state house districtNorth Dakota 40th State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+30.5
2008R+14.6
2012R+22.0
2016R+36.9
2020R+33.5
2024R+38.1
net swing · 2004→2024R+7.6R+30.5 → R+38.1
vs. U.S. · 2024R+36.6R+38.1 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 44.8% of 11,288 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
1,493
3,418
145
5,056
11,288
44.8%
2020
1,493
3,110
225
4,828
11,284†
42.8%
2016
1,095
2,730
606
4,431
11,370†
39.0%
2012
1,630
2,598
172
4,400
10,322†
42.6%
2008
1,961
2,647
99
4,707
9,319†
50.5%
2004
1,586
3,010
77
4,673
8,316†
56.2%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupND HD 40North DakotaUnited States
German28.5%34.5%12.5%
Norwegian20.9%20.3%—
Irish8.2%7.3%9.4%
English5.9%5.1%9.5%
Swedish2.6%3.2%—
French2.5%2.3%1.6%
American2.3%2.9%5.3%
Polish1.4%1.6%2.2%
Mexican4.4%2.8%11.3%
Puerto Rican1.9%0.5%1.8%
Cuban0.5%—0.7%
Spaniard0.4%0.2%—
Nicaraguan0.3%——
Salvadoran0.3%—0.7%
Ecuadorian0.3%——
African American†5.7%1.6%9.9%
African0.4%0.5%0.5%
Somali0.4%——
Jamaican0.4%—0.4%
Turtle Mountain Chippewa0.8%0.6%—
Filipino1.1%0.3%0.9%
Chinese0.3%0.2%1.3%
Japanese0.3%—0.2%
Indonesian0.3%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
ND HD 40
North Dakota
United States
Median age
27.7
36.4
39.1
Age 18–24
11.5%
11.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
13.9%
16.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
ND HD 40
North Dakota
United States
Median household income
$79,256
$76,657
$84,427
Poverty rate
7.4%
10.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
29.6%
32.9%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
ND HD 40
North Dakota
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
5.5%
6.7%
22.3%
Spanish
2.6%
2.3%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
ND HD 40
North Dakota
United States
Catholic
—
21.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
10.8%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
45.0%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
North Dakota 40th State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−30.5%
2008
−14.6%
2012
−22.0%
2016
−36.9%
2020
−33.5%
2024
−38.1%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. † 2004, 2012 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
29.5%Harris1,493
67.6%Trump3,418
2.9%
R+38.1
R+4.6
R+36.6
5,056
R
30.9%Biden1,493
64.4%Trump3,110
4.7%
R+33.5
D+3.4
R+37.9
4,828
R
24.7%Clinton1,095
61.6%Trump2,730
13.7%
R+36.9
R+14.9
R+39.0
4,431
R
37.0%Obama1,630
59.0%Romney2,598
3.9%
R+22.0
R+7.4
R+25.9
4,400
R
41.7%Obama1,961
56.2%McCain2,647
2.1%
R+14.6
D+15.9
R+21.8
4,707
R
33.9%Kerry1,586
64.4%Bush3,010
1.6%
R+30.5
—
R+28.0
4,673
current representation
Current officeholders
RMacy BolinskeState House · 40
RMatt RubyState House · 40
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+38.1 across a population of roughly 16,000, this district reflects the heavily Republican lean typical of rural North Dakota, where Republican candidates routinely post some of the state's widest winning margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 38.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 38.1 points.
A population of 15,831, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,256 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 3 and State House District 38.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
North Dakota 40th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/38040/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did North Dakota 40th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, North Dakota 40th State House District voted Republican by 38.1 points (R+38.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,056 votes cast, 1,493 went Democratic and 3,418 went Republican.
How many people live in North Dakota 40th State House District?
North Dakota 40th State House District has a population of 15,831 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in North Dakota 40th State House District?
Median household income in North Dakota 40th State House District is $79,256 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Dakota state median is $76,657.
What is the political history of North Dakota 40th State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in North Dakota 40th State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
