state house districtMinnesota State House District 40A
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+1.5
2008D+6.0
2012D+6.8
2016D+14.5
2020D+25.7
2024D+26.8
net swing · 2004→2024D+28.3R+1.5 → D+26.8
vs. U.S. · 2024D+28.3D+26.8 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 81.9% of 30,611 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
15,525
8,803
736
25,064
30,611
81.9%
2020
15,886
9,258
690
25,834
30,442†
84.9%
2016
12,772
9,226
2,483
24,481
29,355†
83.4%
2012
13,435
11,684
655
25,774
28,191†
91.4%
2008
13,000
11,512
473
24,985
27,860†
89.7%
2004
12,203
12,577
211
24,991
27,529†
90.8%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMN HD 40MinnesotaUnited States
German29.0%29.2%12.5%
Irish13.9%9.9%9.4%
Norwegian10.7%12.1%—
English8.1%6.6%9.5%
Swedish8.0%6.5%—
Polish4.2%3.7%2.2%
Italian3.5%—4.8%
French3.4%1.8%1.6%
Hmong4.9%1.7%—
Burmese1.2%0.2%—
Chinese0.5%0.5%1.3%
Asian Indian0.4%0.8%1.4%
Vietnamese0.4%0.4%0.6%
Korean0.3%0.2%0.4%
Filipino0.2%0.2%0.9%
Cambodian0.2%——
Mexican3.8%3.9%11.3%
Salvadoran0.4%0.2%0.7%
Puerto Rican0.2%0.3%1.8%
African American†3.0%3.8%9.9%
Ethiopian0.7%0.5%—
Somali0.6%1.1%—
African0.3%0.5%0.5%
Nigerian0.2%0.2%0.2%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
MN HD 40
Minnesota
United States
Median age
40.5
39
39.1
Age 18–24
9.4%
8.8%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
15.8%
17.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
MN HD 40
Minnesota
United States
Median household income
$111,072
$89,062
$84,427
Poverty rate
7.6%
9.3%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
45.6%
39.4%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
MN HD 40
Minnesota
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
23.3%
12.5%
22.3%
Spanish
5.6%
4.2%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.1%
0.8%
2.0%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
9.2%
2.3%
1.1%
Other languages
4.1%
2.6%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
MN HD 40
Minnesota
United States
Catholic
—
19.5%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
11.8%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
50.6%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Minnesota State House District 40A
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−1.5%
2008
+6.0%
2012
+6.8%
2016
+14.5%
2020
+25.7%
2024
+26.8%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
61.9%Harris15,525
35.1%Trump8,803
2.9%
D+26.8
D+1.2
D+28.3
25,064
D
61.5%Biden15,886
35.8%Trump9,258
2.7%
D+25.7
D+11.2
D+21.2
25,834
D
52.2%Clinton12,772
37.7%Trump9,226
10.1%
D+14.5
D+7.7
D+12.4
24,481
D
52.1%Obama13,435
45.3%Romney11,684
2.5%
D+6.8
D+0.8
D+2.9
25,774
D
52.0%Obama13,000
46.1%McCain11,512
1.9%
D+6.0
D+7.5
R+1.3
24,985
R
48.8%Kerry12,203
50.3%Bush12,577
0.8%
R+1.5
—
D+1.0
24,991
current representation
Current officeholders
DKelly MollerState House · 40A
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
District 40A sits in the inner suburbs of Hennepin County, where dense residential neighborhoods and high educational attainment have produced presidential margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.8 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 1.5 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.2 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.8 points.
A population of 42,860, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $111,072 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 42B and State House District 47A.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Minnesota State House District 40A. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2740A/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Minnesota State House District 40A vote in 2024?
In 2024, Minnesota State House District 40A voted Democratic by 26.8 points (D+26.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 25,064 votes cast, 15,525 went Democratic and 8,803 went Republican.
When did Minnesota State House District 40A last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Minnesota State House District 40A voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Minnesota State House District 40A?
Minnesota State House District 40A has a population of 42,860 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Minnesota State House District 40A?
Median household income in Minnesota State House District 40A is $111,072 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Minnesota State House District 40A?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Minnesota State House District 40A from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.
