 4.0); aggregated to the district over VEST precinct geometry (CC BY-NC 4.0).
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
46.9%201,578
49.9%214,270
429,473
2020
D
49.9%2,734,568
48.2%2,642,233
5,479,720
2018
D
52.3%2,214,478
45.8%1,938,818
4,237,253
2014
D
54.6%1,704,936
41.3%1,290,199
3,121,698
2012
D
58.8%2,735,826
38.0%1,767,386
4,652,849
2008
D
62.7%3,038,386
33.8%1,641,070
4,848,620
2006
D
56.9%2,151,278
41.3%1,559,597
3,780,118
2002
D
60.6%1,896,614
37.9%1,185,545
3,129,287
2000
D
49.5%2,061,952
47.9%1,994,693
4,167,685
1996
D
58.4%2,195,738
39.9%1,500,106
3,762,271
1994
R
42.7%1,300,960
51.9%1,578,770
3,043,385
1990
D
57.5%1,471,753
41.2%1,055,695
2,560,244
1988
D
60.4%2,116,865
38.5%1,348,219
3,505,985
1984
D
51.8%1,915,831
47.2%1,745,302
3,700,938
1982
D
57.7%1,728,793
40.9%1,223,288
2,994,292
1978
D
52.1%1,484,193
47.9%1,362,165
2,846,630
1976
D
52.5%1,831,031
46.8%1,635,087
3,490,412
2024 U.S. Senate — every candidate counted in this district
Mike Rogers · Republican49.9%214,270
Elissa Slotkin · Democrat46.9%201,578
Douglas P Marsh · Green1.1%4,881
Joseph Solis-Mullen · Libertarian0.9%4,021
Dave Stein · Us Taxpayers0.8%3,306
Doug Dern · Natural Law0.3%1,417
Michigan's 10th congressional district, anchored in the Thumb region and rural northeastern Lower Peninsula, recorded a 33.8-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, making it among the state's most consistently one-sided federal constituencies.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 10.3 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 6.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.5 points.
A population of 774,769, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,410 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 9 and Congressional District 8.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Michigan 10th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2610/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Michigan 10th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Michigan 10th Congressional District voted Republican by 6.5 points (R+6.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 437,194 votes cast, 199,324 went Democratic and 227,882 went Republican.
When did Michigan 10th Congressional District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Michigan 10th Congressional District voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Michigan 10th Congressional District?
Michigan 10th Congressional District has a population of 774,769 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Michigan 10th Congressional District?
Median household income in Michigan 10th Congressional District is $76,410 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Michigan 10th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Michigan 10th Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.
