state senate districtNorth Carolina 38th State Senate District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+2.5
2008D+22.7
2012D+22.8
2016D+27.7
2020D+36.6
2024D+36.4
net swing · 2004→2024D+33.9D+2.5 → D+36.4
vs. U.S. · 2024D+37.8D+36.4 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 75.6% of 156,846 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
79,521
36,393
2,689
118,603
156,846
75.6%
2020
76,849
35,198
1,864
113,911
148,028†
77.0%
2016
56,878
31,275
4,359
92,512
135,173†
68.4%
2012
51,693
32,301
940
84,934
122,293†
69.5%
2008
46,064
28,909
650
75,623
113,762†
66.5%
2004
30,897
29,380
86
60,363
105,230†
57.4%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNC SD 38North CarolinaUnited States
English9.5%12.7%9.5%
German8.7%9.4%12.5%
Irish7.8%8.4%9.4%
American4.8%8.3%5.3%
Italian4.2%3.3%4.8%
Scottish1.9%2.3%1.3%
Polish1.7%1.0%2.2%
Scotch-Irish1.6%1.4%—
African American†31.3%18.3%9.9%
African1.7%0.7%0.5%
Nigerian0.5%0.2%0.2%
Jamaican0.5%0.2%0.4%
Ethiopian0.4%——
Haitian0.2%—0.3%
Mexican3.8%5.6%11.3%
Honduran1.7%0.7%0.3%
Salvadoran1.1%0.7%0.7%
Puerto Rican0.8%1.2%1.8%
Dominican0.6%0.3%0.7%
Colombian0.6%0.3%0.4%
Guatemalan0.5%0.4%0.5%
Cuban0.4%0.3%0.7%
Asian Indian2.6%1.2%1.4%
Vietnamese0.9%0.3%0.6%
Chinese0.8%0.4%1.3%
Filipino0.3%0.2%0.9%
Korean0.3%0.2%0.4%
Burmese0.3%——
Cambodian0.2%——
Nepalese0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
NC SD 38
North Carolina
United States
Median age
35.8
39.5
39.1
Age 18–24
9.2%
9.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
12.0%
17.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
NC SD 38
North Carolina
United States
Median household income
$89,817
$72,388
$84,427
Poverty rate
7.3%
13.1%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
49.2%
35.8%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
NC SD 38
North Carolina
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
22.3%
13.5%
22.3%
Spanish
13.3%
8.7%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
2.2%
1.1%
2.0%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
1.9%
0.9%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
NC SD 38
North Carolina
United States
Catholic
—
8.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
26.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
48.0%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
North Carolina 38th State Senate District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+2.5%
2008
+22.7%
2012
+22.8%
2016
+27.7%
2020
+36.6%
2024
+36.4%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
67.0%Harris79,521
30.7%Trump36,393
2.3%
D+36.4
R+0.2
D+37.8
118,603
D
67.5%Biden76,849
30.9%Trump35,198
1.6%
D+36.6
D+8.9
D+32.1
113,911
D
61.5%Clinton56,878
33.8%Trump31,275
4.7%
D+27.7
D+4.8
D+25.6
92,512
D
60.9%Obama51,693
38.0%Romney32,301
1.1%
D+22.8
D+0.1
D+19.0
84,934
D
60.9%Obama46,064
38.2%McCain28,909
0.9%
D+22.7
D+20.2
D+15.4
75,623
D
51.2%Kerry30,897
48.7%Bush29,380
0.1%
D+2.5
—
D+5.0
60,363
current representation
Current officeholders
DMujtaba MohammedState Senate · 38
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+64.7, this district ranks among the state's most reliably Democratic constituencies, a pattern typically driven by dense urban precincts and majority-minority populations concentrated within its boundaries.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.6 points in 2020. The 2024 margin was 36.4 points.
A population of 217,905, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,817 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 38 and State Senate District 35.
Akashic
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
North Carolina 38th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/37038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did North Carolina 38th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, North Carolina 38th State Senate District voted Democratic by 36.4 points (D+36.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 118,603 votes cast, 79,521 went Democratic and 36,393 went Republican.
How many people live in North Carolina 38th State Senate District?
North Carolina 38th State Senate District has a population of 217,905 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in North Carolina 38th State Senate District?
Median household income in North Carolina 38th State Senate District is $89,817 — above the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of North Carolina 38th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in North Carolina 38th State Senate District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
