state house districtSouth Dakota 15th State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+15.3
2008D+0.7
2012R+7.4
2016R+14.6
2020R+9.5
2024R+12.7
full record · 1892 → 2024
presidential returns
2024 turnout 9.7% of 19,283 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
795
1,032
44
1,871
19,283
9.7%
2020
806
980
52
1,838
18,100†
10.2%
2016
609
837
112
1,558
17,402†
9.0%
2012
690
803
31
1,524
16,391†
9.3%
2008
793
781
29
1,603
17,090†
9.4%
2004
643
880
22
1,545
17,788†
8.7%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
18922024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupSD HD 15South DakotaUnited States
German27.2%33.1%12.5%
Norwegian10.4%10.4%—
Irish8.8%9.9%9.4%
English6.1%7.7%9.5%
Dutch4.8%3.4%—
American3.9%4.4%5.3%
Swedish2.4%2.5%—
Danish1.5%0.8%—
African American†5.4%1.1%9.9%
Ethiopian2.1%0.3%—
African1.6%0.2%0.5%
Liberian0.9%——
Somali0.3%——
Sudanese0.3%——
West Indian0.3%——
Mexican3.7%2.6%11.3%
Salvadoran1.9%0.3%0.7%
Guatemalan1.5%0.5%0.5%
Puerto Rican0.4%0.4%1.8%
Nicaraguan0.3%——
Oglala Sioux1.7%2.0%—
Rosebud Sioux1.1%1.1%—
Nepalese0.4%——
Asian Indian0.3%0.2%1.4%
Chinese0.3%—1.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
SD HD 15
South Dakota
United States
Median age
34.6
38.2
39.1
Age 18–24
8.3%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
13.9%
18.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
SD HD 15
South Dakota
United States
Median household income
$55,023
$75,081
$84,427
Poverty rate
14.2%
12.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
35.2%
31.9%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
SD HD 15
South Dakota
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
10.3%
7.1%
22.3%
Spanish
4.4%
2.6%
13.6%
Other languages
2.8%
1.9%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
SD HD 15
South Dakota
United States
Catholic
—
14.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
20.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
44.9%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
South Dakota 15th State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−40.5%
1896
+4.9%
1900
−16.0%
1904
−56.7%
1908
−33.6%
1912
+42.1%
1916
−9.8%
1920
−44.1%
1924
−46.5%
1928
−33.9%
1932
+10.2%
1936
+2.8%
1940
−15.3%
1944
−15.4%
1948
−8.8%
1952
−43.0%
1956
−26.0%
1960
−21.1%
1964
+11.1%
1968
−9.7%
1972
−0.1%
1976
−2.8%
1980
−12.2%
1984
−12.9%
1988
+4.2%
1992
+3.1%
1996
+3.8%
2000
−10.4%
2004
−15.3%
2008
+0.7%
2012
−7.4%
2016
−14.6%
2020
−9.5%
2024
−12.7%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. † 2004, 2012 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
42.5%Harris795
55.2%Trump1,032
2.4%
R+12.7
R+3.2
R+11.2
1,871
R
43.9%Biden806
53.3%Trump980
2.8%
R+9.5
D+5.2
R+13.9
1,838
R
39.1%Clinton609
53.7%Trump837
7.2%
R+14.6
R+7.2
R+16.7
1,558
R
45.3%Obama690
52.7%Romney803
2.0%
R+7.4
R+8.2
R+11.3
1,524
D
49.5%Obama793
48.7%McCain781
1.8%
D+0.7
D+16.1
R+6.5
1,603
R
41.6%Kerry643
57.0%Bush880
1.4%
R+15.3
R+4.9
R+12.9
1,545
R
44.0%Gore538
54.4%Bush665
1.6%
R+10.4
R+14.2
R+10.9
1,222
D
48.1%Clinton593
44.2%Dole546
7.7%
D+3.8
D+0.7
R+4.7
1,234
D
42.4%Clinton538
39.3%Bush499
18.3%
D+3.1
R+1.1
R+2.5
1,270
D
51.9%Dukakis580
47.7%Bush533
0.4%
D+4.2
D+17.1
D+11.9
1,117
R
43.4%Mondale459
56.2%Reagan595
0.4%
R+12.9
R+0.7
D+5.4
1,058
R
38.8%Carter398
51.0%Reagan523
10.1%
R+12.2
R+9.4
R+2.5
1,025
R
48.4%Carter439
51.2%Ford464
0.4%
R+2.8
R+2.6
R+4.8
907
R
49.8%McGovern446
49.9%Nixon447
0.3%
R+0.1
D+9.6
D+23.0
896
R
43.6%Humphrey328
53.3%Nixon401
3.1%
R+9.7
R+20.8
R+9.0
752
D
55.6%Johnson417
44.5%Goldwater334
0.0%
D+11.1
D+32.1
R+11.5
750
R
39.5%Kennedy302
60.6%Nixon463
0.0%
R+21.1
D+4.9
R+21.2
764
R
37.1%Stevenson261
63.1%Eisenhower444
0.0%
R+26.0
D+17.0
R+10.6
704
R
28.5%Stevenson187
71.5%Eisenhower469
0.0%
R+43.0
R+34.1
R+32.2
656
R
45.0%Truman234
53.8%Dewey280
1.2%
R+8.8
D+6.6
R+13.3
520
R
42.3%Roosevelt203
57.7%Dewey277
0.0%
R+15.4
R+0.1
R+22.9
480
R
42.4%Roosevelt244
57.6%Willkie332
0.0%
R+15.3
R+18.1
R+25.2
576
D
49.6%Roosevelt262
46.8%Landon247
3.6%
D+2.8
R+7.3
R+21.4
528
D
54.4%Roosevelt252
44.3%Hoover205
1.3%
D+10.2
D+44.1
R+7.6
463
R
32.9%Smith135
66.8%Hoover274
0.2%
R+33.9
D+12.6
R+16.4
410
R
9.6%Davis30
56.1%Coolidge176
34.4%
R+46.5
R+2.4
R+21.3
314
R
19.2%Cox50
63.2%Harding165
17.6%
R+44.1
R+34.2
R+17.9
261
R
42.9%Wilson70
52.8%Hughes86
4.3%
R+9.8
R+52.0
R+13.0
163
O
42.1%Wilson51
0.0%Taft0
57.9%
Roosevelt +15.7
D+75.7
D+22.6
121
R
30.5%Bryan39
64.1%Taft82
5.5%
R+33.6
D+23.1
R+24.0
128
R
17.5%Parker21
74.2%Roosevelt89
8.3%
R+56.7
R+40.7
R+37.0
120
R
41.2%Bryan49
57.1%McKinley68
1.7%
R+16.0
R+20.9
R+8.4
119
D
52.0%Bryan53
47.1%McKinley48
1.0%
D+4.9
D+45.4
D+11.0
102
R
11.9%Cleveland10
52.4%Harrison44
35.7%
R+40.5
—
R+42.1
84
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current representation
Current officeholders
DErik MuckeyState House · 15
DKadyn WittmanState House · 15
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+42.4, this district of roughly 26,000 residents sits firmly outside competitive territory, reflecting the dominant rural conservative alignment that characterizes much of western South Dakota.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 56.7 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.7 points.
A population of 26,133, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,023 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 10 and State House District 9.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
South Dakota 15th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/46015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did South Dakota 15th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, South Dakota 15th State House District voted Republican by 12.7 points (R+12.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,871 votes cast, 795 went Democratic and 1,032 went Republican.
When did South Dakota 15th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which South Dakota 15th State House District voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in South Dakota 15th State House District?
South Dakota 15th State House District has a population of 26,133 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in South Dakota 15th State House District?
Median household income in South Dakota 15th State House District is $55,023 — below the national median of $80,734. The South Dakota state median is $75,081.
What is the political history of South Dakota 15th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in South Dakota 15th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.
