AkashicColorado — Governor
We expect Democrats to win96%The call
We expect Democrats to win.
What the market is pricing
via PolymarketRaw Democratic YES price 94%; raw Republican YES price 5%.
No model-versus-market gap is calculated until both systems represent every independent and Other outcome.
Raw YES prices from live Polymarket markets; D and R are not renormalized · as of Aug 1, 2026 · a market price is trader sentiment, not Akashic’s forecast. See the market on Polymarket → · How implied probability works →
| Candidate |
|---|
| Phil WeiserDNominee |
| Victor MarxRNominee |
| Greg LopezUnaffiliatedNominee |
| Michael BennetD |
| Barbara KirkmeyerR |
| Scott BottomsR |
Declared candidates. Open seat (Polis term-limited). AG Phil Weiser upset Sen. Michael Bennet 56.9%-43.1%; ministry leader Victor Marx won the GOP primary 39.9%-39.4% over Barbara Kirkmeyer (~2,465 votes; Kirkmeyer conceded July 9). Former Rep. Greg Lopez qualified as an unaffiliated candidate. The field and its fundraising will keep updating as primaries settle and new FEC reports land.
| Year | Elected | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Jared PolisD | D+19 |
| 2018 | Jared Polis / Dianne PrimaveraD | D+11 |
| 2014 | John HickenlooperD | D+3 |
| 2010 | John HickenlooperD | D+15 |
| 2006 | Bill RitterD | D+17 |
| 2002 | Bill OwensR |
On election night this page will show the live result beside the call; after certification it joins the permanent record and is scored. · All Governors races → · The certified Governors record →