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Cleveland-Akron (Canton)

Where Lake Erie's Rust Belt legacy shapes every turnout model

Anchored by Cuyahoga County's dense Democratic base and offset by more competitive Summit and Stark counties, this market's internal vote split makes it one of Ohio's most closely watched swing-state bellwethers.

Presidential margin · 2024
Data unavailable for this race.
Race data unavailable
Geography
Race data unavailable
No current race for this office.
2024FIPS 510
Population15.5M
Median ageU.S. 38.9y
39.7y▲ 0.8
Bachelor's+U.S. 35%
25.8%▼ 9.2
  • White78.4%
  • Black14.0%
  • Hispanic3.6%
  • Two or more3.0%
  • Asian1.7%
  • Other1.1%
Trajectory · 2008–2024
Cleveland-Akron (Canton)Baseline
Reagan → Bush IIObama → TrumpR+100D+10D+202020flip · 2024D+25R+10
Cycle2024
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Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like St. Louis, Detroit, and Milwaukee.
8 visible matches
Constituent Geography

Counties in Cleveland-Akron (Canton)

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
CountyPop.MarginDemRepTotalShare
Cuyahoga1.4M
D+31.4
376,384195,164576,5207.6%
Cuyahoga1.3M
D+31.4
376,384195,164576,5207.6%
Cuyahoga1.3M
D+31.4
376,384195,164576,5207.6%
Cuyahoga1.2M
D+31.4
376,384195,164576,5207.6%
Summit544K
D+7.0
145,005125,910273,5713.6%
Summit543K
D+7.0
145,005125,910273,5713.6%
Summit541K
D+7.0
145,005125,910273,5713.6%
Summit538K
D+7.0
145,005125,910273,5713.6%
Stark379K
R+21.9
71,090111,478184,1932.4%
Stark378K
R+21.9
71,090111,478184,1932.4%
Stark375K
R+21.9
71,090111,478184,1932.4%
Stark374K
R+21.9
71,090111,478184,1932.4%
Lorain317K
R+5.7
74,20783,297159,0072.1%
Lorain304K
R+5.7
74,20783,297159,0072.1%
Lorain303K
R+5.7
74,20783,297159,0072.1%
Lorain285K
R+5.7
74,20783,297159,0072.1%
Lake235K
R+14.3
54,48472,924128,5791.7%
Lake232K
R+14.3
54,48472,924128,5791.7%
Lake229K
R+14.3
54,48472,924128,5791.7%
Lake228K
R+14.3
54,48472,924128,5791.7%
Medina184K
R+24.8
39,77166,308107,0451.4%
Medina176K
R+24.8
39,77166,308107,0451.4%
Medina170K
R+24.8
39,77166,308107,0451.4%
Portage162K
R+15.5
34,75947,68183,2261.1%
Portage162K
R+15.5
34,75947,68183,2261.1%
Portage156K
R+15.5
34,75947,68183,2261.1%
Portage152K
R+15.5
34,75947,68183,2261.1%
Medina151K
R+24.8
39,77166,308107,0451.4%
Richland129K
R+42.3
16,59141,29858,3620.8%
Richland126K
R+42.3
16,59141,29858,3620.8%
Richland125K
R+42.3
16,59141,29858,3620.8%
Richland122K
R+42.3
16,59141,29858,3620.8%
Wayne117K
R+39.3
15,89836,76453,1500.7%
Wayne116K
R+39.3
15,89836,76453,1500.7%
Wayne114K
R+39.3
15,89836,76453,1500.7%
Wayne112K
R+39.3
15,89836,76453,1500.7%
Ashtabula103K
R+28.4
15,34527,65643,3740.6%
Ashtabula101K
R+28.4
15,34527,65643,3740.6%
Ashtabula99K
R+28.4
15,34527,65643,3740.6%
Geauga98K
R+24.1
20,60433,84454,8940.7%
Ashtabula97K
R+28.4
15,34527,65643,3740.6%
Geauga95K
R+24.1
20,60433,84454,8940.7%
Geauga94K
R+24.1
20,60433,84454,8940.7%
Tuscarawas93K
R+43.3
12,03230,65243,0230.6%
Tuscarawas92K
R+43.3
12,03230,65243,0230.6%
Tuscarawas91K
R+43.3
12,03230,65243,0230.6%
Tuscarawas91K
R+43.3
12,03230,65243,0230.6%
Geauga91K
R+24.1
20,60433,84454,8940.7%
Erie80K
R+14.1
16,87122,49339,7490.5%
Erie77K
R+14.1
16,87122,49339,7490.5%
Erie76K
R+14.1
16,87122,49339,7490.5%
Erie75K
R+14.1
16,87122,49339,7490.5%
Huron60K
R+44.0
7,49619,48427,2160.4%
Huron59K
R+44.0
7,49619,48427,2160.4%
Huron59K
R+44.0
7,49619,48427,2160.4%
Huron58K
R+44.0
7,49619,48427,2160.4%
Ashland55K
R+50.0
6,54419,86326,6630.4%
Ashland53K
R+50.0
6,54419,86326,6630.4%
Ashland53K
R+50.0
6,54419,86326,6630.4%
Ashland52K
R+50.0
6,54419,86326,6630.4%
Holmes44K
R+69.2
1,85410,38412,3350.2%
Holmes44K
R+69.2
1,85410,38412,3350.2%
Holmes41K
R+69.2
1,85410,38412,3350.2%
Holmes39K
R+69.2
1,85410,38412,3350.2%
Carroll29K
R+54.7
3,07110,63413,8190.2%
Carroll29K
R+54.7
3,07110,63413,8190.2%
Carroll28K
R+54.7
3,07110,63413,8190.2%
Carroll27K
R+54.7
3,07110,63413,8190.2%
68 countiesTotal votes: 7,538,904
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Cleveland-Akron (Canton)'s political evolution with the Historian
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Cleveland-Akron (Canton)Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 78.4%Black 14.0%Hispanic 3.6%Multiracial 2.2%Asian 1.7%
GroupLocalNational
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
78.4%57.4%
▶Black / African American(14)
14.0%12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)
3.6%19.3%
Multiracial / Other
2.2%4.0%
▶Asian(6)
1.7%6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)
1.0%0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)
0.2%0.9%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:
51.3%(2.0M people)
U.S. Religion Census 2020
Browse all religions
Tradition% Pop% AdherentsUS PopUS Adherents
Catholic
20.4%39.8%——
Evangelical Protestant
17.9%34.8%——
Mainline Protestant
6.5%12.8%——
Other
3.2%6.3%——
Black Protestant
2.6%5.0%——
Orthodox Christian
0.6%1.2%——
LDS (Mormon)
0.4%0.8%——
Non-religiousPopulation
48.7%———
Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.
Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Cleveland-Akron (Canton) media market? 15,454,548 residents across 68 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
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Cleveland-Akron (Canton) vs National15.5M residents

26% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
15.5M
local
15.5MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
4.61%
local
4.61%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
37.8%
local
37.8%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
$52,730
local
$52,730National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
12.8%
local
12.8%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
25.8%
local
25.8%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
68.6%
local
68.6%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
39.7 yrs
local
39.7 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
11.1%
local
11.1%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
12.7%
local
12.7%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
4.3%
local
4.3%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
8.3%
local
8.3%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
91.7%
local
91.7%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in Cleveland-Akron (Canton)

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.
2024 Turnout
63.6%
vs Previous
-2.3pp
Eligible Non-Voters
1.1M · 36.4%
Citizen VAP
2,962,722
History
1988–2024
Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Cleveland-Akron (Canton) split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
ConsistencyHeavy splitting (15/100)
2024 Office Comparisons
OfficesMargin AMargin BSplit
President vs SenateR+2.3D+5.98.2pp
Average divergence across office pairs: 15.0pp
Containing Geography

Located In

Cleveland-Akron (Canton) sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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