state senate districtOhio 15th State Senate District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+50.5
2008D+58.3
2012D+61.9
2016D+60.7
2020D+61.8
2024D+56.1
net swing · 2004→2024D+5.6D+50.5 → D+56.1
vs. U.S. · 2024D+57.6D+56.1 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 52.4% of 254,753 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
102,685
27,876
2,808
133,369
254,753
52.4%
2020
116,743
26,755
2,153
145,651
251,979†
57.8%
2016
110,343
24,935
5,408
140,686
236,509†
59.5%
2012
115,623
26,258
2,477
144,358
223,993†
64.4%
2008
112,678
29,000
1,832
143,510
215,010†
66.7%
2004
96,369
31,335
1,011
128,715
206,027†
62.5%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupOH SD 15OhioUnited States
African American†33.2%10.5%9.9%
Somali3.7%0.2%—
African1.9%0.6%0.5%
Ghanaian0.9%——
Nigerian0.7%—0.2%
Ethiopian0.7%——
Haitian0.6%—0.3%
Kenyan0.4%——
German12.4%22.3%12.5%
Irish8.0%12.3%9.4%
English7.1%11.0%9.5%
Italian3.6%5.8%4.8%
American2.7%5.6%5.3%
Polish1.6%3.2%2.2%
Scottish1.4%1.5%1.3%
French0.9%1.2%1.6%
Mexican3.5%2.0%11.3%
Puerto Rican1.1%1.2%1.8%
Salvadoran0.5%—0.7%
Dominican0.4%—0.7%
Venezuelan0.4%——
Honduran0.3%—0.3%
Guatemalan0.2%0.2%0.5%
Colombian0.2%—0.4%
Asian Indian1.1%0.8%1.4%
Chinese0.6%0.4%1.3%
Nepalese0.4%0.2%—
Filipino0.2%0.2%0.9%
Vietnamese0.2%—0.6%
Korean0.2%—0.4%
Japanese0.2%—0.2%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
OH SD 15
Ohio
United States
Median age
33.1
39.8
39.1
Age 18–24
9.5%
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
12.9%
18.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
OH SD 15
Ohio
United States
Median household income
$55,375
$71,389
$84,427
Poverty rate
23.8%
13.3%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
42.1%
31.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
OH SD 15
Ohio
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
16.7%
8.0%
22.3%
Spanish
5.2%
2.7%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
2.4%
1.2%
2.0%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
1.1%
0.6%
1.1%
Other languages
3.9%
0.7%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
OH SD 15
Ohio
United States
Catholic
—
15.4%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
19.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
52.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Ohio 15th State Senate District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+50.5%
2008
+58.3%
2012
+61.9%
2016
+60.7%
2020
+61.8%
2024
+56.1%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
77.0%Harris102,685
20.9%Trump27,876
2.1%
D+56.1
R+5.7
D+57.6
133,369
D
80.2%Biden116,743
18.4%Trump26,755
1.5%
D+61.8
D+1.1
D+57.3
145,651
D
78.4%Clinton110,343
17.7%Trump24,935
3.8%
D+60.7
R+1.2
D+58.6
140,686
D
80.1%Obama115,623
18.2%Romney26,258
1.7%
D+61.9
D+3.6
D+58.1
144,358
D
78.5%Obama112,678
20.2%McCain29,000
1.3%
D+58.3
D+7.8
D+51.0
143,510
D
74.9%Kerry96,369
24.3%Bush31,335
0.8%
D+50.5
—
D+53.0
128,715
current representation
Current officeholders
DHearcel CraigState Senate · 15
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 61 points Republican, this district ranks among the most reliably one-sided in the state, leaving general-election competitiveness virtually absent and primary elections as the decisive contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 61.9 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 56.1 points.
A population of 350,690, a 40% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,375 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 21 and State Senate District 7.
Akashic
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Ohio 15th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/39015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Ohio 15th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Ohio 15th State Senate District voted Democratic by 56.1 points (D+56.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 133,369 votes cast, 102,685 went Democratic and 27,876 went Republican.
How many people live in Ohio 15th State Senate District?
Ohio 15th State Senate District has a population of 350,690 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Ohio 15th State Senate District?
Median household income in Ohio 15th State Senate District is $55,375 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Ohio 15th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Ohio 15th State Senate District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
