state house districtNorth Dakota 45th State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+25.0
2008D+2.2
2012R+8.3
2016R+16.0
2020R+11.7
2024R+14.5
net swing · 2004→2024D+10.5R+25.0 → R+14.5
vs. U.S. · 2024R+13.0R+14.5 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 60.4% of 13,589 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
3,388
4,576
244
8,208
13,589
60.4%
2020
3,312
4,224
277
7,813
12,532†
62.3%
2016
2,887
4,164
939
7,990
11,825†
67.6%
2012
3,444
4,088
228
7,760
10,788†
71.9%
2008
4,024
3,847
165
8,036
9,933†
80.9%
2004
2,778
4,671
118
7,567
9,078†
83.4%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupND HD 45North DakotaUnited States
German38.5%34.5%12.5%
Norwegian27.1%20.3%—
Irish8.3%7.3%9.4%
English5.7%5.1%9.5%
Swedish5.7%3.2%—
French3.4%2.3%1.6%
American2.9%2.9%5.3%
Polish2.2%1.6%2.2%
African American†1.1%1.6%9.9%
Liberian0.7%0.4%—
African0.5%0.5%0.5%
Nigerian0.2%0.2%0.2%
Mexican2.1%2.8%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.3%0.5%1.8%
Spaniard0.2%0.2%—
Asian Indian0.3%0.2%1.4%
Korean0.2%—0.4%
Nepalese0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
ND HD 45
North Dakota
United States
Median age
30.9
36.4
39.1
Age 18–24
14.8%
11.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
13.0%
16.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
ND HD 45
North Dakota
United States
Median household income
$93,074
$76,657
$84,427
Poverty rate
4.9%
10.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
42.6%
32.9%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
ND HD 45
North Dakota
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
8.9%
6.7%
22.3%
Spanish
1.5%
2.3%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.6%
0.7%
2.0%
Other languages
2.1%
1.2%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
ND HD 45
North Dakota
United States
Catholic
—
21.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
10.8%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
45.0%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
North Dakota 45th State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−25.0%
2008
+2.2%
2012
−8.3%
2016
−16.0%
2020
−11.7%
2024
−14.5%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. † 2004, 2012 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
41.3%Harris3,388
55.8%Trump4,576
3.0%
R+14.5
R+2.8
R+13.0
8,208
R
42.4%Biden3,312
54.1%Trump4,224
3.5%
R+11.7
D+4.3
R+16.1
7,813
R
36.1%Clinton2,887
52.1%Trump4,164
11.8%
R+16.0
R+7.7
R+18.1
7,990
R
44.4%Obama3,444
52.7%Romney4,088
2.9%
R+8.3
R+10.5
R+12.2
7,760
D
50.1%Obama4,024
47.9%McCain3,847
2.1%
D+2.2
D+27.2
R+5.1
8,036
R
36.7%Kerry2,778
61.7%Bush4,671
1.6%
R+25.0
—
R+22.6
7,567
current representation
Current officeholders
RCarrie McLeodState House · 45
RScott WagnerState House · 45
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
The district recorded a Republican presidential margin of R+14.5 in 2024 and D+2.2 in 2008, switching sides at least once in between. About 27,100 residents lived here, with White alone at 82.3% in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 2.2 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 25.0 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.5 points.
A population of 16,201, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $93,074 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 17 and State House District 41.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
North Dakota 45th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/38045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did North Dakota 45th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, North Dakota 45th State House District voted Republican by 14.5 points (R+14.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,208 votes cast, 3,388 went Democratic and 4,576 went Republican.
When did North Dakota 45th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which North Dakota 45th State House District voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in North Dakota 45th State House District?
North Dakota 45th State House District has a population of 16,201 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in North Dakota 45th State House District?
Median household income in North Dakota 45th State House District is $93,074 — above the national median of $80,734. The North Dakota state median is $76,657.
What is the political history of North Dakota 45th State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in North Dakota 45th State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.
