† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
3 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupDayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OHOhioUnited States
German21.9%22.3%12.5%
English12.8%11.0%9.5%
Irish12.1%12.3%9.4%
American5.9%5.6%5.3%
Italian3.4%5.8%4.8%
Scottish2.1%1.5%1.3%
French1.9%1.2%1.6%
Polish1.7%3.2%2.2%
African American†14.0%10.5%9.9%
African0.5%0.6%0.5%
Mexican1.7%2.0%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.7%1.2%1.8%
Salvadoran0.2%—0.7%
Asian Indian0.8%0.8%1.4%
Chinese0.4%0.4%1.3%
Filipino0.3%0.2%0.9%
Vietnamese0.2%—0.6%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH
Ohio
United States
Median age
39.1
39.8
39.1
Age 18–24
9.3%
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
18.6%
18.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH
Ohio
United States
Median household income
$71,984
$71,389
$84,427
Poverty rate
13.2%
13.3%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
32.9%
31.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH
Ohio
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
6.4%
8.0%
22.3%
Spanish
2.3%
2.7%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH
Ohio
United States
Catholic
11.4%
15.4%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
26.7%
19.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
47.0%
52.2%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
5.9%
7.0%
5.2%
Black Protestant
5.0%
2.3%
2.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−3.8%
1896
−10.6%
1900
−12.1%
1904
−25.7%
1908
−4.3%
1912
+8.3%
1916
+4.4%
1920
−14.2%
1924
−37.2%
1928
−34.0%
1932
−0.9%
1936
+20.4%
1940
+13.2%
1944
+6.9%
1948
+7.6%
1952
−11.1%
1956
−19.9%
1960
−9.8%
1964
+25.4%
1968
+1.8%
1972
−22.8%
1976
−0.6%
1980
−2.7%
1984
−24.0%
1988
−20.8%
1992
−3.1%
1996
+3.2%
2000
−5.5%
2004
−7.2%
2008
−3.2%
2012
−5.8%
2016
−11.4%
2020
−8.9%
2024
−10.7%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
44.1%Harris178,311
54.9%Trump221,642
0.5%Oliver2,192 +3
R+10.7
R+1.8
R+9.3
404,066
All 6 candidates in 2024 · 4 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican54.9%221,642
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic44.1%178,311
Chase OliverNonpartisan0.5%2,192
Peter SonskiNonpartisan0.2%918
Richard DuncanNonpartisan0.2%859
OtherAll other candidates0.0%144
R
44.7%Biden185,525
53.6%Trump222,477
1.7%
R+8.9
D+2.5
R+13.4
415,120
R
41.1%Clinton164,079
52.5%Trump209,528
6.4%
R+11.4
R+5.6
R+13.5
399,257
R
46.0%Obama185,778
51.8%Romney209,266
2.3%
R+5.8
R+2.7
R+9.7
404,266
R
47.6%Obama197,909
50.8%McCain211,032
1.6%
R+3.2
D+4.0
R+10.4
415,675
R
46.2%Kerry191,134
53.4%Bush220,751
0.4%
R+7.2
R+1.7
R+4.7
413,626
R
45.8%Gore155,240
51.3%Bush173,775
3.0%
R+5.5
R+8.6
R+6.0
339,032
D
46.9%Clinton156,091
43.8%Dole145,577
9.3%
D+3.2
D+6.3
R+5.4
332,744
R
38.6%Clinton140,703
41.8%Bush152,143
19.6%
R+3.1
D+17.6
R+8.7
364,228
R
39.2%Dukakis124,900
60.0%Bush190,943
0.8%
R+20.8
D+3.2
R+13.0
318,233
R
37.7%Mondale120,840
61.7%Reagan197,620
0.6%
R+24.0
R+21.3
R+5.7
320,429
R
44.9%Carter138,071
47.6%Reagan146,293
7.6%
R+2.7
R+2.1
D+7.1
307,659
R
48.5%Carter139,787
49.1%Ford141,507
2.3%
R+0.6
D+22.2
R+2.7
287,926
R
37.4%McGovern104,088
60.2%Nixon167,573
2.4%
R+22.8
R+24.6
D+0.4
278,473
D
44.5%Humphrey124,488
42.7%Nixon119,352
12.7%
D+1.8
R+23.6
D+2.5
279,472
D
62.7%Johnson167,288
37.3%Goldwater99,535
0.0%
D+25.4
D+35.2
D+2.8
266,823
R
45.1%Kennedy124,250
54.9%Nixon151,395
0.0%
R+9.8
D+10.1
R+10.0
275,645
R
40.0%Stevenson95,360
60.0%Eisenhower142,884
0.0%
R+19.9
R+8.8
R+4.5
238,244
R
44.4%Stevenson99,445
55.6%Eisenhower124,330
0.0%
R+11.1
R+18.7
R+0.4
223,775
D
53.4%Truman95,915
45.8%Dewey82,334
0.8%
D+7.6
D+0.7
D+3.1
179,669
D
53.5%Roosevelt100,780
46.5%Dewey87,767
0.0%
D+6.9
R+6.3
R+0.6
188,547
D
56.6%Roosevelt106,764
43.4%Willkie81,864
0.0%
D+13.2
R+7.2
D+3.3
188,628
D
57.8%Roosevelt98,130
37.4%Landon63,534
4.8%
D+20.4
D+21.3
R+3.9
169,776
R
47.4%Roosevelt68,547
48.3%Hoover69,879
4.3%
R+0.9
D+33.0
R+18.7
144,600
R
32.7%Smith47,769
66.7%Hoover97,372
0.6%
R+34.0
D+3.2
R+16.5
146,055
R
26.5%Davis29,627
63.7%Coolidge71,106
9.8%
R+37.2
R+23.0
R+12.0
111,634
R
40.6%Cox50,525
54.8%Harding68,215
4.7%
R+14.2
R+18.6
D+12.0
124,533
D
49.4%Wilson32,834
45.0%Hughes29,913
5.6%
D+4.4
R+3.9
D+1.3
66,443
D
38.1%Wilson21,961
29.8%Taft17,198
32.1%
D+8.3
D+12.6
R+11.3
57,706
R
45.8%Bryan28,817
50.1%Taft31,529
4.2%
R+4.3
D+21.4
D+5.2
62,981
R
34.9%Parker19,583
60.6%Roosevelt33,980
4.5%
R+25.7
R+13.6
R+6.0
56,088
R
42.9%Bryan24,106
55.0%McKinley30,903
2.2%
R+12.1
R+1.5
R+4.5
56,221
R
44.1%Bryan23,930
54.8%McKinley29,680
1.1%
R+10.6
R+6.8
R+4.5
54,207
R
45.9%Cleveland20,780
49.8%Harrison22,517
4.3%
R+3.8
—
R+5.5
45,248
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
46.3%185,316
50.2%201,026
400,579
2022
R
45.2%133,256
54.6%160,881
294,739
2018
D
50.9%157,507
49.0%151,563
309,142
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH
Year
Total registered
2016
559,452
2018
574,033
2020
566,547
2022
563,213
2024
574,504
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+4,272 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −8,342 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−1,387
2012
−2,496
2013
−3,559
2014
−3,413
2015
−3,870
2016
−1,260
2017
−438
2018
+442
2019
+896
2021
−8
2022
−245
2023
+568
2024
+2,156
2025
+4,272
Wright-Patterson Air Force Base anchors a defense economy that complicates the area's traditional manufacturing identity, and the metro's mix of urban Dayton precincts and fast-growing suburban Warren County townships has kept countywide margins competitive across recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 37.2 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.7 points.
A population of 816,080, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,984 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN and Columbus, OH.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/19430/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio voted Republican by 10.7 points (R+10.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 404,066 votes cast, 178,311 went Democratic and 221,642 went Republican.
When did Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio?
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio has a population of 816,080 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio?
Median household income in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio is $71,984 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.
