congressional districtWisconsin 4th Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+35.9
2008D+46.4
2012D+47.8
2016D+49.7
2020D+52.8
2024D+51.6
net swing · 2004→2024D+15.7D+35.9 → D+51.6
vs. U.S. · 2024D+53.0D+51.6 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 67.8% of 508,345 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
258,121
80,454
6,072
344,647
508,345
67.8%
2020
260,097
78,262
5,869
344,228
519,842†
66.2%
2016
242,130
74,921
19,200
336,251
519,639†
64.7%
2012
279,975
97,529
4,039
381,543
510,456†
74.7%
2008
266,915
96,368
3,954
367,237
513,336†
71.5%
2004
248,429
116,247
3,519
368,195
516,216†
71.3%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupWI-4WisconsinUnited States
German20.4%35.8%12.5%
Polish8.0%7.6%2.2%
Irish7.0%10.4%9.4%
English3.6%6.7%9.5%
Italian3.3%2.7%4.8%
Norwegian1.9%6.1%—
American1.7%3.4%5.3%
French1.5%2.2%1.6%
African American†30.8%5.3%9.9%
African0.6%0.2%0.5%
Nigerian0.3%—0.2%
Somali0.3%——
Jamaican0.3%—0.4%
Mexican11.5%5.4%11.3%
Puerto Rican4.2%1.1%1.8%
Dominican0.2%—0.7%
Guatemalan0.2%—0.5%
Nicaraguan0.2%——
Hmong1.7%1.0%—
Asian Indian0.8%0.6%1.4%
Burmese0.6%——
Chinese0.4%0.4%1.3%
Filipino0.3%0.2%0.9%
Vietnamese0.2%—0.6%
Korean0.2%—0.4%
Laotian0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
WI-4
Wisconsin
United States
Median age
34
40.5
39.1
Age 18–24
9.4%
9.3%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
14.7%
18.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
WI-4
Wisconsin
United States
Median household income
$60,201
$77,485
$84,427
Poverty rate
19.6%
10.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
34.7%
33.5%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
WI-4
Wisconsin
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
18.6%
9.1%
22.3%
Spanish
12.0%
5.0%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.3%
0.7%
2.0%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
2.0%
1.2%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
WI-4
Wisconsin
United States
Catholic
—
21.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
14.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
52.0%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Wisconsin 4th Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+35.9%
2008
+46.4%
2012
+47.8%
2016
+49.7%
2020
+52.8%
2024
+51.6%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races · 17 Senate races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
4
D
74.8%249,938
22.4%74,921
334,282
2022
4
D
75.3%191,955
22.6%57,660
255,012
2020
4
D
74.6%232,668
22.7%70,769
311,697
2018
4
D
75.6%206,487
21.6%59,091
273,087
2016
4
D
76.7%220,181
0.0%0
286,909
2014
4
D
70.2%179,045
26.9%68,490
254,892
2012
4
D
72.2%235,257
24.8%80,787
325,788
2010
4
D
69.1%143,559
29.6%61,543
207,904
2008
4
D
87.6%222,728
0.0%0
254,179
2006
4
D
71.3%136,735
28.4%54,486
191,742
2004
4
D
69.7%212,382
28.2%85,928
304,801
2002
4
D
86.3%122,031
0.0%0
141,367
2000
4
D
60.8%163,622
37.8%101,811
269,265
1998
4
D
58.0%105,841
42.0%76,666
182,507
1996
4
D
57.6%134,470
42.2%98,438
233,284
1994
4
D
53.7%93,789
44.8%78,225
174,689
1992
4
D
65.8%173,482
32.2%84,872
263,645
1990
4
D
69.2%96,981
30.7%43,001
140,221
1988
4
D
99.7%177,283
0.0%0
177,892
1986
4
D
99.6%120,354
0.0%0
120,803
1984
4
D
66.6%158,722
32.8%78,056
238,222
1982
4
D
94.6%129,557
0.0%0
137,024
1980
4
D
70.0%146,437
29.2%61,027
209,139
1978
4
D
66.1%101,575
33.9%52,125
153,703
1976
4
D
100.0%172,166
0.0%0
172,243
U.S. Senate
The statewide Senate race, counted in this district — aggregated from the precinct-level returns that fall inside its boundaries (not a statewide figure).
Votes · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL) precinct returns (CC BY 4.0); aggregated to the district over VEST precinct geometry (CC BY-NC 4.0).
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
75.4%257,046
22.3%76,055
340,724
2022
R
49.4%1,310,467
50.4%1,337,185
2,652,477
2018
D
55.4%1,472,914
44.6%1,184,885
2,657,799
2016
R
46.8%1,380,335
50.2%1,479,471
2,948,733
2012
D
51.4%1,547,104
45.9%1,380,126
3,009,298
2010
R
47.0%1,020,958
51.9%1,126,133
2,170,693
2006
D
67.3%1,439,214
29.5%630,299
2,138,297
2004
D
55.4%1,632,697
44.1%1,301,183
2,948,909
2000
D
61.5%1,563,238
37.0%940,744
2,540,083
1998
D
50.6%890,059
48.4%852,272
1,760,130
1994
D
58.3%912,662
40.7%636,989
1,565,628
1992
D
52.6%1,290,662
46.0%1,129,599
2,454,665
1988
D
52.1%1,128,625
47.5%1,030,440
2,168,190
1986
R
47.4%702,963
50.9%754,573
1,483,174
1982
D
63.6%983,311
34.1%527,355
1,544,883
1980
R
48.3%1,065,487
50.2%1,106,311
2,204,135
1976
D
72.6%1,404,324
27.0%521,902
1,935,183
2024 U.S. Senate — every candidate counted in this district
Tammy Baldwin · Democrat75.4%257,046
Eric Hovde · Republican22.3%76,055
Phil Anderson · Disrupt The Corruption1.3%4,492
Thomas Leager · America First0.7%2,519
Write-In0.2%612
Wisconsin's 4th anchors Milwaukee's urban center, where a D+51 presidential margin reflects one of the most lopsided partisan distributions in the region, driven by dense population, a large Black electorate, and concentrated labor union membership.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 52.8 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.6 points.
A population of 736,400, a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,201 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 11 and Congressional District 7.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Wisconsin 4th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/5504/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Wisconsin 4th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Wisconsin 4th Congressional District voted Democratic by 51.6 points (D+51.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 344,647 votes cast, 258,121 went Democratic and 80,454 went Republican.
How many people live in Wisconsin 4th Congressional District?
Wisconsin 4th Congressional District has a population of 736,400 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wisconsin 4th Congressional District?
Median household income in Wisconsin 4th Congressional District is $60,201 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wisconsin state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Wisconsin 4th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Wisconsin 4th Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
