state senate districtVirginia 16th State Senate District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+26.1
2008R+6.1
2012R+8.1
2016D+7.1
2020D+16.9
2024D+17.9
net swing · 2004→2024D+44.0R+26.1 → D+17.9
vs. U.S. · 2024D+19.4D+17.9 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 77.8% of 153,453 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
69,108
47,693
2,584
119,385
153,453
77.8%
2020
67,708
47,854
2,244
117,806
148,435†
79.4%
2016
52,847
45,387
7,550
105,784
144,721†
73.1%
2012
46,878
55,316
1,404
103,598
136,305†
76.0%
2008
46,316
52,435
846
99,597
129,345†
77.0%
2004
32,691
56,010
674
89,375
122,384†
73.0%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupVA SD 16VirginiaUnited States
English15.0%12.0%9.5%
German10.1%10.1%12.5%
Irish9.4%9.1%9.4%
American8.4%8.4%5.3%
Italian4.3%3.9%4.8%
Scottish2.6%1.9%1.3%
Polish1.7%1.6%2.2%
Scotch-Irish1.6%——
Asian Indian6.9%1.8%1.4%
Chinese1.5%0.8%1.3%
Vietnamese1.2%0.7%0.6%
Korean0.9%0.8%0.4%
Filipino0.7%0.9%0.9%
Pakistani0.4%0.5%—
Cambodian0.4%——
Afghan0.4%0.2%—
African American†12.7%15.6%9.9%
African0.4%0.9%0.5%
Jamaican0.2%0.3%0.4%
Mexican1.8%2.4%11.3%
Salvadoran1.1%2.1%0.7%
Puerto Rican0.8%1.4%1.8%
Guatemalan0.6%0.7%0.5%
Honduran0.4%0.7%0.3%
Cuban0.3%—0.7%
Venezuelan0.3%——
Nicaraguan0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
VA SD 16
Virginia
United States
Median age
38.9
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
7.7%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.0%
16.7%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
VA SD 16
Virginia
United States
Median household income
$101,198
$93,170
$84,427
Poverty rate
7.1%
10.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
46.5%
42.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
VA SD 16
Virginia
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
16.4%
17.5%
22.3%
Spanish
4.9%
7.9%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
3.3%
2.6%
2.0%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
2.3%
1.2%
1.1%
Arabic
1.2%
0.8%
0.4%
Religious landscape
Measure
VA SD 16
Virginia
United States
Catholic
—
10.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
19.9%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
54.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Virginia 16th State Senate District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−26.1%
2008
−6.1%
2012
−8.1%
2016
+7.1%
2020
+16.9%
2024
+17.9%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
57.9%Harris69,108
39.9%Trump47,693
2.2%
D+17.9
D+1.1
D+19.4
119,385
D
57.5%Biden67,708
40.6%Trump47,854
1.9%
D+16.9
D+9.8
D+12.4
117,806
D
50.0%Clinton52,847
42.9%Trump45,387
7.1%
D+7.1
D+15.2
D+5.0
105,784
R
45.2%Obama46,878
53.4%Romney55,316
1.4%
R+8.1
R+2.0
R+12.0
103,598
R
46.5%Obama46,316
52.6%McCain52,435
0.8%
R+6.1
D+19.9
R+13.4
99,597
R
36.6%Kerry32,691
62.7%Bush56,010
0.8%
R+26.1
—
R+23.6
89,375
current representation
Current officeholders
DSchuyler VanValkenburgState Senate · 16
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+38.7, this Northern Virginia district ranks among the most heavily Democratic in the state, reflecting the dense, highly educated suburban and urban population concentrated within its boundaries.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.9 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 26.1 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.1 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.9 points.
A population of 218,730, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $101,198 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 42 and State Senate District 16.
Akashic
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Virginia 16th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/51016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Virginia 16th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Virginia 16th State Senate District voted Democratic by 17.9 points (D+17.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 119,385 votes cast, 69,108 went Democratic and 47,693 went Republican.
When did Virginia 16th State Senate District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Virginia 16th State Senate District voted Republican was 2012.
How many people live in Virginia 16th State Senate District?
Virginia 16th State Senate District has a population of 218,730 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Virginia 16th State Senate District?
Median household income in Virginia 16th State Senate District is $101,198 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Virginia 16th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Virginia 16th State Senate District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.
