Arcadia, FL · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain, and this place is a single county: DeSoto County, Florida. The figures below are that county’s, which is the same territory — not a larger unit standing in for it.
Presidential nominating contests in Arcadia, FL, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+16.8
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+42.9
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 26 points more Republican than the rolls.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in Arcadia, FL
Year
Total registered
Democratic
Republican
Unaffiliated
Other
2017
16,361
7,383
5,331
3,606
41
2018
16,814
7,155
5,759
3,837
63
2019
16,464
6,638
5,884
3,858
84
2020
17,918
6,644
7,042
4,088
144
2021
17,714
6,216
7,137
4,202
159
2023
18,930
5,808
8,221
4,624
277
2024
19,839
5,705
9,036
4,630
468
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+111 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +3,291 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Arcadia, FL in Arcadia, FL: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−377
2012
−55
2013
−233
2014
+258
2015
+45
2016
+269
2017
+759
2018
−34
2019
+450
2021
+293
2022
+923
2023
+581
2024
+301
2025
+111
DeSoto County's agricultural economy anchors Arcadia's working-class electorate, and rapid growth in Hispanic residents — many tied to cattle ranching and orange groves — has reshaped registration patterns faster than statewide trends suggest.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 58.5 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 55.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 10.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.9 points.
A population of 35,386, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,417 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clewiston, FL and Okeechobee, FL.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Arcadia, FL, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/11580/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Arcadia, FL, Florida voted Republican by 42.9 points (R+42.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,488 votes cast, 3,525 went Democratic and 8,888 went Republican.
When did Arcadia, FL, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Arcadia, FL, Florida voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Arcadia, FL, Florida?
Arcadia, FL, Florida has a population of 35,386 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arcadia, FL, Florida?
Median household income in Arcadia, FL, Florida is $54,417 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Arcadia, FL, Florida?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Arcadia, FL, Florida from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.
