Minnesota 31st State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
60.9%
6,210 votes · D+22.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · 54.4%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
87.7%
554 votes · R+79.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James G. Blaine, 1884 · 79.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
19,755votes
36.3% of the vote · R+25.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 19,569 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
33,614votes
61.7% of the vote · R+25.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 32,532 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hubert Humphrey1968
+9.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+8.9 · U.S. R+0.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · +7.7 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+59.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+79.6 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +53.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RCal BahrState Senate · 31
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year
Vote lead
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
45.0%21,096
55.0%25,788
46,884
2020
R
42.3%19,533
57.7%26,663
46,196
Minnesota 31st State Senate District sits in the Upper Midwest. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 22.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 79.6 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.4 points.
A population of 85,863, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $118,494 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 30 and State Senate District 29.
Akashic
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Minnesota 31st State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/27031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Minnesota 31st State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Minnesota 31st State Senate District voted Republican by 25.4 points (R+25.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 54,485 votes cast, 19,755 went Democratic and 33,614 went Republican.
When did Minnesota 31st State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Minnesota 31st State Senate District voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Minnesota 31st State Senate District?
Minnesota 31st State Senate District has a population of 85,863 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Minnesota 31st State Senate District?
Median household income in Minnesota 31st State Senate District is $118,494 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Minnesota 31st State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Minnesota 31st State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 31 went Republican.