Virginia 31st State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
56.9%
73,629 votes · D+15.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 53.0%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
59.8%
40,655 votes · R+20.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 51.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
73,629votes
56.9% of the vote · D+15.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 68,653 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
57,472votes
44.4% of the vote · D+8.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 53,309 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
+11.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+15.7 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +10.1 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+17.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+20.3 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +8.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DRusset PerryState Senate · 31
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year
Vote lead
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
54.4%64,189
45.6%53,763
117,952
2020
D
66.4%52,585
33.6%26,620
79,205
2018
D
57.9%50,009
42.1%36,317
86,326
Virginia 31st State Senate District sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 72.8 points in 1924 and a Republican high of 43.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.6 points.
A population of 220,267, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $175,995 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 27 and State Senate District 9.
Akashic
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Virginia 31st State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/51031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Virginia 31st State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Virginia 31st State Senate District voted Democratic by 8.6 points (D+8.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 129,481 votes cast, 68,653 went Democratic and 57,472 went Republican.
When did Virginia 31st State Senate District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Virginia 31st State Senate District voted Republican was 2012.
How many people live in Virginia 31st State Senate District?
Virginia 31st State Senate District has a population of 220,267 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Virginia 31st State Senate District?
Median household income in Virginia 31st State Senate District is $175,995 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $59,608.
What is the political history of Virginia 31st State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Virginia 31st State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.