HarrisDemocratic37.8%49,283TrumpRepublican60.8%79,120OtherAll other candidates1.4%1,809
R+22.9- Lead
- 29,837
- Total
- 130,212
- vs nation
- R+21.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
North Carolina 31st State Senate District
Contests in this Place (45 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic37.2%46,077TrumpRepublican61.3%75,846OtherAll other candidates1.5%1,794
R+24.1- Lead
- 29,769
- Total
- 123,717
- vs nation
- R+28.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic33.5%35,540TrumpRepublican62.3%66,100OtherAll other candidates4.2%4,469
R+28.8- Lead
- 30,560
- Total
- 106,109
- vs nation
- R+30.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic34.8%36,266RomneyRepublican64.0%66,697OtherAll other candidates1.2%1,279
R+29.2- Lead
- 30,431
- Total
- 104,242
- vs nation
- R+33.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic36.9%36,742McCainRepublican62.2%61,921OtherAll other candidates1.0%968
R+25.3- Lead
- 25,179
- Total
- 99,631
- vs nation
- R+32.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic29.8%26,462BushRepublican69.9%62,094OtherAll other candidates0.3%292
R+40.1- Lead
- 35,632
- Total
- 88,848
- vs nation
- R+37.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic28.4%22,237BushRepublican71.0%55,602OtherAll other candidates0.6%489
R+42.6- Lead
- 33,365
- Total
- 78,328
- vs nation
- R+43.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic28.0%20,095DoleRepublican66.4%47,568OtherAll other candidates5.6%3,977
R+38.3- Lead
- 27,473
- Total
- 71,640
- vs nation
- R+46.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+22.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 215,3592024 5-year
- Population density
- 291 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 741 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $76,2702024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+22.1 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.4 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 16, GA · twin score 90.7
presidential history
Party record book
North Carolina 31st State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
61.0%
10,476 votes · D+22.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 59.9%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
77.4%
36,992 votes · R+56.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 75.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
49,283votes
37.8% of the vote · R+22.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 46,077 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
79,120votes
60.8% of the vote · R+22.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 75,846 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+13.2pts D vs U.S.
Place R+12.0 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · +9.9 pts
Republican
Bob Dole1996
+46.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+38.3 · U.S. D+8.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barry Goldwater, 1964 · +45.5 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RDana JonesState Senate · 31
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
North Carolina 31st State Senate District sits in the Carolinas. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 22.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 56.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.1 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.9 points.
A population of 215,359, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,270 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 16 and State Senate District 35.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 16
Georgia
90.7twin score
elasticity% Evangelical2008–2012 trajectory≠ American ancestry
State Senate District 35
Alabama
88.4twin score
elasticity% unaffiliated2012 margin≠ English ancestry
State Senate District 38
Louisiana
87.3twin score
2008–2016 trajectory% unaffiliated≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
North Carolina 31st State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/37031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
North Carolina at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within North Carolina 31st State Senate District
counties it covers2
Frequently asked questions
How did North Carolina 31st State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, North Carolina 31st State Senate District voted Republican by 22.9 points (R+22.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 130,212 votes cast, 49,283 went Democratic and 79,120 went Republican.
When did North Carolina 31st State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which North Carolina 31st State Senate District voted Democratic was 1940.
How many people live in North Carolina 31st State Senate District?
North Carolina 31st State Senate District has a population of 215,359 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in North Carolina 31st State Senate District?
Median household income in North Carolina 31st State Senate District is $76,270 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of North Carolina 31st State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in North Carolina 31st State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 35 went Republican.