AkashicCalifornia — Governor
We expect Democrats to win96%The call
We expect Democrats to win.
No prediction market is trading California — Governor yet.
When a liquid market opens on Polymarket, its raw outcome prices will appear here. We never infer a missing party price or renormalize away independent and Other outcomes.
| Candidate |
|---|
| Xavier BecerraDNominee |
| Steve HiltonRNominee |
Declared candidates. Open seat: incumbent Gavin Newsom (D) is term-limited. California top-two primary held June 2, 2026; Democrat Xavier Becerra (former HHS Secretary / ex-state AG) and Republican Steve Hilton (Trump-endorsed, ex-Fox host) advanced to the November general. Becerra led (~28%) with Hilton (~25%). Results certify July 10, 2026, but the top-two finishers are settled. Tom Steyer and Katie Porter did not advance. The field and its fundraising will keep updating as primaries settle and new FEC reports land.
| Year | Elected | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Gavin NewsomD | D+18 |
| 2018 | Gavin NewsomD | D+24 |
| 2014 | Jerry BrownD | D+20 |
| 2010 | Jerry BrownD | D+13 |
| 2006 | Arnold SchwarzeneggerR | R+17 |
| 2002 | Gray DavisD |
On election night this page will show the live result beside the call; after certification it joins the permanent record and is scored. · All Governors races → · The certified Governors record →