Minnesota State House District 40A · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
61.9%
15,525 votes · D+26.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 61.5%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
79.2%
2,382 votes · R+65.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 70.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
15,886votes
61.5% of the vote · D+25.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 15,525 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
12,650votes
49.9% of the vote · R+1.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 12,481 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+28.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+26.8 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +21.2 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+45.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+65.0 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +37.1 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DKelly MollerState House · 40A
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year
Vote lead
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
71.2%14,805
28.8%5,981
20,786
District 40A sits in the inner suburbs of Hennepin County, where dense residential neighborhoods and high educational attainment have produced presidential margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.8 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 65.0 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.2 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.8 points.
A population of 42,860, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $111,072 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 42B and State House District 47A.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Minnesota State House District 40A. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2740A/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Minnesota State House District 40A vote in 2024?
In 2024, Minnesota State House District 40A voted Democratic by 26.8 points (D+26.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 25,064 votes cast, 15,525 went Democratic and 8,803 went Republican.
When did Minnesota State House District 40A last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Minnesota State House District 40A voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Minnesota State House District 40A?
Minnesota State House District 40A has a population of 42,860 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Minnesota State House District 40A?
Median household income in Minnesota State House District 40A is $111,072 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Minnesota State House District 40A?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Minnesota State House District 40A from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.