state senate districtVirginia 40th State Senate District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+37.3
2008D+45.6
2012D+40.7
2016D+59.8
2020D+63.6
2024D+58.3
net swing · 2004→2024D+21.0D+37.3 → D+58.3
vs. U.S. · 2024D+59.8D+58.3 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 77.7% of 149,846 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
90,442
22,536
3,472
116,450
149,846
77.7%
2020
94,955
20,058
2,723
117,736
149,696†
78.7%
2016
82,964
17,863
8,125
108,952
141,716†
76.9%
2012
73,596
30,558
1,678
105,832
132,792†
79.7%
2008
71,864
26,567
912
99,343
128,210†
77.5%
2004
58,204
26,353
913
85,470
123,629†
69.1%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupVA SD 40VirginiaUnited States
Irish14.4%9.1%9.4%
German13.2%10.1%12.5%
English12.9%12.0%9.5%
Italian7.3%3.9%4.8%
Polish3.0%1.6%2.2%
American2.7%8.4%5.3%
Scottish2.4%1.9%1.3%
French2.3%1.3%1.6%
Salvadoran3.2%2.1%0.7%
Mexican2.4%2.4%11.3%
Guatemalan1.8%0.7%0.5%
Puerto Rican1.6%1.4%1.8%
Bolivian1.3%0.4%—
Colombian0.9%0.3%0.4%
Peruvian0.7%0.5%—
Spaniard0.6%——
Asian Indian2.8%1.8%1.4%
Chinese2.4%0.8%1.3%
Korean1.1%0.8%0.4%
Filipino0.7%0.9%0.9%
Vietnamese0.6%0.7%0.6%
Pakistani0.6%0.5%—
Japanese0.5%—0.2%
Bangladeshi0.4%——
African American†5.1%15.6%9.9%
Ethiopian1.7%0.5%—
African0.5%0.9%0.5%
Jamaican0.3%0.3%0.4%
Nigerian0.2%0.2%0.2%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
VA SD 40
Virginia
United States
Median age
35.6
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
8.3%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
12.0%
16.7%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
VA SD 40
Virginia
United States
Median household income
$144,040
$93,170
$84,427
Poverty rate
7.3%
10.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
77.0%
42.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
VA SD 40
Virginia
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
29.4%
17.5%
22.3%
Spanish
12.5%
7.9%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
4.3%
2.6%
2.0%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)
2.0%
0.7%
1.1%
Other languages
2.7%
1.1%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
VA SD 40
Virginia
United States
Catholic
—
10.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
19.9%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
54.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Virginia 40th State Senate District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+37.3%
2008
+45.6%
2012
+40.7%
2016
+59.8%
2020
+63.6%
2024
+58.3%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
77.7%Harris90,442
19.4%Trump22,536
3.0%
D+58.3
R+5.3
D+59.8
116,450
D
80.7%Biden94,955
17.0%Trump20,058
2.3%
D+63.6
D+3.9
D+59.2
117,736
D
76.1%Clinton82,964
16.4%Trump17,863
7.5%
D+59.8
D+19.1
D+57.7
108,952
D
69.5%Obama73,596
28.9%Romney30,558
1.6%
D+40.7
R+4.9
D+36.8
105,832
D
72.3%Obama71,864
26.7%McCain26,567
0.9%
D+45.6
D+8.3
D+38.3
99,343
D
68.1%Kerry58,204
30.8%Bush26,353
1.1%
D+37.3
—
D+39.7
85,470
current representation
Current officeholders
DBarbara FavolaState Senate · 40
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Covering rural and small-town communities west of the Blue Ridge, this district backed the Republican presidential nominee by 9.2 points in 2024, reflecting a broader rightward trend across Virginia's interior valleys over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 63.6 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.3 points.
A population of 211,431, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $144,040 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 39 and State Senate District 34.
Akashic
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Virginia 40th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/51040/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Virginia 40th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Virginia 40th State Senate District voted Democratic by 58.3 points (D+58.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 116,450 votes cast, 90,442 went Democratic and 22,536 went Republican.
How many people live in Virginia 40th State Senate District?
Virginia 40th State Senate District has a population of 211,431 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Virginia 40th State Senate District?
Median household income in Virginia 40th State Senate District is $144,040 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Virginia 40th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Virginia 40th State Senate District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
