state house districtVirginia 48th State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+15.4
2008R+7.7
2012R+12.1
2016R+23.1
2020R+24.1
2024R+27.8
net swing · 2004→2024R+12.4R+15.4 → R+27.8
vs. U.S. · 2024R+26.3R+27.8 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 65.2% of 67,848 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
15,779
28,051
385
44,215
67,848
65.2%
2020
16,670
27,428
484
44,582
68,312†
65.3%
2016
15,504
25,175
1,236
41,915
69,621†
60.2%
2012
18,154
23,289
920
42,363
70,584†
60.0%
2008
19,497
22,779
570
42,846
69,211†
61.9%
2004
16,148
22,130
557
38,835
67,838†
57.2%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupVA HD 48VirginiaUnited States
American22.3%8.4%5.3%
English12.7%12.0%9.5%
Irish5.8%9.1%9.4%
German4.9%10.1%12.5%
Scottish1.4%1.9%1.3%
Italian1.3%3.9%4.8%
Scotch-Irish1.1%——
French0.5%1.3%1.6%
African American†25.9%15.6%9.9%
African0.4%0.9%0.5%
Haitian0.2%—0.3%
Mexican3.1%2.4%11.3%
Salvadoran0.7%2.1%0.7%
Puerto Rican0.6%1.4%1.8%
Honduran0.2%0.7%0.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
VA HD 48
Virginia
United States
Median age
46.6
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
7.5%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
23.5%
16.7%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
VA HD 48
Virginia
United States
Median household income
$50,981
$93,170
$84,427
Poverty rate
16.6%
10.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
16.7%
42.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
VA HD 48
Virginia
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
5.5%
17.5%
22.3%
Spanish
4.1%
7.9%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
VA HD 48
Virginia
United States
Catholic
—
10.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
19.9%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
54.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Virginia 48th State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−15.4%
2008
−7.7%
2012
−12.1%
2016
−23.1%
2020
−24.1%
2024
−27.8%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
35.7%Harris15,779
63.4%Trump28,051
0.9%
R+27.8
R+3.6
R+26.3
44,215
R
37.4%Biden16,670
61.5%Trump27,428
1.1%
R+24.1
R+1.1
R+28.6
44,582
R
37.0%Clinton15,504
60.1%Trump25,175
2.9%
R+23.1
R+11.0
R+25.2
41,915
R
42.9%Obama18,154
55.0%Romney23,289
2.2%
R+12.1
R+4.5
R+16.0
42,363
R
45.5%Obama19,497
53.2%McCain22,779
1.3%
R+7.7
D+7.7
R+14.9
42,846
R
41.6%Kerry16,148
57.0%Bush22,130
1.4%
R+15.4
—
R+12.9
38,835
current representation
Current officeholders
REric PhillipsState House · 48
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+27.8, this district sits well outside competitive territory. Its voting patterns reflect a predominantly rural or exurban constituency that has moved decisively toward one party over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 27.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.8 points.
A population of 86,312, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,981 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 46 and State House District 50.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Virginia 48th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51048/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Virginia 48th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Virginia 48th State House District voted Republican by 27.8 points (R+27.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 44,215 votes cast, 15,779 went Democratic and 28,051 went Republican.
How many people live in Virginia 48th State House District?
Virginia 48th State House District has a population of 86,312 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Virginia 48th State House District?
Median household income in Virginia 48th State House District is $50,981 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Virginia 48th State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Virginia 48th State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
