state senate districtFlorida 31st State Senate District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+2.6
2008D+0.1
2012R+7.3
2016R+11.5
2020R+10.8
2024R+18.1
net swing · 2004→2024R+15.5R+2.6 → R+18.1
vs. U.S. · 2024R+16.6R+18.1 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 78.7% of 430,210 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
136,865
198,084
3,823
338,772
430,210
78.7%
2020
142,805
177,725
2,728
323,258
416,840†
77.5%
2016
115,189
146,322
9,363
270,874
388,076†
69.8%
2012
109,697
127,189
2,008
238,894
362,894†
65.8%
2008
115,543
115,349
2,071
232,963
342,093†
68.1%
2004
102,150
107,649
1,394
211,193
321,292†
65.7%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupFL SD 31FloridaUnited States
Irish11.7%8.2%9.4%
German11.6%8.9%12.5%
Italian10.8%5.6%4.8%
American9.7%7.7%5.3%
English9.6%8.2%9.5%
Polish3.9%2.1%2.2%
Russian2.3%——
French2.3%1.7%1.6%
Cuban3.0%7.3%0.7%
Mexican2.9%3.3%11.3%
Puerto Rican2.6%5.6%1.8%
Guatemalan2.2%—0.5%
Colombian1.6%2.1%0.4%
Dominican0.8%1.3%0.7%
Honduran0.7%0.6%0.3%
Venezuelan0.6%1.6%—
African American†4.9%9.5%9.9%
Haitian3.3%2.3%0.3%
Jamaican1.4%1.5%0.4%
African0.6%0.5%0.5%
Asian Indian0.7%0.9%1.4%
Chinese0.4%0.5%1.3%
Vietnamese0.4%0.4%0.6%
Filipino0.3%0.5%0.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
FL SD 31
Florida
United States
Median age
48.3
43.1
39.1
Age 18–24
7.1%
8.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
26.4%
21.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
FL SD 31
Florida
United States
Median household income
$94,516
$74,568
$84,427
Poverty rate
9.2%
12.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
38.8%
34.2%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
FL SD 31
Florida
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
29.5%
30.7%
22.3%
Spanish
17.9%
22.6%
13.6%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)
5.3%
2.7%
0.7%
Other Indo-European
2.5%
1.9%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
FL SD 31
Florida
United States
Catholic
—
19.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
18.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
53.1%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Florida 31st State Senate District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−2.6%
2008
+0.1%
2012
−7.3%
2016
−11.5%
2020
−10.8%
2024
−18.1%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
40.4%Harris136,865
58.5%Trump198,084
1.1%
R+18.1
R+7.3
R+16.6
338,772
R
44.2%Biden142,805
55.0%Trump177,725
0.8%
R+10.8
D+0.7
R+15.3
323,258
R
42.5%Clinton115,189
54.0%Trump146,322
3.5%
R+11.5
R+4.2
R+13.6
270,874
R
45.9%Obama109,697
53.2%Romney127,189
0.8%
R+7.3
R+7.4
R+11.2
238,894
D
49.6%Obama115,543
49.5%McCain115,349
0.9%
D+0.1
D+2.7
R+7.2
232,963
R
48.4%Kerry102,150
51.0%Bush107,649
0.7%
R+2.6
—
R+0.1
211,193
current representation
Current officeholders
RGayle HarrellState Senate · 31
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
In 2024 it voted Republican by R+18.1, against D+0.1 in 2008, having changed party at least once across the five cycles. About 762,000 residents lived here, with White alone at 58.9% in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 0.1 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 18.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.1 points.
A population of 540,900, a 65% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $94,516 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 33 and State Senate District 21.
Akashic
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Florida 31st State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/12031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Florida 31st State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Florida 31st State Senate District voted Republican by 18.1 points (R+18.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 338,772 votes cast, 136,865 went Democratic and 198,084 went Republican.
When did Florida 31st State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Florida 31st State Senate District voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Florida 31st State Senate District?
Florida 31st State Senate District has a population of 540,900 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Florida 31st State Senate District?
Median household income in Florida 31st State Senate District is $94,516 — above the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Florida 31st State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Florida 31st State Senate District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.
