state house districtMinnesota State House District 31A
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+20.7
2008R+16.7
2012R+17.3
2016R+23.5
2020R+16.9
2024R+17.2
net swing · 2004→2024D+3.6R+20.7 → R+17.2
vs. U.S. · 2024R+15.7R+17.2 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 83.0% of 32,028 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
10,737
15,308
552
26,597
32,028
83.0%
2020
10,590
15,022
631
26,243
30,548†
85.9%
2016
7,767
13,169
2,060
22,996
29,242†
78.6%
2012
9,045
12,947
534
22,526
27,823†
81.0%
2008
8,750
12,347
435
21,532
27,277†
78.9%
2004
8,092
12,418
350
20,860
26,730†
78.0%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMN HD 31MinnesotaUnited States
German29.5%29.2%12.5%
Norwegian12.0%12.1%—
Irish11.4%9.9%9.4%
Swedish8.3%6.5%—
English6.8%6.6%9.5%
American6.6%2.3%5.3%
Polish5.4%3.7%2.2%
French3.1%1.8%1.6%
African American†2.5%3.8%9.9%
Somali0.8%1.1%—
Ethiopian0.8%0.5%—
African0.4%0.5%0.5%
Liberian0.2%0.2%—
Kenyan0.2%0.2%—
Mexican1.7%3.9%11.3%
Ecuadorian0.6%0.2%—
Puerto Rican0.2%0.3%1.8%
Salvadoran0.2%0.2%0.7%
Hmong1.6%1.7%—
Vietnamese0.3%0.4%0.6%
Asian Indian0.3%0.8%1.4%
Chinese0.2%0.5%1.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
MN HD 31
Minnesota
United States
Median age
38
39
39.1
Age 18–24
7.7%
8.8%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
15.5%
17.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
MN HD 31
Minnesota
United States
Median household income
$119,215
$89,062
$84,427
Poverty rate
3.7%
9.3%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
32.2%
39.4%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
MN HD 31
Minnesota
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
14.3%
12.5%
22.3%
Spanish
4.1%
4.2%
13.6%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
2.4%
2.3%
1.1%
Arabic
1.2%
0.3%
0.4%
Other languages
3.6%
2.6%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
MN HD 31
Minnesota
United States
Catholic
—
19.5%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
11.8%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
50.6%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Minnesota State House District 31A
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−20.7%
2008
−16.7%
2012
−17.3%
2016
−23.5%
2020
−16.9%
2024
−17.2%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
40.4%Harris10,737
57.6%Trump15,308
2.1%
R+17.2
R+0.3
R+15.7
26,597
R
40.4%Biden10,590
57.2%Trump15,022
2.4%
R+16.9
D+6.6
R+21.3
26,243
R
33.8%Clinton7,767
57.3%Trump13,169
9.0%
R+23.5
R+6.2
R+25.6
22,996
R
40.2%Obama9,045
57.5%Romney12,947
2.4%
R+17.3
R+0.6
R+21.2
22,526
R
40.6%Obama8,750
57.3%McCain12,347
2.0%
R+16.7
D+4.0
R+24.0
21,532
R
38.8%Kerry8,092
59.5%Bush12,418
1.7%
R+20.7
—
R+18.3
20,860
current representation
Current officeholders
RHarry NiskaState House · 31A
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
District 31A sits in Greater Minnesota's agricultural belt, where an R+17.2 presidential margin in 2024 reflects the broader rural realignment that has reshaped the region's competitive map over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 23.5 points in 2016. The 2024 margin was 17.2 points.
A population of 42,896, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $119,215 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 30B and State House District 30A.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Minnesota State House District 31A. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2731A/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Minnesota State House District 31A vote in 2024?
In 2024, Minnesota State House District 31A voted Republican by 17.2 points (R+17.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 26,597 votes cast, 10,737 went Democratic and 15,308 went Republican.
How many people live in Minnesota State House District 31A?
Minnesota State House District 31A has a population of 42,896 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Minnesota State House District 31A?
Median household income in Minnesota State House District 31A is $119,215 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Minnesota State House District 31A?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Minnesota State House District 31A from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
