HarrisDemocratic57.4%3,392TrumpRepublican38.2%2,258OtherAll other candidates4.4%263
D+19.2- Lead
- 1,134
- Total
- 5,913
- vs nation
- D+20.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Mississippi 40th State House District
Contests in this Place (45 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic60.0%3,866TrumpRepublican37.4%2,405OtherAll other candidates2.6%168
D+22.7- Lead
- 1,461
- Total
- 6,439
- vs nation
- D+18.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic52.5%3,224TrumpRepublican43.9%2,697OtherAll other candidates3.6%221
D+8.6- Lead
- 527
- Total
- 6,142
- vs nation
- D+6.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic54.5%3,395RomneyRepublican43.6%2,715OtherAll other candidates2.0%124
D+10.9- Lead
- 680
- Total
- 6,234
- vs nation
- D+7.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic52.2%3,057McCainRepublican46.9%2,749OtherAll other candidates0.9%51
D+5.3- Lead
- 308
- Total
- 5,857
- vs nation
- R+2.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic48.0%2,124BushRepublican51.5%2,278OtherAll other candidates0.6%25
R+3.5- Lead
- 154
- Total
- 4,427
- vs nation
- R+1.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic48.4%1,507BushRepublican50.0%1,555OtherAll other candidates1.6%51
R+1.5- Lead
- 48
- Total
- 3,113
- vs nation
- R+2.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic49.6%1,597DoleRepublican35.5%1,144OtherAll other candidates14.9%480
D+14.1- Lead
- 453
- Total
- 3,221
- vs nation
- D+5.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+19.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,9512024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,629 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 14.7 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $52,5752024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 31.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 55.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+100.0 in 1900MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 70, AL · twin score 93.3
presidential history
Party record book
Mississippi 40th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
100.0%
229 votes · D+100.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 100.0%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
68.7%
182 votes · R+37.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 63.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
3,866votes
60.0% of the vote · D+22.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 3,395 votes
Republican
John McCain2008
2,749votes
46.9% of the vote · D+5.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 2,715 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+126.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+100.0 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +125.2 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+59.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+37.4 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +6.5 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DHester Jackson-McCrayState House · 40
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | R | 34.3%2,161 | 65.7%4,146 | 6,307 |
Anchored in the Mississippi Delta, this 24,000-person district tilts heavily Democratic in state and federal contests, reflecting a population that is predominantly African American in one of the country's most economically distressed regions.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 100.0 points in 1900 and a Republican high of 37.4 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.2 points.
A population of 23,951, a 32% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,575 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 70 and State House District 16.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 70
Alabama
93.3twin score
% Blackelasticitymedian age
State House District 16
Mississippi
93.3twin score
% Blackelasticity2020–2024 trajectory
State House District 143
Georgia
92.8twin score
% Black2020–2024 trajectory% White
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Mississippi 40th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/28040/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Mississippi at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Mississippi 40th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Mississippi 40th State House District voted Democratic by 19.2 points (D+19.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 5,913 votes cast, 3,392 went Democratic and 2,258 went Republican.
When did Mississippi 40th State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Mississippi 40th State House District voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Mississippi 40th State House District?
Mississippi 40th State House District has a population of 23,951 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mississippi 40th State House District?
Median household income in Mississippi 40th State House District is $52,575 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Mississippi 40th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Mississippi 40th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 30 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.