HarrisDemocratic27.3%9,226TrumpRepublican71.6%24,213OtherAll other candidates1.2%393
R+44.3- Lead
- 14,987
- Total
- 33,832
- vs nation
- R+42.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Tennessee 20th State House District
Contests in this Place (45 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic28.9%9,480TrumpRepublican69.0%22,654OtherAll other candidates2.2%707
R+40.1- Lead
- 13,174
- Total
- 32,841
- vs nation
- R+44.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic24.5%6,241TrumpRepublican70.0%17,850OtherAll other candidates5.5%1,394
R+45.6- Lead
- 11,609
- Total
- 25,485
- vs nation
- R+47.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic27.9%6,693RomneyRepublican70.4%16,897OtherAll other candidates1.7%400
R+42.5- Lead
- 10,204
- Total
- 23,990
- vs nation
- R+46.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic31.2%7,869McCainRepublican67.2%16,954OtherAll other candidates1.6%397
R+36.0- Lead
- 9,085
- Total
- 25,220
- vs nation
- R+43.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic32.5%7,749BushRepublican66.4%15,821OtherAll other candidates1.0%239
R+33.9- Lead
- 8,072
- Total
- 23,809
- vs nation
- R+31.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic37.9%7,569BushRepublican60.3%12,040OtherAll other candidates1.9%370
R+22.4- Lead
- 4,471
- Total
- 19,979
- vs nation
- R+22.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic41.3%7,568DoleRepublican50.3%9,222OtherAll other candidates8.4%1,533
R+9.0- Lead
- 1,654
- Total
- 18,323
- vs nation
- R+17.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 68,4612024 5-year
- Population density
- 576 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 119 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $77,7252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+2.4 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68.0 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 8, TN · twin score 98.6
presidential history
Party record book
Tennessee 20th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
48.0%
6,239 votes · R+2.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 45.4%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
83.9%
1,979 votes · R+68.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 76.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
9,480votes
28.9% of the vote · R+40.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 9,226 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
24,213votes
71.6% of the vote · R+44.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 22,654 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
−4.9pts D vs U.S.
Place R+2.8 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · −12.2 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
+50.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+68.0 · U.S. R+17.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +49.7 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RTommy StinnettState House · 20
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 23.7%7,945 | 76.3%25,635 | 33,580 |
| 2020 | R | 24.4%7,705 | 75.6%23,909 | 31,614 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+44.3, this East or Middle Tennessee district ranks among the state's least competitive, where general-election outcomes are typically settled well before November.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 2.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 68.0 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.3 points.
A population of 68,461, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,725 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 8 and State House District 12.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 8
Tennessee
98.6twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
State House District 12
Tennessee
97.4twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
State House District 38
South Carolina
97.2twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tennessee 20th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/47020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Tennessee at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Tennessee 20th State House District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Tennessee 20th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tennessee 20th State House District voted Republican by 44.3 points (R+44.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 33,832 votes cast, 9,226 went Democratic and 24,213 went Republican.
How many people live in Tennessee 20th State House District?
Tennessee 20th State House District has a population of 68,461 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tennessee 20th State House District?
Median household income in Tennessee 20th State House District is $77,725 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Tennessee 20th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Tennessee 20th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 37 went Republican.