combined metro areaDayton-Springfield-Kettering, OH
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+10.2
2008R+6.6
2012R+9.3
2016R+18.0
2020R+17.2
2024R+19.7
full record · 1892 → 2024
presidential returns
2024 turnout 65.1% of 828,520 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
214,035
320,353
5,298
539,686
828,520
65.1%
2020
223,859
318,524
9,313
551,696
821,961
67.1%
2016
200,714
295,966
33,818
530,498
817,784
64.9%
2012
237,288
287,381
13,089
537,758
813,905
66.1%
2008
252,532
289,021
9,601
551,154
812,542
67.8%
2004
246,018
301,920
2,439
550,377
811,179†
67.8%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
7 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupDayton-Springfield-Kettering, OHOhioUnited States
German22.6%22.3%12.5%
English12.6%11.0%9.5%
Irish12.1%12.3%9.4%
American6.4%5.6%5.3%
Italian3.1%5.8%4.8%
Scottish2.1%1.5%1.3%
French2.1%1.2%1.6%
Polish1.3%3.2%2.2%
African American†11.5%10.5%9.9%
African0.4%0.6%0.5%
Mexican1.7%2.0%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.6%1.2%1.8%
Salvadoran0.2%—0.7%
Asian Indian0.6%0.8%1.4%
Chinese0.3%0.4%1.3%
Filipino0.2%0.2%0.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Dayton-Springfield-Kettering, OH
Ohio
United States
Median age
39.6
39.8
39.1
Age 18–24
9.0%
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
18.9%
18.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Dayton-Springfield-Kettering, OH
Ohio
United States
Median household income
$70,746
$71,389
$84,427
Poverty rate
13.1%
13.3%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
29.5%
31.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Dayton-Springfield-Kettering, OH
Ohio
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
5.6%
8.0%
22.3%
Spanish
2.1%
2.7%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Dayton-Springfield-Kettering, OH
Ohio
United States
Catholic
11.1%
15.4%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
24.6%
19.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
50.1%
52.2%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
6.6%
7.0%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Dayton-Springfield-Kettering, OH
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−1.6%
1896
−5.0%
1900
−8.2%
1904
−21.8%
1908
−3.2%
1912
+8.1%
1916
+5.5%
1920
−13.4%
1924
−31.9%
1928
−34.4%
1932
+1.8%
1936
+19.3%
1940
+9.1%
1944
+2.0%
1948
+4.6%
1952
−14.2%
1956
−22.5%
1960
−12.7%
1964
+25.2%
1968
−0.4%
1972
−24.8%
1976
−1.9%
1980
−5.8%
1984
−27.2%
1988
−22.3%
1992
−3.7%
1996
+2.6%
2000
−7.6%
2004
−10.2%
2008
−6.6%
2012
−9.3%
2016
−18.0%
2020
−17.2%
2024
−19.7%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
39.7%Harris214,035
59.4%Trump320,353
0.5%Oliver2,845 +3
R+19.7
R+2.5
R+18.2
539,686
All 6 candidates in 2024 · 4 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican59.4%320,353
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic39.7%214,035
Chase OliverNonpartisan0.5%2,845
Richard DuncanNonpartisan0.2%1,173
Peter SonskiNonpartisan0.2%1,107
OtherAll other candidates0.0%173
R
40.6%Biden223,859
57.7%Trump318,524
1.7%
R+17.2
D+0.8
R+21.6
551,696
R
37.8%Clinton200,714
55.8%Trump295,966
6.4%
R+18.0
R+8.6
R+20.0
530,498
R
44.1%Obama237,288
53.4%Romney287,381
2.4%
R+9.3
R+2.7
R+13.2
537,758
R
45.8%Obama252,532
52.4%McCain289,021
1.7%
R+6.6
D+3.5
R+13.9
551,154
R
44.7%Kerry246,018
54.9%Bush301,920
0.4%
R+10.2
R+2.6
R+7.7
550,377
R
44.7%Gore203,513
52.3%Bush237,948
3.0%
R+7.6
R+10.2
R+8.1
455,208
D
46.0%Clinton205,571
43.4%Dole194,013
10.6%
D+2.6
D+6.3
R+5.9
446,833
R
37.8%Clinton184,874
41.6%Bush203,110
20.6%
R+3.7
D+18.6
R+9.3
488,455
R
38.4%Dukakis164,335
60.8%Bush259,779
0.8%
R+22.3
D+4.9
R+14.6
427,483
R
36.0%Mondale155,757
63.2%Reagan273,274
0.7%
R+27.2
R+21.4
R+9.0
432,250
R
43.4%Carter178,870
49.1%Reagan202,647
7.5%
R+5.8
R+3.9
D+4.0
412,401
R
47.8%Carter186,985
49.7%Ford194,369
2.4%
R+1.9
D+22.9
R+4.0
390,900
R
36.2%McGovern138,694
61.1%Nixon233,727
2.7%
R+24.8
R+24.4
R+1.7
382,625
R
43.6%Humphrey166,631
44.0%Nixon168,137
12.4%
R+0.4
R+25.6
D+0.3
382,254
D
62.6%Johnson231,138
37.4%Goldwater138,006
0.0%
D+25.2
D+37.9
D+2.6
369,144
R
43.7%Kennedy165,847
56.3%Nixon213,938
0.0%
R+12.7
D+9.9
R+12.8
379,785
R
38.7%Stevenson128,544
61.3%Eisenhower203,317
0.0%
R+22.5
R+8.3
R+7.1
331,861
R
42.9%Stevenson137,724
57.1%Eisenhower183,301
0.0%
R+14.2
R+18.8
R+3.4
321,025
D
51.9%Truman133,445
47.4%Dewey121,736
0.7%
D+4.6
D+2.5
D+0.1
256,876
D
51.0%Roosevelt141,600
49.0%Dewey135,988
0.0%
D+2.0
R+7.1
R+5.5
277,588
D
54.5%Roosevelt154,337
45.5%Willkie128,663
0.0%
D+9.1
R+10.3
R+0.9
283,000
D
57.4%Roosevelt148,977
38.0%Landon98,746
4.6%
D+19.3
D+17.6
R+4.9
259,625
D
49.2%Roosevelt111,678
47.5%Hoover107,663
3.3%
D+1.8
D+36.1
R+16.0
226,894
R
32.5%Smith72,651
66.9%Hoover149,429
0.6%
R+34.4
R+2.4
R+16.9
223,438
R
29.9%Davis53,773
61.9%Coolidge111,152
8.2%
R+31.9
R+18.5
R+6.8
179,631
R
41.6%Cox83,498
55.0%Harding110,373
3.3%
R+13.4
R+18.9
D+12.8
200,539
D
50.4%Wilson55,007
44.9%Hughes48,997
4.6%
D+5.5
R+2.6
D+2.4
109,035
D
39.3%Wilson38,273
31.2%Taft30,346
29.5%
D+8.1
D+11.4
R+11.4
97,328
R
46.2%Bryan48,776
49.5%Taft52,196
4.3%
R+3.2
D+18.6
D+6.3
105,500
R
36.8%Parker34,800
58.6%Roosevelt55,467
4.6%
R+21.8
R+13.6
R+2.2
94,617
R
44.9%Bryan43,381
53.1%McKinley51,331
2.0%
R+8.2
R+3.2
R+0.7
96,685
R
47.0%Bryan43,836
52.0%McKinley48,533
1.1%
R+5.0
R+3.5
D+1.0
93,367
R
46.6%Cleveland36,986
48.1%Harrison38,238
5.3%
R+1.6
—
R+3.2
79,427
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
42.0%224,779
54.4%291,444
535,408
2022
R
41.3%161,774
58.4%228,754
391,427
2018
R
48.1%197,227
51.9%212,735
410,045
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Dayton-Springfield-Kettering, OH
Year
Total registered
2016
742,201
2018
758,378
2020
750,377
2022
745,269
2024
757,493
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+3,543 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −19,215 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Dayton-Springfield-Kettering, OH in Dayton-Springfield-Kettering, OH: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−2,921
2012
−3,984
2013
−4,603
2014
−4,723
2015
−4,860
2016
−3,179
2017
−602
2018
−205
2019
+180
2021
−90
2022
−951
2023
+732
2024
+2,448
2025
+3,543
Dayton-Springfield-Kettering, OH sits in the Industrial Midwest. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 34.4 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.7 points.
A population of 1,089,565, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,746 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hot Springs-Malvern, AR and Jonesboro-Paragould, AR.
Akashic
Political twins — combined metros
The combined metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Dayton-Springfield-Kettering, OH, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/212/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Dayton-Springfield-Kettering, OH, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Dayton-Springfield-Kettering, OH, Ohio voted Republican by 19.7 points (R+19.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 539,686 votes cast, 214,035 went Democratic and 320,353 went Republican.
When did Dayton-Springfield-Kettering, OH, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Dayton-Springfield-Kettering, OH, Ohio voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Dayton-Springfield-Kettering, OH, Ohio?
Dayton-Springfield-Kettering, OH, Ohio has a population of 1,089,565 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dayton-Springfield-Kettering, OH, Ohio?
Median household income in Dayton-Springfield-Kettering, OH, Ohio is $70,746 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Dayton-Springfield-Kettering, OH, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Dayton-Springfield-Kettering, OH, Ohio from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.
