HarrisDemocratic18.2%1,857TrumpRepublican80.9%8,256OtherAll other candidates0.9%91
R+62.7- Lead
- 6,399
- Total
- 10,204
- vs nation
- R+61.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Mississippi 15th State House District
Contests in this Place (47 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic21.3%2,249TrumpRepublican77.1%8,127OtherAll other candidates1.6%171
R+55.7- Lead
- 5,878
- Total
- 10,547
- vs nation
- R+60.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic21.4%2,035TrumpRepublican76.7%7,289OtherAll other candidates1.9%181
R+55.3- Lead
- 5,254
- Total
- 9,505
- vs nation
- R+57.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic26.2%2,414RomneyRepublican72.5%6,665OtherAll other candidates1.3%119
R+46.2- Lead
- 4,251
- Total
- 9,198
- vs nation
- R+50.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic26.8%2,553McCainRepublican72.0%6,859OtherAll other candidates1.2%119
R+45.2- Lead
- 4,306
- Total
- 9,531
- vs nation
- R+52.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic27.3%2,282BushRepublican71.6%5,984OtherAll other candidates1.1%95
R+44.3- Lead
- 3,702
- Total
- 8,361
- vs nation
- R+41.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic33.3%2,381BushRepublican65.2%4,660OtherAll other candidates1.4%101
R+31.9- Lead
- 2,279
- Total
- 7,142
- vs nation
- R+32.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic38.2%2,228DoleRepublican51.9%3,025OtherAll other candidates9.9%578
R+13.7- Lead
- 797
- Total
- 5,831
- vs nation
- R+22.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+62.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,2452024 5-year
- Population density
- 89 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 260 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $52,0342024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 16.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+96.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+75.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 4, MS · twin score 98.4
presidential history
Party record book
Mississippi 15th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
98.2%
1,592 votes · D+96.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 96.7%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
87.0%
3,159 votes · R+75.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 80.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1980
3,829votes
61.9% of the vote · D+25.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 3,448 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
8,256votes
80.9% of the vote · R+62.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 8,127 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+114.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+88.8 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +94.2 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+73.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.9 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +61.2 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RBeth WaldoState House · 15
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
In 2024 it voted Republican by R+62.7, against R+45.2 in 2008. Evangelical Protestant adherents were the largest religious group at 58.8% in the 2020 US Religion Census.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 96.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 75.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 62.7 points.
A population of 23,245, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,034 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 4 and State House District 14.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 4
Mississippi
98.4twin score
2008–2024 trajectory% Evangelical
State House District 14
Mississippi
97.7twin score
2008–2024 trajectory% Evangelical≠ % unaffiliated
State House District 30
Louisiana
97.7twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Mississippi 15th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/28015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Mississippi at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Mississippi 15th State House District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Mississippi 15th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Mississippi 15th State House District voted Republican by 62.7 points (R+62.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 10,204 votes cast, 1,857 went Democratic and 8,256 went Republican.
When did Mississippi 15th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Mississippi 15th State House District voted Democratic was 1980.
How many people live in Mississippi 15th State House District?
Mississippi 15th State House District has a population of 23,245 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mississippi 15th State House District?
Median household income in Mississippi 15th State House District is $52,034 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Mississippi 15th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Mississippi 15th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.