Virginia 40th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
80.8%
94,686 votes · D+63.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 78.4%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
30.9%
26,117 votes · D+37.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 28.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
94,686votes
80.8% of the vote · D+63.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 90,237 votes
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
30,385votes
28.9% of the vote · D+40.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 26,337 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+60.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+58.8 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +59.5 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
−36.8pts R vs U.S.
Place D+40.6 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · −38.1 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DBarbara FavolaState Senate · 40
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year
Vote lead
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
78.3%86,079
21.7%23,858
109,937
2020
D
83.7%80,002
16.3%15,556
95,558
2018
D
79.3%75,627
20.7%19,730
95,357
Covering rural and small-town communities west of the Blue Ridge, this district backed the Republican presidential nominee by 9.2 points in 2024, reflecting a broader rightward trend across Virginia's interior valleys over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 63.9 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 43.3 points in 1876. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.8 points.
A population of 211,431, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $144,040 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 39 and State Senate District 34.
Akashic
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Virginia 40th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/51040/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Virginia 40th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Virginia 40th State Senate District voted Democratic by 58.8 points (D+58.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 115,156 votes cast, 90,237 went Democratic and 22,469 went Republican.
When did Virginia 40th State Senate District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Virginia 40th State Senate District voted Republican was 1980.
How many people live in Virginia 40th State Senate District?
Virginia 40th State Senate District has a population of 211,431 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Virginia 40th State Senate District?
Median household income in Virginia 40th State Senate District is $144,040 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Virginia 40th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Virginia 40th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.