state senate districtMinnesota 31st State Senate District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+21.6
2008R+17.6
2012R+18.6
2016R+28.9
2020R+24.3
2024R+25.4
net swing · 2004→2024R+3.8R+21.6 → R+25.4
vs. U.S. · 2024R+24.0R+25.4 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 83.1% of 65,591 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
19,755
33,614
1,116
54,485
65,591
83.1%
2020
19,569
32,532
1,277
53,378
62,533†
85.4%
2016
14,549
27,994
3,936
46,479
59,858†
77.6%
2012
17,999
26,473
1,082
45,554
56,976†
80.0%
2008
17,763
25,574
947
44,284
55,894†
79.2%
2004
16,444
25,711
682
42,837
54,812†
78.2%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMN SD 31MinnesotaUnited States
German30.3%29.2%12.5%
Norwegian12.3%12.1%—
Irish11.7%9.9%9.4%
Swedish8.6%6.5%—
English7.0%6.6%9.5%
American6.7%2.3%5.3%
Polish5.6%3.7%2.2%
French3.1%1.8%1.6%
African American†1.5%3.8%9.9%
Somali0.5%1.1%—
Ethiopian0.5%0.5%—
African0.2%0.5%0.5%
Hmong1.5%1.7%—
Vietnamese0.3%0.4%0.6%
Asian Indian0.3%0.8%1.4%
Chinese0.2%0.5%1.3%
Mexican1.4%3.9%11.3%
Ecuadorian0.5%0.2%—
Puerto Rican0.2%0.3%1.8%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
MN SD 31
Minnesota
United States
Median age
39.8
39
39.1
Age 18–24
7.7%
8.8%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
15.5%
17.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
MN SD 31
Minnesota
United States
Median household income
$118,494
$89,062
$84,427
Poverty rate
3.6%
9.3%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
32.0%
39.4%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
MN SD 31
Minnesota
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
14.1%
12.5%
22.3%
Spanish
4.0%
4.2%
13.6%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
2.4%
2.3%
1.1%
Arabic
1.2%
0.3%
0.4%
Other languages
3.5%
2.6%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
MN SD 31
Minnesota
United States
Catholic
—
19.5%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
11.8%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
50.6%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Minnesota 31st State Senate District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−21.6%
2008
−17.6%
2012
−18.6%
2016
−28.9%
2020
−24.3%
2024
−25.4%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
36.3%Harris19,755
61.7%Trump33,614
2.0%
R+25.4
R+1.2
R+24.0
54,485
R
36.7%Biden19,569
60.9%Trump32,532
2.4%
R+24.3
D+4.6
R+28.7
53,378
R
31.3%Clinton14,549
60.2%Trump27,994
8.5%
R+28.9
R+10.3
R+31.0
46,479
R
39.5%Obama17,999
58.1%Romney26,473
2.4%
R+18.6
R+1.0
R+22.5
45,554
R
40.1%Obama17,763
57.7%McCain25,574
2.1%
R+17.6
D+4.0
R+24.9
44,284
R
38.4%Kerry16,444
60.0%Bush25,711
1.6%
R+21.6
—
R+19.2
42,837
current representation
Current officeholders
RCal BahrState Senate · 31
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+34.8, this district ranks among the most reliably Democratic in the state, suggesting dense urban geography and a voter base that consistently breaks heavily toward one party.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 28.9 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.4 points.
A population of 85,863, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $118,494 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 30 and State Senate District 29.
Akashic
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Minnesota 31st State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/27031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Minnesota 31st State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Minnesota 31st State Senate District voted Republican by 25.4 points (R+25.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 54,485 votes cast, 19,755 went Democratic and 33,614 went Republican.
How many people live in Minnesota 31st State Senate District?
Minnesota 31st State Senate District has a population of 85,863 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Minnesota 31st State Senate District?
Median household income in Minnesota 31st State Senate District is $118,494 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Minnesota 31st State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Minnesota 31st State Senate District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
