HarrisDemocratic49.4%68,487TrumpRepublican49.2%68,223OtherAll other candidates1.4%1,898
D+0.2- Lead
- 264
- Total
- 138,608
- vs nation
- D+1.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
Virginia 12th State Senate District
Contests in this Place (46 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic47.5%62,574TrumpRepublican50.7%66,723OtherAll other candidates1.8%2,379
R+3.2- Lead
- 4,149
- Total
- 131,676
- vs nation
- R+7.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic40.5%45,693TrumpRepublican53.1%59,953OtherAll other candidates6.4%7,196
R+12.6- Lead
- 14,260
- Total
- 112,842
- vs nation
- R+14.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic40.1%44,053RomneyRepublican58.3%63,968OtherAll other candidates1.6%1,705
R+18.1- Lead
- 19,915
- Total
- 109,726
- vs nation
- R+22.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic40.4%42,273McCainRepublican58.6%61,317OtherAll other candidates1.0%1,026
R+18.2- Lead
- 19,044
- Total
- 104,616
- vs nation
- R+25.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic32.1%28,427BushRepublican67.3%59,548OtherAll other candidates0.6%533
R+35.2- Lead
- 31,121
- Total
- 88,508
- vs nation
- R+32.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic30.5%22,739BushRepublican67.2%50,161OtherAll other candidates2.3%1,747
R+36.7- Lead
- 27,422
- Total
- 74,647
- vs nation
- R+37.3
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
ClintonDemocratic28.3%17,940DoleRepublican64.3%40,790OtherAll other candidates7.4%4,703
R+36.0- Lead
- 22,850
- Total
- 63,433
- vs nation
- R+44.5
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+0.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 219,0652024 5-year
- Population density
- 696 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 315 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $116,3422024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+66.3 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+76.8 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 18, NC · twin score 89.0
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 12th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
49.4%
68,487 votes · D+0.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 47.5%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
67.3%
59,548 votes · R+35.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 58.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
68,487votes
49.4% of the vote · D+0.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 62,574 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
68,223votes
49.2% of the vote · D+0.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 66,723 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+1.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+0.2 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −7.6 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+32.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+35.2 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +25.5 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RGlen SturtevantState Senate · 12
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Virginia 12th State Senate District sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 66.3 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 76.8 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.3 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.2 points.
A population of 219,065, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $116,342 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 18 and State Senate District 13.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 18
North Carolina
89.0twin score
12-yr trendmedian incomepopulation scale≠ elasticity
State Senate District 13
North Carolina
88.3twin score
12-yr trendmedian income2008–2012 trajectory≠ elasticity
State Senate District 37
Georgia
87.6twin score
12-yr trendmedian income2008–2012 trajectory≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Virginia 12th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/51012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Virginia at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Virginia 12th State Senate District
counties it covers2
Frequently asked questions
How did Virginia 12th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Virginia 12th State Senate District voted a near-tie (D+0.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 138,608 votes cast, 68,487 went Democratic and 68,223 went Republican.
When did Virginia 12th State Senate District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Virginia 12th State Senate District voted Republican was 2020.
How many people live in Virginia 12th State Senate District?
Virginia 12th State Senate District has a population of 219,065 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Virginia 12th State Senate District?
Median household income in Virginia 12th State Senate District is $116,342 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Virginia 12th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Virginia 12th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.