HarrisDemocratic58.2%69,080TrumpRepublican40.1%47,667OtherAll other candidates1.7%2,043
D+18.0- Lead
- 21,413
- Total
- 118,790
- vs nation
- D+19.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
Virginia 16th State Senate District
Contests in this Place (46 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic57.5%67,762TrumpRepublican40.8%48,048OtherAll other candidates1.8%2,093
D+16.7- Lead
- 19,714
- Total
- 117,903
- vs nation
- D+12.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic50.0%52,815TrumpRepublican42.9%45,362OtherAll other candidates7.1%7,545
D+7.0- Lead
- 7,453
- Total
- 105,722
- vs nation
- D+5.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic47.7%50,397RomneyRepublican50.5%53,400OtherAll other candidates1.8%1,905
R+2.8- Lead
- 3,003
- Total
- 105,702
- vs nation
- R+6.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic48.1%48,521McCainRepublican50.8%51,156OtherAll other candidates1.1%1,098
R+2.6- Lead
- 2,635
- Total
- 100,775
- vs nation
- R+9.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic38.3%34,219BushRepublican61.0%54,455OtherAll other candidates0.7%663
R+22.7- Lead
- 20,236
- Total
- 89,337
- vs nation
- R+20.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic35.4%27,358BushRepublican61.8%47,734OtherAll other candidates2.8%2,184
R+26.4- Lead
- 20,376
- Total
- 77,276
- vs nation
- R+26.9
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
ClintonDemocratic33.4%23,144DoleRepublican59.5%41,210OtherAll other candidates7.0%4,878
R+26.1- Lead
- 18,066
- Total
- 69,232
- vs nation
- R+34.6
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+18.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 218,7302024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,629 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 83.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $101,1982024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+62.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+77.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 42, NC · twin score 90.5
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 16th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
58.2%
69,080 votes · D+18.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 57.5%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
61.0%
54,455 votes · R+22.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 50.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
69,080votes
58.2% of the vote · D+18.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 67,762 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
54,455votes
61.0% of the vote · R+22.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 53,400 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+19.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+18.0 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +12.3 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+20.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+22.7 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +9.9 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DSchuyler VanValkenburgState Senate · 16
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Virginia 16th State Senate District sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 62.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 77.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.3 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.0 points.
A population of 218,730, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $101,198 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 42 and State Senate District 16.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 42
North Carolina
90.5twin score
12-yr trendelasticitycollege share
State Senate District 16
Ohio
88.3twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2020–2024 trajectory≠ German ancestry
State Senate District 20
Tennessee
86.9twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2024 margin≠ % Asian
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Virginia 16th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/51016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Places within Virginia 16th State Senate District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Virginia 16th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Virginia 16th State Senate District voted Democratic by 18.0 points (D+18.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 118,790 votes cast, 69,080 went Democratic and 47,667 went Republican.
When did Virginia 16th State Senate District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Virginia 16th State Senate District voted Republican was 2012.
How many people live in Virginia 16th State Senate District?
Virginia 16th State Senate District has a population of 218,730 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Virginia 16th State Senate District?
Median household income in Virginia 16th State Senate District is $101,198 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Virginia 16th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Virginia 16th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.