North Carolina 21st State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
88.7%
1,114 votes · D+77.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 86.9%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
72.6%
3,608 votes · R+46.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 64.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
31,255votes
62.0% of the vote · D+26.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 28,683 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
17,962votes
35.6% of the vote · D+26.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 16,327 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+68.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+43.3 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · +63.9 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
+23.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+46.9 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bob Dole, 1996 · +15.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DYa LiuState House · 21
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year
Vote lead
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
63.0%29,539
37.0%17,342
46,881
2020
D
62.6%27,940
37.4%16,664
44,604
2018
D
64.0%20,079
36.0%11,296
31,375
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+26.4, this district ranks among the state's most reliably blue constituencies, suggesting a dense urban or majority-minority population base that has shifted little in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 77.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 46.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.4 points.
A population of 87,764, a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $154,084 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Legislative Subdistrict 9B and Legislative (House) District 48.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
North Carolina 21st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/37021/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did North Carolina 21st State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, North Carolina 21st State House District voted Democratic by 26.4 points (D+26.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 50,421 votes cast, 31,255 went Democratic and 17,962 went Republican.
When did North Carolina 21st State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which North Carolina 21st State House District voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in North Carolina 21st State House District?
North Carolina 21st State House District has a population of 87,764 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in North Carolina 21st State House District?
Median household income in North Carolina 21st State House District is $154,084 — above the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of North Carolina 21st State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in North Carolina 21st State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.