Minnesota State House District 31A · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
63.7%
3,286 votes · D+27.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · 57.3%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
87.2%
224 votes · R+77.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 78.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
10,737votes
40.4% of the vote · R+17.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 10,590 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
15,308votes
57.6% of the vote · R+17.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 15,022 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hubert Humphrey1968
+15.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+14.7 · U.S. R+0.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · +13.6 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+58.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+77.8 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +50.2 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RHarry NiskaState House · 31A
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year
Vote lead
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
45.4%10,617
54.6%12,760
23,377
2020
R
42.6%9,842
57.4%13,270
23,112
District 31A sits in Greater Minnesota's agricultural belt, where an R+17.2 presidential margin in 2024 reflects the broader rural realignment that has reshaped the region's competitive map over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 77.8 points in 1904. The 2024 margin was 17.2 points.
A population of 42,896, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $119,215 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 30B and State House District 30A.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Minnesota State House District 31A. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2731A/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Minnesota State House District 31A vote in 2024?
In 2024, Minnesota State House District 31A voted Republican by 17.2 points (R+17.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 26,597 votes cast, 10,737 went Democratic and 15,308 went Republican.
When did Minnesota State House District 31A last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Minnesota State House District 31A voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Minnesota State House District 31A?
Minnesota State House District 31A has a population of 42,896 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Minnesota State House District 31A?
Median household income in Minnesota State House District 31A is $119,215 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Minnesota State House District 31A?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Minnesota State House District 31A from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.